Polydata

@Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail

#97599

0x7e5d2991c2647de2348287e2f499329fc6a6c4c3

91d· 15026 markets · 37289 tradesVol: $17,658,8822026-07-12T00:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 72%20/20
Profit Factor 62.94x15/15
Sharpe 0.72414/15
Sortino 12.30710/10
EV $+59.96010/10
HHI 8010/10
Profit Days 74%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #975 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 92 days, they executed 37,289 trades across 286 markets, achieving a net PnL of $202,981.01. Despite a high volume of nearly $17.7 million, their portfolio value is relatively low at $392.25, indicating a focus on frequent, smaller-scale trades. The trader maintains an elite Smart Score of 99/100, highlighting strong decision-making capabilities.

This trader favors a high-frequency, automated trading style, as suggested by a 70/100 Bot Score and a zero percent sell rate, implying a buy-and-hold or long-only approach. Their win rate of 17.5% combined with a profit factor of 0.01 suggests many trades are losses, but the overall net profit indicates successful risk management. With a Sharpe ratio of 0.72, Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail demonstrates moderate risk-adjusted returns and maintains a flat equity trend, showing stable performance over time.

Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail’s key strengths are their elite Smart Score and ability to sustain profitability with automated, high-volume trading on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and win rate point to a potentially high-risk strategy reliant on precision timing and robust risk controls. The flat equity curve and zero max drawdown duration suggest disciplined execution, but the small portfolio value relative to volume may limit scalability or reflect cautious capital deployment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+202,981
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$486,647
Consistent
43/58 days
High Roller
$5,290/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#127$202,981Vol: $17,658,882

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$202,981
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,658,882
Total Redeem
$16,158
Portfolio
$392
Predictions
15026
total markets
Trades
37289B / 0S
Daily Volume
$5,290
Account Age
91d
since Apr 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$2,081
Vol: $94,843
Week
$21,315
Vol: $1,500,383
Month
$29,588
Vol: $2,477,031
All Time
$202,981
Vol: $17,658,882

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
72%
251W / 97L events
Realized PnL
$616,805
Win Rate
18%
33W / 155L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$143
Avg Loss
$-3,016

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$369
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$365
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$333
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$317
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$312
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$220
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$212
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$195
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$190
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$186

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-10,712
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-8,755
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-7,693
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-7,591
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-7,410
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-7,322
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-6,711
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-6,693
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-6,556
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-6,501

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.724
Sortino
12.307
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$59.960
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
695.0
Very active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.2

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
44% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.78 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.57 — human randomness695 trades/day — automation351 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
130.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
7 entries
<=2
14 entries
<=5
24 entries
<=10
40 entries
<=20
64 entries
<=50
104 entries
>50
182 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)55.3%
High (>55c)32.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.3%

Other$-462,716

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
286

Single bracket

<=1
286 brackets
<=2
286 brackets
<=3
286 brackets
<=4
286 brackets
<=5
286 brackets
<=8
286 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 9:15:24 AM4 trades$111 min
5/19/2026, 1:15:43 PM4 trades$112 min
5/19/2026, 1:25:13 PM1 trades$10 min
5/19/2026, 2:00:08 PM14 trades$303 min
5/19/2026, 2:10:05 PM6 trades$43 min
5/19/2026, 11:16:48 PM2 trades$11 min
5/20/2026, 12:01:03 AM4 trades$290 min
5/20/2026, 12:06:20 AM5 trades$74 min
5/20/2026, 1:15:47 AM7 trades$172 min
5/20/2026, 3:30:09 AM5 trades$90 min
5/20/2026, 3:40:28 AM5 trades$112 min
5/20/2026, 8:48:04 AM14 trades$322 min
5/20/2026, 3:30:04 PM8 trades$252 min
5/20/2026, 8:15:19 PM3 trades$165 min
5/21/2026, 3:30:36 AM2 trades$140 min
5/22/2026, 3:30:09 AM1 trades$30 min
5/22/2026, 5:03:38 AM3 trades$700 min
5/22/2026, 5:45:12 AM5 trades$340 min
5/22/2026, 9:51:51 AM8 trades$950 min
5/22/2026, 11:20:12 AM9 trades$1931 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
05-19
05-28
06-07
06-17
06-28
07-09
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 130.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event