Polydata

@BetTom42

#1867

0x885783760858e1bd5dd09a3c3f916cfa251ac270

610d· 7 markets · 3359 tradesVol: $11,212,8402026-06-28T21:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
EV $+2.82310/10
HHI 21612/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

BetTom42 is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, currently ranked 18th on the global PnL leaderboard. In just 8 days of trading, BetTom42 has executed 3,359 trades across 7 different markets, generating a net profit of over $5.6 million on a total volume exceeding $11.2 million. This rapid accumulation of profit and high trade count indicate a very intense trading pace.

BetTom42 shows a strong preference for a concentrated set of markets, likely focusing on high-conviction opportunities rather than broad diversification. The trader maintains a perfect win rate of 100%, suggesting extremely selective entry points and possibly a risk-managed approach. The zero sell percentage and badges like "Diamond Hands" and "DCA Master" imply a strategy of holding positions rather than frequent selling, which fits a style of disciplined accumulation. The semi-bot score indicates a hybrid approach combining automated and manual trading.

The key strength of BetTom42 lies in consistency and precision, as evidenced by flawless win metrics and substantial profits within a short timeframe. However, the lack of data on drawdowns and Sharpe ratio, along with a zero profit factor, highlight potential risks in understanding downside volatility or market exposure. The short activity window means more data is needed to confirm long-term sustainability of BetTom42’s impressive Polymarket performance.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+5,642,136
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 479.9 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$2,933,150
Consistent
1/1 days
High Roller
$356,274/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#8$5,642,136Vol: $11,212,840

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,642,136
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,212,840
Total Redeem
$11,212,840
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
3359B / 0S
Daily Volume
$356,274
Account Age
610d
since Oct 27, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
5W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$5,642,136
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,182,813
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,040,790 (85% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4,500,055
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,630,503
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $910,232
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$853,348
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$314,811
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$38,438
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$32,302

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
2161
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.823
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
97.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
408.0
Very active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 6.38 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness408 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
479.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
0 entries
<=50
0 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)70.5%
High (>55c)29.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 72.4%

Other$8,279,690

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
5

Single bracket

<=1
3 brackets
<=2
5 brackets
<=3
5 brackets
<=4
5 brackets
<=5
5 brackets
<=8
5 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/28/2024, 6:36:15 PM35 trades$1,90712 min
10/28/2024, 6:54:07 PM11 trades$1,6389 min
10/28/2024, 7:18:40 PM1 trades$6090 min
10/28/2024, 7:28:46 PM2 trades$311 min
10/28/2024, 7:42:36 PM3 trades$2663 min
10/28/2024, 8:01:40 PM1 trades$3460 min
10/28/2024, 8:10:09 PM3 trades$454 min
10/28/2024, 8:21:07 PM1 trades$00 min
10/28/2024, 8:26:11 PM2 trades$1821 min
10/28/2024, 8:39:36 PM2 trades$7463 min
10/28/2024, 8:52:17 PM97 trades$70,63426 min
10/28/2024, 9:23:52 PM32 trades$64,34014 min
10/28/2024, 9:44:16 PM4 trades$11,5614 min
10/28/2024, 9:56:50 PM5 trades$46,8527 min
10/28/2024, 10:12:06 PM2 trades$14,5020 min
10/28/2024, 10:23:02 PM1 trades$3700 min
10/28/2024, 10:31:24 PM43 trades$8,47616 min
10/28/2024, 11:10:05 PM27 trades$160,5049 min
10/28/2024, 11:27:27 PM1 trades$1110 min
10/28/2024, 11:36:47 PM5 trades$217,1435 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 479.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event