Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@Anxious-Dwelling

#8,58359

0x100a50d9f27bc1a884f8a47accad209a9188c6ce

223d· 5358 markets · 22528 tradesVol: $3,447,5782026-06-06T10:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 8%0/20
Profit Factor 2.57x15/15
Sharpe 0.2384/15
Sortino 1.42910/10
EV $+1.56610/10
HHI 3210/10
Profit Days 29%0/10
DD/Peak 14%10/10

Summary

Anxious-Dwelling is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 22,528 trades executed over 398 days. Their net profit and loss stands at $15,730.01, placing them at rank #8583 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a high trading volume of over $3.4 million across 4,423 markets, their portfolio value remains relatively stable at $851.01. The trader’s smart score is 59/100, indicating good overall performance, and their bot score of 70/100 suggests a significant use of automated trading strategies.

This trader shows a strong preference for weather markets, which constitute 53% of their activity. Anxious-Dwelling employs a low-risk style, reflected in a flat equity trend and zero sell percentage, indicating a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging approach. Their win rate is an exceptional 100%, though the profit factor is listed as 0.00, which may be a data anomaly. The Sharpe ratio of 0.24 and no max drawdown duration imply limited volatility and drawdowns, consistent with a conservative trading strategy.

Anxious-Dwelling’s strengths include consistent profitability and disciplined holding patterns, as highlighted by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. However, the flat portfolio growth and low Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside potential. Their reliance on automated strategies could be advantageous for efficiency but may pose risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, Anxious-Dwelling is a reliable and conservative Polymarket trader with a focus on steady gains rather than aggressive growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+15,730
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.1 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 14%

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#96$14,228Vol: $3,265,376
SPORTS#1,608,019$-387Vol: $67,412
CRYPTO#1,534,686$-1,977Vol: $60,508
🎭 CULTURE#5,414$850Vol: $37,537
💰 FINANCE#1,519$2,999Vol: $9,619
🏛️ POLITICS#1,366,134$-29Vol: $3,763
💻 TECH#220,001$-30Vol: $3,000
📢 MENTIONS#8,950$49Vol: $74
📈 ECONOMICS#303,419$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,730
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,447,578
Total Redeem
$10,469
Portfolio
$851
Predictions
5358
total markets
Trades
22499B / 29S
Daily Volume
$38
Account Age
223d
since Nov 16, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $3,250
Week
$-29
Vol: $8,097
Month
$-29
Vol: $7,738
All Time
$15,730
Vol: $3,447,578

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
7%
327W / 4150L events
Realized PnL
$38,848
Win Rate
100%
15W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$684
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,916 (57.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F $2,171
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May $1,999
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?$1,746
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?$997
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?$900
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F $694
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on April 9?$513
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on Apr$320
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on Apr$312
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in May 2026?$266

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.238
Sortino
1.429
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.566
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
139.3
Very active
Markets / Day
27.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 5.77 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness139 trades/day — automation27 markets/day — mass coverage4664 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.1
Active DCA
<=1
2264 entries
<=2
2903 entries
<=5
3622 entries
<=10
3988 entries
<=20
4177 entries
<=50
4382 entries
>50
41 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)100%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 1%

New York City$2,171
Austin$1,999
Hong Kong$1,746
Taipei$997
Jakarta$900
San Francisco$694
Chicago$632
Beijing$513
Other$266
Madrid$156
Jeddah$59
Los Angeles$52
Mexico City$43
Tel Aviv$27
Dallas$0
Atlanta$0
Buenos Aires$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
4267

Single bracket

<=1
4206 brackets
<=2
4241 brackets
<=3
4247 brackets
<=4
4252 brackets
<=5
4259 brackets
<=8
4263 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/26/2025, 1:48:49 PM1 trades$00 min
12/26/2025, 2:43:45 PM4 trades$05 min
12/26/2025, 5:45:05 PM5 trades$04 min
12/26/2025, 8:45:05 PM2 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 3:34:43 AM2 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 4:37:35 AM1 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 4:48:49 AM1 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 4:46:43 PM1 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 5:48:51 PM3 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 7:46:27 PM1 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 9:47:11 PM4 trades$02 min
12/27/2025, 10:40:03 PM2 trades$00 min
12/27/2025, 11:47:15 PM5 trades$01 min
12/28/2025, 6:41:41 AM2 trades$00 min
12/28/2025, 10:43:21 AM3 trades$04 min
12/28/2025, 12:44:25 PM1 trades$00 min
12/28/2025, 2:41:13 PM5 trades$05 min
12/28/2025, 5:45:17 PM2 trades$02 min
12/28/2025, 6:40:37 PM9 trades$06 min
12/28/2025, 8:48:19 PM2 trades$01 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-09
02-07
03-08
04-06
05-05
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
53.4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event