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Antique-Cooking

@Antique-Cooking

#2,879,33981

0xcbff940cfb4d3a91a9dc1012d513c6046b16e8e7

258d· 661 markets · 1155 tradesVol: $477,095 @ChickenAN242026-06-28T15:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 14.77x15/15
Sharpe 0.3577/15
Sortino 0.4835/10
EV $+0.0985/10
HHI 29010/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Antique-Cooking is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,155 trades executed across 376 markets over 249 days. Despite a high win rate of 96.3% and a strong profit factor of 14.77, their net PnL stands at -$2,529.44, placing them at rank #2,879,339 globally. Their portfolio value is low at $129.75, and their Sharpe ratio of 0.36 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns. The trader maintains a stable equity trend with no significant drawdown duration.

This trader appears to employ a high-frequency, low-risk strategy focusing on consistency rather than large profits. Antique-Cooking’s trading style is characterized by a high win rate and a low max drawdown, suggesting they prefer safer, incremental gains. Their sell percentage of 37% indicates a willingness to exit positions moderately often, and the absence of weather markets shows a focus on other event types. The data implies a cautious approach with a "sniper" style, aiming for precision entries and exits.

Antique-Cooking’s key strengths include their consistency and controlled risk, as indicated by badges such as "Sniper" and "Cool Head." However, the negative net PnL despite high win rates raises concerns about the overall profitability of their trades, possibly due to small margins or occasional large losses. Their low portfolio value and modest Sharpe ratio suggest limited capital allocation or scaling challenges on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
85 wins in a row
Whale
$64,813
Consistent
97/104 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,596,795$-2,411Vol: $261,667
CRYPTO#31,144$908Vol: $79,374
🎭 CULTURE#786,453$-308Vol: $54,363
SPORTS#1,680,800$-421Vol: $25,456
📈 ECONOMICS#641,393$-87Vol: $12,681
📢 MENTIONS#9,778$42Vol: $12,193
💰 FINANCE#625,267$-216Vol: $11,588
🌤️ WEATHER#271,438$-85Vol: $6,640
💻 TECH#224,392$-26Vol: $2,566

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,529
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$477,095
Total Redeem
$10,593
Portfolio
$130
Predictions
661
total markets
Trades
723B / 432S
Daily Volume
$261
Account Age
258d
since Oct 21, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,838
Vol: $86,811
All Time
$-2,529
Vol: $477,095

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
211W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$6,670
Win Rate
96%
288W / 9L
Profit Factor
14.77x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-50

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,168 (35% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$865
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$831
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?$472
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$263
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$262
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$222
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?$213
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$178
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$169
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$163

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-337
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-50
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN$-38
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner$-9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$-5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Pl$-4
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winne$-0
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.357
Sortino
0.483
HHI
290
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.098
Kelly %
93.8%
Half-Kelly
46.9%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
30.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 554s — typical for humanSize CV 2.30 — diverse, typical for human36% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
258 entries
<=2
315 entries
<=5
356 entries
<=10
371 entries
<=20
374 entries
<=50
376 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)65.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.5%

Other$6,126
Miami$23
San Francisco$9
Paris$6
Houston$6
Atlanta$6
Los Angeles$5
New York City$5
Chicago$4
Hong Kong$3

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
314

Single bracket

<=1
278 brackets
<=2
304 brackets
<=3
309 brackets
<=4
311 brackets
<=5
311 brackets
<=8
313 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/21/2025, 8:25:22 AM1 trades$30 min
10/23/2025, 7:48:41 AM1 trades$140 min
10/23/2025, 9:37:53 AM1 trades$00 min
10/23/2025, 10:36:05 AM1 trades$00 min
10/24/2025, 3:59:25 AM2 trades$91 min
10/27/2025, 7:51:03 AM2 trades$182 min
10/27/2025, 8:04:07 AM1 trades$60 min
10/27/2025, 9:53:21 AM1 trades$10 min
10/27/2025, 10:00:37 AM1 trades$20 min
10/28/2025, 4:13:51 PM2 trades$74 min
10/29/2025, 6:25:19 PM1 trades$80 min
10/31/2025, 9:55:32 PM1 trades$120 min
11/1/2025, 12:47:40 AM2 trades$112 min
11/3/2025, 12:58:09 AM2 trades$320 min
11/3/2025, 1:39:39 AM1 trades$20 min
11/3/2025, 2:39:15 AM1 trades$30 min
11/3/2025, 3:41:21 PM1 trades$60 min
11/3/2025, 3:59:57 PM1 trades$20 min
11/4/2025, 6:03:59 AM2 trades$31 min
11/4/2025, 9:27:59 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-31
03-05
04-12
04-30
05-25
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event