Polydata
Beneficial-Girlfriend

@Beneficial-Girlfriend

#16,63095

0xc1200dd35a85da9b9ba552582d6103dd3d39a7e3

43d· 4366 markets · 2073 tradesVol: $339,424 @tonglikj2026-05-20T17:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 59%15/20
Profit Factor 39.35x15/15
Sharpe 1.06315/15
Sortino 24.30810/10
EV $+34.30610/10
HHI 4910/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Beneficial-Girlfriend is a relatively new yet active trader on Polymarket, with 2,073 trades executed across 582 markets in just 38 days. Ranked #16,630 globally on the PnL leaderboard, they have achieved a net profit of $7,061.38 on a total volume of $339,424. Their smart score of 95/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong overall performance despite a modest portfolio value of $110.36 and a relatively flat equity trend.

This trader specializes exclusively in weather markets, showing a focused trading style. Beneficial-Girlfriend maintains a low-risk profile indicated by a high Sharpe ratio of 1.06 and no recorded max drawdown duration. Their win rate is quite low at 3.8%, and they hold positions for shorter durations, with only 3% of trades sold, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. The semi-bot score of 65/100 implies a hybrid approach, blending automated signals with manual intervention.

Beneficial-Girlfriend’s key strength lies in consistent profitability and disciplined risk management, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and Cool Head. However, their low win rate and profit factor of 0.01 highlight potential inefficiencies in trade selection or sizing. While their focus on weather markets gives them an edge in specialization, the limited market diversification could pose risks if conditions shift unfavorably. Overall, Beneficial-Girlfriend shows promise as a stable yet cautious trader within Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+7,061
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Weather Pro
100% weather
Consistent
30/32 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#199$7,061Vol: $339,424

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,061
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$339,424
Total Redeem
$13
Portfolio
$110
Predictions
4366
total markets
Trades
2007B / 66S
Daily Volume
$510
Account Age
43d
since Apr 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$124
Vol: $3,485
Week
$105
Vol: $5,556
Month
$4,102
Vol: $118,780
All Time
$7,061
Vol: $339,424

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
82%
230W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$29,348
Win Rate
4%
5W / 128L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-51

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 9?$44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 1?$6
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 20?$3
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 20?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F $-465
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?$-387
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?$-240
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or higher on May $-196
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on$-173
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?$-172
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May $-166
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?$-142
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$-114
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?$-107

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.063
Sortino
24.308
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$34.306
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
69.1
Very active
Markets / Day
19.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 180s — typical for humanSize CV 1.28 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness69 trades/day — mass trading19 markets/day — mass coverage508 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA
<=1
194 entries
<=2
320 entries
<=5
482 entries
<=10
552 entries
<=20
578 entries
<=50
582 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.9%
High (>55c)52.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0.1%

Buenos Aires$10
Lucknow$3
Istanbul$1
Chicago$0
Tel Aviv$0
Jeddah$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Chongqing$0
Wuhan$0
Mexico City$0
Busan$0
Qingdao$0
Guangzhou$0
Karachi$0
Panama City$0
Austin$-10
Amsterdam$-16
Manila$-16

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
411

Single bracket

<=1
292 brackets
<=2
371 brackets
<=3
401 brackets
<=4
409 brackets
<=5
411 brackets
<=8
411 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 4:32:12 PM1 trades$330 min
4/20/2026, 5:35:20 PM1 trades$170 min
4/21/2026, 5:30:30 AM1 trades$40 min
4/21/2026, 6:19:42 AM3 trades$23 min
4/21/2026, 4:58:24 PM1 trades$180 min
4/21/2026, 7:18:52 PM1 trades$90 min
4/21/2026, 7:59:14 PM2 trades$683 min
4/21/2026, 8:16:32 PM1 trades$90 min
4/21/2026, 8:35:42 PM1 trades$160 min
4/22/2026, 3:44:38 AM2 trades$33 min
4/22/2026, 5:13:28 AM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 5:49:58 AM2 trades$351 min
4/22/2026, 5:56:22 AM3 trades$752 min
4/22/2026, 11:25:16 AM1 trades$240 min
4/22/2026, 12:56:12 PM1 trades$140 min
4/22/2026, 1:01:34 PM2 trades$130 min
4/22/2026, 4:34:32 PM1 trades$110 min
4/23/2026, 12:24:34 AM1 trades$110 min
4/23/2026, 12:45:56 AM1 trades$90 min
4/23/2026, 11:21:38 AM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-23
04-28
05-03
05-08
05-13
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event