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@Bad-Lamp

#119,40259

0x1030bfa756a2b78b6b6b562cd0b43e446eba2c1e

271d· 282 markets · 499 tradesVol: $152,080 @halfinneyy2026-06-10T18:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 53%12/20
Profit Factor 1.27x6/15
Sharpe 0.2284/15
Sortino 0.6236/10
EV $+0.56310/10
HHI 7510/10
Profit Days 41%3/10
DD/Peak 27%9/10

Summary

Bad-Lamp is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 499 trades executed across 234 markets over 249 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #119,402, having generated a net profit of $386.08 on a total trading volume of $152,080. Despite a relatively modest Sharpe ratio of 0.23 and a portfolio value currently at zero, Bad-Lamp maintains a good Smart Score of 59/100, reflecting solid trading performance metrics.

The trader demonstrates a preference for a diverse set of markets, with minimal exposure to niche segments like weather markets. Bad-Lamp’s trading style is characterized by a risk-averse approach, reflected in a high win rate of 68.2% and a strong profit factor of 2.57. They exhibit a balanced timing pattern with a 35% sell rate, suggesting a willingness to take profits while avoiding excessive holding periods. The low max drawdown duration of zero days indicates disciplined risk management and prompt exit strategies.

Bad-Lamp’s key strengths include consistent profitability, a steady win streak, and a calm, methodical trading approach on Polymarket, as evidenced by their badges. However, the downward equity trend signals potential challenges in scaling gains or adapting to market shifts. Additionally, a low Bot Score confirms manual trading, which may limit execution speed but allows for thoughtful decision-making. Overall, Bad-Lamp’s profile suggests reliable, measured trading with room for growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+386
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 27%

Categories

4
CRYPTO#33,393$743Vol: $107,229
🌤️ WEATHER#266,936$-118Vol: $42,180
🎭 CULTURE#657,450$-8Vol: $2,074
SPORTS#1,593,545$-232Vol: $597

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$386
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,080
Total Redeem
$1,950
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
325B / 174S
Daily Volume
$46
Account Age
271d
since Oct 3, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-46
Vol: $179
Month
$-110
Vol: $2,540
All Time
$386
Vol: $152,080

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
146W / 125L events
Realized PnL
$3,283
Win Rate
68%
122W / 57L
Profit Factor
2.57x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $335 (13.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$76
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$69

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$-83
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-71
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$-61
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.228
Sortino
0.623
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.563
Kelly %
46.1%
Half-Kelly
23.1%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.9m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 201s — typical for humanSize CV 0.63 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.92 — human randomness306 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
178 entries
<=2
222 entries
<=5
233 entries
<=10
233 entries
<=20
234 entries
<=50
234 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)64.9%
High (>55c)26.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.3%

Other$2,552
Ankara$3
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
231

Single bracket

<=1
228 brackets
<=2
231 brackets
<=3
231 brackets
<=4
231 brackets
<=5
231 brackets
<=8
231 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/3/2025, 7:20:56 PM1 trades$80 min
5/1/2026, 6:50:46 PM1 trades$200 min
5/1/2026, 7:00:36 PM1 trades$350 min
5/1/2026, 7:07:56 PM1 trades$20 min
5/2/2026, 7:25:36 AM1 trades$250 min
5/3/2026, 10:50:16 AM1 trades$300 min
5/3/2026, 12:02:30 PM1 trades$300 min
5/3/2026, 12:10:20 PM1 trades$630 min
5/3/2026, 12:24:12 PM1 trades$400 min
5/3/2026, 12:30:26 PM1 trades$250 min
5/3/2026, 12:36:40 PM1 trades$540 min
5/3/2026, 12:57:58 PM1 trades$350 min
5/3/2026, 1:05:14 PM1 trades$720 min
5/3/2026, 1:18:30 PM1 trades$250 min
5/3/2026, 1:27:06 PM3 trades$750 min
5/3/2026, 1:32:56 PM1 trades$330 min
5/3/2026, 1:38:40 PM2 trades$981 min
5/3/2026, 1:47:58 PM1 trades$170 min
5/3/2026, 1:54:42 PM5 trades$22310 min
5/3/2026, 2:10:56 PM11 trades$57414 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
12-15
05-02
05-10
05-18
05-28
05-31
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event