Polydata
Anxious-Railing

@Anxious-Railing

#108,76493

0x7865d23a87355630cf533ec5ef8c0d9ddc0a28a8

733d· 519 markets · 1174 tradesVol: $161,437 @TTedz__2026-06-08T12:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 44.65x15/15
Sharpe 0.4058/15
Sortino 3.98310/10
EV $+0.24110/10
HHI 21010/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Anxious-Railing is a highly active manual trader on Polymarket, with 1,174 trades across 364 markets over 797 days. Ranked #108,764 on the global PnL leaderboard, this trader has achieved a net profit of $475.46 on a total volume of $161,437. Their Smart Score of 93/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent profitability and strong trading skills.

The trading style of Anxious-Railing is characterized by a conservative risk profile and a preference for diversified markets, excluding weather-related ones. With a win rate of 96.8% and a high profit factor of 44.65, the trader demonstrates precision and timing, likely favoring selective, high-confidence positions. The sell percentage of 31% suggests a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. The Sharpe ratio of 0.41 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the stable equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration highlight disciplined risk management.

Anxious-Railing’s strengths lie in their consistency, high accuracy, and ability to maintain a stable portfolio value without significant drawdowns. However, the relatively low portfolio value of $25.41 compared to total volume and prolonged trading period may indicate limited capital scaling. Additionally, the conservative style might constrain upside potential in more volatile markets. Overall, Anxious-Railing exemplifies a cool-headed and reliable trader on Polymarket with a strong track record.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+475
Win Streak
94 wins in a row
Consistent
90/92 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#11,587$260Vol: $76,876
CRYPTO#1,517,279$-1,172Vol: $28,223
SPORTS#24,220$1,664Vol: $27,877
🏛️ POLITICS#42,418$216Vol: $15,833
📢 MENTIONS#125,700$-12Vol: $6,758
📈 ECONOMICS#638,392$-164Vol: $3,293
💰 FINANCE#611,192$-301Vol: $1,194
💻 TECH#19,698$6Vol: $961

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$475
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,437
Total Redeem
$5,181
Portfolio
$25
Predictions
519
total markets
Trades
808B / 366S
Daily Volume
$43
Account Age
733d
since Jun 4, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $31
Week
$-0
Vol: $31
Month
$-214
Vol: $2,344
All Time
$475
Vol: $161,437

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
201W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$6,981
Win Rate
97%
269W / 9L
Profit Factor
44.65x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,672 (37.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1,551
Topuria vs. Holloway$869
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$252
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 2$206
Will Trump say "genius" during his Thursday press conference?$179
Will Elon tweet 180-189 times April 4 - 11?$168
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, $165
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$127
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$120
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?$81

Top Losers

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" this week?$-77
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$-61
Will Trump say "China" 10+ times during the Detroit speech on Tue$-9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-7
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24,$-2
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24,$-1
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$-0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.405
Sortino
3.983
HHI
210
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.241
Kelly %
95.4%
Half-Kelly
47.7%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
24.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 278s — typical for humanSize CV 2.39 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
225 entries
<=2
282 entries
<=5
331 entries
<=10
350 entries
<=20
359 entries
<=50
360 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)59.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 61.7%

Other$6,988
Paris$86
Madrid$69
Up or Down$29
NC$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
294

Single bracket

<=1
250 brackets
<=2
278 brackets
<=3
287 brackets
<=4
292 brackets
<=5
293 brackets
<=8
294 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/25/2024, 10:40:50 AM2 trades$9991 min
10/25/2024, 12:21:29 PM1 trades$6990 min
10/25/2024, 12:31:32 PM1 trades$4940 min
10/26/2024, 10:13:54 PM1 trades$3,0600 min
10/30/2024, 8:51:37 AM1 trades$3550 min
10/30/2024, 1:10:10 PM1 trades$9210 min
10/31/2024, 12:34:28 PM1 trades$1,2400 min
11/4/2024, 5:28:43 AM15 trades$1,8082 min
11/5/2024, 4:46:32 AM11 trades$1,9220 min
11/18/2024, 5:46:40 PM1 trades$1,0940 min
11/18/2024, 6:01:32 PM3 trades$719 min
11/18/2024, 6:20:42 PM2 trades$1710 min
11/18/2024, 6:26:03 PM5 trades$4248 min
11/18/2024, 6:45:11 PM5 trades$1777 min
11/18/2024, 6:58:03 PM1 trades$100 min
11/18/2024, 7:59:51 PM1 trades$3520 min
2/3/2025, 10:47:24 AM1 trades$4830 min
2/4/2025, 11:39:10 AM2 trades$6033 min
2/6/2025, 8:51:03 PM6 trades$306 min
2/7/2025, 5:59:18 AM4 trades$143 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-17
10-14
12-12
01-21
02-24
06-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event