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@BabaTrump

#6165

0x2bf64b86b64c315d879571b07a3b76629e467cd0

616d· 6 markets · 1058 tradesVol: $3,655,0472026-06-22T14:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
EV $+1.34810/10
HHI 35990/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

BabaTrump is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked 61st on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of over $2 million from more than $3.6 million in total volume across 1,058 trades. Despite only one day of recorded activity, BabaTrump has maintained a perfect 100% win rate and holds a Smart Score of 65/100, indicating solid trading effectiveness. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting recent full liquidation or withdrawal.

This trader focuses on a small number of markets, trading in only six distinct markets on Polymarket. Their style appears extremely high-risk and aggressive given the perfect win rate and rapid trading volume within a single day. BabaTrump exhibits no selling activity and is tagged with badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, implying a preference for precise entries and holding positions firmly. The semi-bot score suggests a combination of algorithmic and manual trading, with a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging approach.

BabaTrump’s strengths lie in their exceptional timing and consistent profitability within a very short timeframe, which is unusual and impressive on Polymarket. However, the limited data duration and zero Sharpe ratio raise concerns about sustainability and risk management over time. The absence of drawdowns and sell actions may indicate an incomplete dataset or highly selective reporting, so caution is warranted when extrapolating their long-term performance.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+2,093,363
Contrarian
85% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 176.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$1,556,962
Consistent
1/1 days
High Roller
$2,388,945/day

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,093,363
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,655,047
Total Redeem
$3,655,047
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6
total markets
Trades
1058B / 0S
Daily Volume
$1,556,962
Account Age
616d
since Oct 21, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
4W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$2,093,363
Win Rate
100%
6W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$349,681
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,888,385 (90% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,299,484
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$487,313
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$101,589
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$90,299
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$64,087
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $55,314

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
3599
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.348
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
54.5%
Top-5 markets
97.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1058.0
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 6.20 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.40 — human randomness1058 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
176.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
2 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)85.3%
High (>55c)14.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.2%

Other$2,098,085

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
4

Single bracket

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
4 brackets
<=3
4 brackets
<=4
4 brackets
<=5
4 brackets
<=8
4 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/24/2024, 9:25:33 AM48 trades$11,74615 min
10/24/2024, 9:46:41 AM2 trades$11,9442 min
10/24/2024, 9:59:20 AM10 trades$93,13912 min
10/24/2024, 10:24:10 AM11 trades$33,44111 min
10/24/2024, 10:45:09 AM15 trades$95,2166 min
10/24/2024, 11:00:53 AM1 trades$30 min
10/24/2024, 11:09:51 AM2 trades$8011 min
10/24/2024, 11:35:05 AM1 trades$980 min
10/24/2024, 11:45:31 AM1 trades$100 min
10/24/2024, 11:50:42 AM5 trades$9,1533 min
10/24/2024, 11:59:25 AM1 trades$1,9310 min
10/24/2024, 12:04:27 PM9 trades$4,9925 min
10/24/2024, 2:57:09 PM29 trades$238,8975 min
10/24/2024, 3:10:31 PM327 trades$473,47365 min
10/24/2024, 4:26:35 PM323 trades$112,76226 min
10/24/2024, 4:59:15 PM3 trades$74,4701 min
10/24/2024, 5:09:05 PM1 trades$1140 min
10/24/2024, 5:23:19 PM135 trades$8,95423 min
10/24/2024, 5:53:17 PM56 trades$11,62613 min
10/24/2024, 6:13:39 PM2 trades$181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 176.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event