Polydata

@Albert_1953

#68866

0x777fae71d2ff9ec48a1213d48ba1d9d91024a1bb

1475d· 3504 markets · 7597 tradesVol: $10,876,6922026-06-24T23:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 26%0/20
Profit Factor 2.78x15/15
Sharpe 0.3577/15
Sortino 2.72910/10
EV $+1.37510/10
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 49%5/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Albert_1953 is a seasoned trader on Polymarket, ranked #688 globally by net profit. With over 7,500 trades across 1,543 markets and nearly $11 million in total volume, Albert_1953 has maintained a net PnL of $263,144.74 over 1,589 active days. His portfolio value currently stands at $120,265.87, reflecting consistent engagement and a solid Smart Score of 66/100, indicating good trading acumen.

Albert_1953 exhibits a diversified trading style with a low sell percentage of 19%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. His win rate of 82.5% and profit factor of 2.81 point to a high success ratio and efficient risk-reward management. The trader avoids weather markets entirely and does not rely on automated bots, as indicated by a low Bot Score of 30/100. The Sharpe ratio of 0.36 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the absence of drawdown duration signals effective risk control.

The key strengths of Albert_1953 include a strong win rate, steady equity trend, and a proven ability to generate profits consistently with a contrarian edge. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend imply limited upside volatility, which might constrain explosive gains. His low sell percentage could also increase exposure to market shifts. Overall, Albert_1953 demonstrates disciplined, human-driven trading on Polymarket with a focus on sustainable profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+263,145
Lottery Player
42% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
68% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
Whale
$672,761
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,601$15,793Vol: $5,437,799
💰 FINANCE#13$196,411Vol: $3,356,629
CRYPTO#1,037$37,327Vol: $999,969
🎭 CULTURE#408$18,257Vol: $723,380
📈 ECONOMICS#3,937$564Vol: $92,077
SPORTS#1,728,800$-2,396Vol: $45,129
📢 MENTIONS#164,151$-329Vol: $35,435
🌤️ WEATHER#284,157$-2,217Vol: $31,340
💻 TECH#1,809$626Vol: $12,502

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$263,145
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,876,692
Total Redeem
$206,084
Portfolio
$120,266
Predictions
3504
total markets
Trades
6131B / 1466S
Daily Volume
$423
Account Age
1475d
since Jun 12, 2022

Periods

#2
Today
$6,899
Vol: $20
Week
$8,926
Vol: $632
Month
$22,071
Vol: $70,927
All Time
$263,145
Vol: $10,876,692

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
29%
184W / 457L events
Realized PnL
$495,275
Win Rate
83%
208W / 44L
Profit Factor
2.81x
Avg Win
$472
Avg Loss
$-794

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30,269 (47.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$17,160
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$7,434
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$5,675
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?$5,527
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$4,786
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$3,581
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$3,462
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$3,362
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$2,925
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?$2,819

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$-6,903
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-6,415
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading$-5,572
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?$-2,320
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-2,233
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?$-2,129
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-1,593
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 17?$-1,051
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$-801
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$-604

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.357
Sortino
2.729
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.375
Kelly %
67.5%
Half-Kelly
33.8%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.2m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — typical for humanSize CV 3.05 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active1574 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA
<=1
678 entries
<=2
968 entries
<=5
1275 entries
<=10
1429 entries
<=20
1494 entries
<=50
1539 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.3%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)28%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.3%

Other$63,228
New York City$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.7
Events covered
568

Moderate coverage

<=1
252 brackets
<=2
364 brackets
<=3
428 brackets
<=4
473 brackets
<=5
504 brackets
<=8
552 brackets
>8
16 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/2/2025, 10:20:04 PM1 trades$3140 min
1/2/2025, 10:25:54 PM1 trades$4430 min
1/9/2025, 12:54:18 PM1 trades$10 min
1/11/2025, 2:18:00 AM2 trades$990 min
1/11/2025, 3:27:00 PM1 trades$00 min
1/12/2025, 11:56:29 AM1 trades$260 min
1/13/2025, 5:53:15 PM1 trades$1260 min
1/13/2025, 9:23:35 PM1 trades$5320 min
1/13/2025, 9:33:39 PM1 trades$4090 min
1/14/2025, 1:31:59 PM3 trades$682 min
1/14/2025, 3:42:00 PM1 trades$290 min
1/14/2025, 9:53:46 PM2 trades$131 min
1/15/2025, 1:32:07 PM4 trades$123 min
1/15/2025, 1:59:25 PM3 trades$81 min
1/15/2025, 4:54:40 PM1 trades$320 min
1/15/2025, 6:33:49 PM2 trades$162 min
1/15/2025, 9:40:02 PM1 trades$150 min
1/16/2025, 1:28:34 PM1 trades$450 min
1/16/2025, 9:33:00 PM1 trades$1050 min
1/17/2025, 4:31:34 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-04
07-28
12-20
02-17
03-27
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.7 br/event