Polydata
Arctic-Bee

@Arctic-Bee

#199,83262

0x223c46fe181e37b25ab7f78da83a967f4b78f4e3

286d· 1102 markets · 1357 tradesVol: $100,7512026-06-30T15:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 1.77x12/15
Sharpe 0.2064/15
Sortino 0.2402/10
EV $+0.0744/10
HHI 7710/10
Profit Days 81%10/10
DD/Peak 92%0/10

Summary

Arctic-Bee is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 1,357 trades across 479 markets over 153 days. With a net profit of $132.03 and a global rank of #199,832 on the PnL leaderboard, Arctic-Bee maintains a positive but modest overall performance. Their trading activity, reflected in a total volume exceeding $100,000, suggests consistent engagement, while a Smart Score of 62/100 indicates good trading quality.

The trader favors a manual trading style, as indicated by a low Bot Score of 15, and demonstrates a preference for selective entry and exit points, consistent with the "Sniper" badge. Arctic-Bee’s win rate of 83% and profit factor of 1.77 point to a relatively low-risk approach with high accuracy, though the Sharpe ratio of 0.21 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. They tend to hold positions briefly given a 35% sell rate and zero days of maximum drawdown duration, highlighting disciplined risk management.

Arctic-Bee’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and an upward equity trend, supported by a solid win streak and steady performance across diverse markets. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and modest net profit indicate potential vulnerability to market volatility and limited capital growth. As a manual trader, Arctic-Bee may also face challenges in scaling their strategy or maintaining performance under rapidly changing conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+132
Win Streak
49 wins in a row
Consistent
55/68 days

Categories

2
CRYPTO#53,384$285Vol: $91,004
SPORTS#1,631,254$-153Vol: $9,743

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$132
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$100,751
Total Redeem
$6,339
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1102
total markets
Trades
885B / 472S
Daily Volume
$143
Account Age
286d
since Sep 17, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$132
Vol: $100,751

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
247W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$3,537
Win Rate
83%
253W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $776 (52.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$536
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$151
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$43

Top Losers

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bang$-131
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-109
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-109
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$-106
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-98
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-98
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$-96

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.206
Sortino
0.240
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.074
Kelly %
38.6%
Half-Kelly
19.3%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.3m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — typical for humanSize CV 2.10 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.76 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
222 entries
<=2
379 entries
<=5
476 entries
<=10
479 entries
<=20
479 entries
<=50
479 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)52.3%
High (>55c)38.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.5%

Other$1,491
Lucknow$-2

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
479

Single bracket

<=1
479 brackets
<=2
479 brackets
<=3
479 brackets
<=4
479 brackets
<=5
479 brackets
<=8
479 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/20/2025, 2:56:12 PM1 trades$200 min
12/20/2025, 4:18:23 PM1 trades$420 min
12/21/2025, 4:48:39 PM4 trades$2097 min
12/21/2025, 5:03:11 PM2 trades$34 min
12/21/2025, 5:12:33 PM3 trades$1028 min
12/21/2025, 5:27:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
12/21/2025, 6:15:09 PM2 trades$2101 min
12/22/2025, 7:26:33 AM5 trades$21710 min
12/22/2025, 7:41:59 AM1 trades$40 min
12/22/2025, 12:47:19 PM2 trades$592 min
12/22/2025, 12:55:59 PM4 trades$502 min
12/23/2025, 6:57:07 AM2 trades$1074 min
12/23/2025, 12:51:39 PM4 trades$9410 min
12/23/2025, 1:08:27 PM5 trades$2265 min
12/23/2025, 1:36:49 PM5 trades$3536 min
12/23/2025, 3:21:11 PM1 trades$730 min
12/24/2025, 8:09:19 AM1 trades$100 min
12/24/2025, 8:22:09 AM1 trades$180 min
12/24/2025, 8:28:09 AM1 trades$980 min
12/24/2025, 2:34:37 PM2 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
01-03
02-27
04-04
04-15
05-02
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event