Polydata
Antique-Cooking

@Antique-Cooking

#2,921,89976

0xcbff940cfb4d3a91a9dc1012d513c6046b16e8e7

258d· 678 markets · 1575 tradesVol: $478,817 @ChickenAN242026-07-06T15:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 5.50x15/15
Sharpe 0.2765/15
Sortino 0.1892/10
EV $+0.0854/10
HHI 26310/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 20%10/10

Summary

Antique-Cooking is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having participated in 1,575 trades across 467 markets over 258 days. Despite a high volume traded of $478,817 and a strong win rate of 96%, their net PnL stands at -$2,460.75, placing them at rank #2,921,899 globally. Their smart score of 76/100 indicates a very good trading approach, though their portfolio value is currently zero, and their Sharpe ratio is relatively low at 0.28.

The trading style of Antique-Cooking suggests a preference for consistent, low-risk strategies with a strong emphasis on winning trades rather than maximizing profits. They exhibit a cool-headed approach, supported by badges like Sniper and Cool Head, and maintain a relatively flat equity trend. Their sell percentage is 38%, indicating a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. The trader rarely engages in weather markets and appears to be human-driven given the bot score of 30/100, focusing on steady outcomes rather than high volatility plays.

Antique-Cooking’s strengths lie in their extremely high win rate and consistent performance, which suggest disciplined risk management and timing. However, their negative net PnL and low Sharpe ratio highlight potential issues with trade sizing or reward-to-risk ratios, which may limit profitability despite frequent wins. The stable equity trend indicates minimal drawdowns, but the lack of portfolio growth could be a concern for traders seeking capital appreciation on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
95 wins in a row
Whale
$96,202
Consistent
101/109 days
Cool Head
DD 20%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,603,216$-2,393Vol: $261,964
CRYPTO#31,159$924Vol: $79,992
🎭 CULTURE#789,512$-308Vol: $54,363
SPORTS#1,716,623$-394Vol: $25,951
📈 ECONOMICS#643,574$-87Vol: $12,681
📢 MENTIONS#9,810$42Vol: $12,193
💰 FINANCE#629,913$-216Vol: $11,588
🌤️ WEATHER#273,824$-77Vol: $6,950
💻 TECH#229,914$-26Vol: $2,566

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,461
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$478,817
Total Redeem
$11,170
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
678
total markets
Trades
969B / 606S
Daily Volume
$373
Account Age
258d
since Oct 21, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $322
Week
$12
Vol: $322
Month
$64
Vol: $1,656
All Time
$-2,461
Vol: $478,817

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
212W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$6,753
Win Rate
96%
287W / 10L
Profit Factor
5.5x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-120

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,179 (40.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$865
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$831
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?$483
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$263
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$262
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$222
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?$213
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$178
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$169
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$151

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-750
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-337
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-50
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN$-37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner$-9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$-5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Pl$-4
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winne$-0
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.276
Sortino
0.189
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.085
Kelly %
89.4%
Half-Kelly
44.7%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
29.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 492s — typical for humanSize CV 2.24 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
310 entries
<=2
389 entries
<=5
441 entries
<=10
459 entries
<=20
462 entries
<=50
465 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)69.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 22.7%

Other$5,319
Miami$23
New York City$13
San Francisco$9
Paris$6
Houston$6
Atlanta$6
Los Angeles$6
Chicago$4
Hong Kong$3
Seoul$0
Madrid$0
Sao Paulo$0
Shanghai$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
365

Single bracket

<=1
313 brackets
<=2
349 brackets
<=3
356 brackets
<=4
359 brackets
<=5
360 brackets
<=8
363 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/21/2025, 8:25:22 AM1 trades$30 min
10/23/2025, 7:48:41 AM1 trades$140 min
10/23/2025, 9:37:53 AM1 trades$00 min
10/23/2025, 10:36:05 AM1 trades$00 min
10/24/2025, 3:59:25 AM2 trades$91 min
10/27/2025, 7:51:03 AM2 trades$182 min
10/27/2025, 8:04:07 AM1 trades$60 min
10/27/2025, 9:53:21 AM1 trades$10 min
10/27/2025, 10:00:37 AM1 trades$20 min
10/28/2025, 4:13:51 PM2 trades$74 min
10/29/2025, 6:25:19 PM1 trades$80 min
10/31/2025, 9:55:32 PM1 trades$120 min
11/1/2025, 12:47:40 AM2 trades$112 min
11/3/2025, 12:58:09 AM2 trades$320 min
11/3/2025, 1:39:39 AM1 trades$20 min
11/3/2025, 2:39:15 AM1 trades$30 min
11/3/2025, 3:41:21 PM1 trades$60 min
11/3/2025, 3:59:57 PM1 trades$20 min
11/4/2025, 6:03:59 AM2 trades$31 min
11/4/2025, 9:27:59 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-01
03-10
04-15
05-05
05-31
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event