Polydata

@Appropriate-Pilgrimage

#73,35192

0xa8e33b92fbabed7a80df0bf837ebcccc51b207bc

39d· 123 markets · 602 tradesVol: $9,9832026-07-16T06:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 81%20/20
Profit Factor 2.36x15/15
Sharpe 0.52210/15
Sortino 0.7477/10
EV $+0.60110/10
HHI 19010/10
Profit Days 68%10/10
DD/Peak 15%10/10

Summary

Appropriate-Pilgrimage is an active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #73,351 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 39 days, they have executed 602 trades across 123 markets, generating a net profit of $1,164.38 on a total volume of nearly $10,000. Their portfolio value stands at $1,324.94, supported by a high Smart Score of 92/100, placing them in the elite category.

The trading style of Appropriate-Pilgrimage is highly specialized, with 90% of their activity focused on weather markets. They maintain a conservative approach with zero sells, indicating a buy-and-hold strategy supported by a remarkable 99% win rate and an exceptional profit factor of 53.38. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.52 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the absence of drawdown duration indicates disciplined risk management. The trader’s activity combines both bot and manual inputs, as reflected in the semi-bot score of 45/100.

Appropriate-Pilgrimage’s strengths lie in their consistent profitability, expert niche focus, and strong equity growth. Their high win rate and sniper-like precision earn them badges such as Diamond Hands and Weather Pro. However, the lack of selling and relatively low Sharpe ratio could signal potential risks if market conditions shift unexpectedly. Overall, Appropriate-Pilgrimage demonstrates steady, low-volatility gains on Polymarket but might face challenges in more volatile environments.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+1,164
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Weather Pro
90% weather
Win Streak
73 wins in a row
Consistent
17/25 days
Cool Head
DD 15%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#1,370$1,167Vol: $9,970
🏛️ POLITICS#806,533$-1Vol: $6
SPORTS#885,035$-1Vol: $4
CRYPTO#912,455$-2Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,983
Total Redeem
$7,144
Portfolio
$1,325
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
600B / 2S
Daily Volume
$188
Account Age
39d
since Jun 7, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$118
Vol: $825
Week
$586
Vol: $4,591
Month
$1,168
Vol: $9,929
All Time
$1,164
Vol: $9,983

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
92W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$1,796
Win Rate
99%
97W / 1L
Profit Factor
53.38x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $307 (17.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 13?$107
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 7?$100
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 13?$77
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?$72
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 15?$66
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 14?$62
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 13?$60
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 5?$59
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 10?$55

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 9?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.522
Sortino
0.748
HHI
190
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.602
Kelly %
97.3%
Half-Kelly
48.6%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
45.4m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — typical for humanSize CV 0.56 — diverse, typical for human37% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.13 — mechanical16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
56 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
71 entries
<=10
121 entries
<=20
123 entries
<=50
123 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)95.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Moscow$275
London$175
Singapore$143
Busan$140
Lucknow$114
Buenos Aires$95
Helsinki$94
Karachi$86
Paris$81
Warsaw$73
Cape Town$58
Beijing$55
Qingdao$53
Guangzhou$53
Chengdu$51
Taipei$43
Tel Aviv$39
Munich$38

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
115

Single bracket

<=1
107 brackets
<=2
115 brackets
<=3
115 brackets
<=4
115 brackets
<=5
115 brackets
<=8
115 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 8:58:01 AM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 9:29:00 AM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 3:08:19 PM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 5:11:52 PM1 trades$10 min
6/8/2026, 3:06:54 AM1 trades$10 min
6/8/2026, 9:11:46 AM1 trades$10 min
6/9/2026, 3:11:15 AM1 trades$10 min
6/10/2026, 2:34:09 PM1 trades$10 min
6/10/2026, 3:03:03 PM1 trades$10 min
6/11/2026, 3:03:34 AM2 trades$20 min
6/12/2026, 3:04:06 AM1 trades$10 min
6/13/2026, 5:18:28 AM7 trades$70 min
6/29/2026, 2:30:41 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 2:45:46 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 3:00:32 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 3:15:46 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 11:00:40 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 11:15:40 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 11:30:38 PM1 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 11:45:35 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-12
06-30
07-04
07-08
07-12
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90.2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event