Polydata
Data is 10 days old — refreshing in background...

@Bilz

#2,816,10010

0xf62563d5e09b2ac0305d1e0966439bc98a299d5d

1004d· 245 markets · 762 tradesVol: $112,378 @shekhar_kahar2026-06-23T10:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 22%0/20
Profit Factor 0.52x0/15
HHI 22110/10
Profit Days 17%0/10

Summary

Bilz is a relatively active trader on Polymarket, having executed 762 trades across 243 markets over 440 days. Despite this activity, Bilz ranks low on the global PnL leaderboard at #2,816,100 with a net loss of $1,623.51. The trader’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their overall performance metrics, including a profit factor of 0.53 and a Sharpe ratio of -0.37, indicate consistent unprofitable trading.

Bilz’s trading style appears to be high-volume with a contrarian approach, as suggested by their badges and 31% sell rate. They engage minimally in weather markets (2%) and show a tendency toward risky bets, reflected in a win rate of only 22.5%. The equity trend for Bilz is downward, with a negative Smart Score of 10/100, marking them as a beginner. Their trading lacks sustained profitability or risk management, as indicated by a zero max drawdown duration and a declining portfolio.

The main strength of Bilz lies in their high market engagement and willingness to experiment across many market types on Polymarket. However, the significant net losses, low win rate, and poor risk-adjusted returns highlight considerable risks. Without clear evidence of strategy refinement or improved outcomes, Bilz’s current trajectory suggests persistent underperformance and elevated exposure to downside volatility.

Badges

3
Lottery Player
64% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
90% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,558,172$-1,346Vol: $71,705
SPORTS#1,558,013$-92Vol: $16,184
💻 TECH#234,845$-152Vol: $7,206
🏛️ POLITICS#109,775$32Vol: $6,182
📈 ECONOMICS#589,402$-11Vol: $4,980
📢 MENTIONS#116,130$-7Vol: $3,697
🎭 CULTURE#736,850$-38Vol: $1,975
🌤️ WEATHER#222,570$-6Vol: $249

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,624
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,378
Total Redeem
$66
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
245
total markets
Trades
524B / 238S
Daily Volume
$18
Account Age
1004d
since Oct 3, 2023

Periods

#2
Month
$-10
Vol: $544
All Time
$-1,624
Vol: $112,378

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
21%
29W / 106L events
Realized PnL
$-1,528
Win Rate
22%
49W / 168L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-19

Top Winners

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$309
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?$290
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?$250
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Gia$161
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$125
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$105
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?$97
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on Novem$79
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$46
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$42

Top Losers

Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-406
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-292
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-167
Perle Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-166
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?$-159
Perle Labs FDV above $80M one day after launch?$-80
US government shutdown Saturday?$-80
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?$-79
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-77
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on Nove$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.372
Sortino
-0.383
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$-15.883
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
24.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 254s — typical for humanSize CV 1.76 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
135 entries
<=2
186 entries
<=5
224 entries
<=10
242 entries
<=20
243 entries
<=50
243 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)8.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.5%

Lucknow$114
Los Angeles$1
Chicago$-1
Seoul$-5
Shanghai$-14
Other$-1,615

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
135

Single bracket

<=1
85 brackets
<=2
102 brackets
<=3
119 brackets
<=4
129 brackets
<=5
133 brackets
<=8
135 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/8/2025, 8:07:27 PM1 trades$1490 min
10/9/2025, 9:02:11 AM1 trades$710 min
10/9/2025, 1:55:09 PM1 trades$1420 min
10/10/2025, 11:36:44 PM1 trades$1570 min
10/10/2025, 11:45:50 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/13/2025, 11:21:11 AM2 trades$1480 min
10/15/2025, 3:47:21 AM1 trades$130 min
10/15/2025, 11:35:03 AM3 trades$941 min
10/17/2025, 12:11:00 PM2 trades$490 min
10/17/2025, 2:29:56 PM3 trades$472 min
10/17/2025, 3:57:40 PM3 trades$1161 min
10/18/2025, 11:38:16 AM4 trades$1621 min
10/18/2025, 10:28:34 PM2 trades$760 min
10/21/2025, 4:38:09 PM4 trades$216 min
10/21/2025, 10:34:53 PM2 trades$590 min
10/22/2025, 6:41:52 PM2 trades$400 min
10/23/2025, 1:20:01 PM1 trades$1980 min
10/23/2025, 1:29:59 PM1 trades$290 min
10/23/2025, 2:33:45 PM3 trades$4403 min
10/23/2025, 2:52:47 PM1 trades$1080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-16
12-19
03-31
04-18
05-11
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event