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@AdrianM

#2,265,5846

0x154f17a1f61a8b4a9443eddbb9bb6a276ef85f80

417d· 8 markets · 8 tradesVol: $5272026-07-02T18:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 0%0/20
HHI 13896/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

AdrianM is a relatively inactive trader on Polymarket, with only eight trades spread across 191 days. Ranked #2,265,584 globally by net profit and holding a net loss of $48, their overall performance reflects a beginner level with a low Smart Score of 6/100. Despite engaging in eight different markets, AdrianM’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their trading volume totals $527.

The trading style of AdrianM appears to be high risk and speculative, given a 0% win rate and a profit factor of zero. Their activity shows no clear timing pattern or market specialization, with no trades in weather markets and no selling of positions, indicating a tendency to hold regardless of market movement. The data also suggests a contrarian approach with diamond hands, possibly sticking to losing positions without cutting losses.

AdrianM’s main strength lies in their willingness to engage across multiple markets, which could provide diverse learning opportunities. However, the significant downsides include consistent losses, a negative Sharpe ratio of -2.20, and a declining equity trend, all of which point to inefficient risk management and the need for strategy refinement to improve outcomes on Polymarket.

Badges

3
Lottery Player
75% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,380,980$-26Vol: $305
📈 ECONOMICS#593,924$-12Vol: $177
CRYPTO#1,013,043$-5Vol: $28
SPORTS#1,179,795$-5Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-48
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$527
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
8B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
417d
since May 16, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
0%
0W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$0
Win Rate
0%
0W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$0

Top Winners

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-2.202
Sortino
-2.202
HHI
1389
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.8%
Top-5 markets
72.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
3/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.36
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
4
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — typical for humanSize CV 0.36 — uniform orders0% at night — normal sleep pattern3/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
8 entries
<=2
8 entries
<=5
8 entries
<=10
8 entries
<=20
8 entries
<=50
8 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
8

Single bracket

<=1
8 brackets
<=2
8 brackets
<=3
8 brackets
<=4
8 brackets
<=5
8 brackets
<=8
8 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/23/2025, 9:59:43 PM3 trades$235 min
5/27/2025, 10:14:49 PM2 trades$81 min
5/27/2025, 10:30:35 PM2 trades$114 min
5/28/2025, 6:18:38 PM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
05-31
06-05
06-30
07-30
12-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event