Polydata

@Awkward-Stepaunt

#2,65872

0xdd9c961288a032098076267bd665d407dac231a0

614d· 79 markets · 8245 tradesVol: $9,464,7572026-07-21T14:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%11/20
Profit Factor 1.90x14/15
Sharpe 0.3066/15
Sortino 0.8188/10
EV $+2.06810/10
HHI 54110/10
Profit Days 52%6/10
DD/Peak 30%8/10

Summary

Awkward-Stepaunt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2658 globally with a net profit of $68,307.18. Over 743 days, they have executed 8,245 trades across 78 markets, accumulating a total trading volume of approximately $9.46 million. Their smart score of 72/100 reflects a very good performance, supported by an upward equity trend and a portfolio value closely matching their net PnL.

The trading strategy of Awkward-Stepaunt appears diversified, with no exposure to weather markets and a moderate sell rate of 44%. Their win rate of 47.5% combined with a profit factor of 1.48 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.31 suggests a risk profile that balances steady gains with controlled volatility. The trader seems to favor contrarian moves and dollar-cost averaging, as indicated by their badges, and their low bot score implies a human-driven, possibly discretionary approach rather than algorithmic trading.

Awkward-Stepaunt’s strengths include consistent profitability and an ability to manage drawdowns effectively, evidenced by a max drawdown duration of zero days. Their varied market exposure and hedging tactics enhance resilience. However, the relatively modest Sharpe ratio and a win rate below 50% highlight potential challenges in maintaining risk-adjusted returns. Overall, Awkward-Stepaunt demonstrates solid trading acumen on Polymarket with a strategy that mitigates some risks while pursuing growth.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+68,307
Lottery Player
66% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
88% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 59.1 entries/market
Hedger
avg 2.5 brackets/event
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$850,964
High Roller
$1,145/day
Cool Head
DD 30%

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#103$68,309Vol: $9,464,613
CRYPTO#893,926$-1Vol: $104
🏛️ POLITICS#591,188$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$68,307
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,464,757
Total Redeem
$156,280
Portfolio
$68,278
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
4610B / 3635S
Daily Volume
$1,145
Account Age
614d
since Nov 14, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$369
Vol: $0
Week
$-245
Vol: $0
Month
$1,896
Vol: $53,312
All Time
$68,307
Vol: $9,464,757

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
14W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$33,769
Win Rate
48%
29W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.48x
Avg Win
$3,072
Avg Loss
$-1,881

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,727 (186% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$21,439
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$20,319
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$11,970
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meet$7,761
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$6,078
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$4,716
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 20$3,795
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$2,525
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$1,898
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$1,443

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-12,071
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$-11,282
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$-8,254
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$-7,391
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting$-3,662
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$-2,968
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-2,447
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-2,252
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-1,612
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting$-1,552

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.306
Sortino
0.819
HHI
541
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
42.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
36.1m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.84 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.12 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
59.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
9 entries
<=2
13 entries
<=5
22 entries
<=10
28 entries
<=20
45 entries
<=50
54 entries
>50
24 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)10.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.8%

Other$28,883

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.5
Events covered
31

Moderate coverage

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
15 brackets
<=3
27 brackets
<=4
28 brackets
<=5
29 brackets
<=8
31 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/14/2024, 8:25:53 PM1 trades$930 min
11/14/2024, 8:31:42 PM1 trades$900 min
11/14/2024, 8:43:51 PM1 trades$370 min
11/14/2024, 11:12:52 PM1 trades$1570 min
11/15/2024, 2:30:49 AM1 trades$1460 min
11/15/2024, 2:24:36 PM1 trades$1700 min
11/18/2024, 12:01:26 PM1 trades$460 min
11/18/2024, 12:10:20 PM1 trades$1380 min
11/18/2024, 1:04:54 PM6 trades$4492 min
11/18/2024, 1:25:51 PM1 trades$1520 min
11/18/2024, 1:31:43 PM3 trades$6632 min
11/19/2024, 4:20:58 PM5 trades$13 min
11/19/2024, 4:29:49 PM4 trades$17 min
11/19/2024, 4:42:20 PM17 trades$217 min
11/19/2024, 5:04:18 PM1 trades$00 min
11/19/2024, 5:11:09 PM2 trades$04 min
11/19/2024, 5:21:00 PM4 trades$16 min
11/19/2024, 5:33:01 PM12 trades$220 min
11/19/2024, 6:00:05 PM8 trades$113 min
11/19/2024, 6:20:53 PM12 trades$217 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
03-19
06-18
09-30
12-31
02-13
04-29
12-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 59.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.5 br/event