Polydata

@BetTom42

#1267

0x885783760858e1bd5dd09a3c3f916cfa251ac270

569d· 7 markets · 3359 tradesVol: $11,212,8402026-05-20T19:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
EV $+2.82310/10
HHI 21612/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

BetTom42 is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, currently ranked 12th on the global PnL leaderboard. In just 8 days of activity, they have executed 3,359 trades across 7 markets, generating a net profit of over $5.6 million from a total volume exceeding $11.2 million. Their perfect 100% win rate is notable, though some standard metrics like Sharpe Ratio and Max Drawdown Duration show as zero, possibly due to the short trading period or unique trading style.

BetTom42’s trading style appears aggressive and focused, favoring a small number of markets with very high conviction. The zero sell percentage and badges like "Diamond Hands" and "DCA Master" suggest a buy-and-hold approach combined with dollar-cost averaging, while the "Contrarian" badge hints at taking positions that go against the crowd. Their semi-automated strategy, reflected in a bot score of 55/100, indicates a mix of manual and algorithmic decision-making. The lack of drawdown and consistent wins point to a low-risk tolerance or highly effective risk management over this brief timeframe.

Key strengths of BetTom42 include precision timing, disciplined execution, and the ability to maintain winning streaks in Polymarket’s fast-moving environment. However, the zero profit factor and Sharpe Ratio, along with no portfolio value reported, raise questions about data completeness or sustainability of returns. The short active period and concentrated market exposure may also present risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, BetTom42 demonstrates impressive skill, but longer-term data would help validate their performance profile.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+5,642,136
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 479.9 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$2,933,150
Consistent
1/1 days
High Roller
$356,274/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#8$5,642,136Vol: $11,212,840

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,642,136
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,212,840
Total Redeem
$11,212,840
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
3359B / 0S
Daily Volume
$356,274
Account Age
569d
since Oct 27, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
5W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$5,642,136
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,182,813
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,040,790 (85% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4,500,055
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,630,503
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $910,232
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$853,348
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$314,811
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$38,438
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$32,302

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
2161
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.823
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
97.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
408.0
Very active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 6.38 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness408 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
479.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
0 entries
<=50
0 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)70.5%
High (>55c)29.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 72.4%

Other$8,279,690

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
5

Single bracket

<=1
3 brackets
<=2
5 brackets
<=3
5 brackets
<=4
5 brackets
<=5
5 brackets
<=8
5 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/28/2024, 6:36:15 PM35 trades$1,90712 min
10/28/2024, 6:54:07 PM11 trades$1,6389 min
10/28/2024, 7:18:40 PM1 trades$6090 min
10/28/2024, 7:28:46 PM2 trades$311 min
10/28/2024, 7:42:36 PM3 trades$2663 min
10/28/2024, 8:01:40 PM1 trades$3460 min
10/28/2024, 8:10:09 PM3 trades$454 min
10/28/2024, 8:21:07 PM1 trades$00 min
10/28/2024, 8:26:11 PM2 trades$1821 min
10/28/2024, 8:39:36 PM2 trades$7463 min
10/28/2024, 8:52:17 PM97 trades$70,63426 min
10/28/2024, 9:23:52 PM32 trades$64,34014 min
10/28/2024, 9:44:16 PM4 trades$11,5614 min
10/28/2024, 9:56:50 PM5 trades$46,8527 min
10/28/2024, 10:12:06 PM2 trades$14,5020 min
10/28/2024, 10:23:02 PM1 trades$3700 min
10/28/2024, 10:31:24 PM43 trades$8,47616 min
10/28/2024, 11:10:05 PM27 trades$160,5049 min
10/28/2024, 11:27:27 PM1 trades$1110 min
10/28/2024, 11:36:47 PM5 trades$217,1435 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 479.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event