Polydata

@BinaryBaron

#3,065,66841

0x48c5e0c42ea7c2219f8c1c8d46ff0192c87789f3

~169d· 542 markets · 15343 tradesVol: $11,619,9842026-08-01 02:44:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (421/541)20/20
0.88x (win $71,634 / loss $81,569)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5170/15
Sortino -0.5680/10
$-0.0018 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 261 (541 markets)10/10
120/142 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 312% of peak ($34,296 / $11,005)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 78%
DCA Master
Avg 28.4 entries/market
Whale
$5,488,780 invested
Consistent
120/142 profitable days
High Roller
$19,058/day
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#816,705$-44,735Vol: $10,452,843
🏛️ POLITICS#4,012$9,279Vol: $1,000,206
SPORTS#63,863$388Vol: $90,300
CRYPTO#1,659,115$-3,791Vol: $54,929
🌤️ WEATHER#6,783$107Vol: $20,955
💰 FINANCE#40,292$20Vol: $700
💻 TECH#40,636$1Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38,730
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,619,984
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
542
total markets
Trades
11360B / 3983S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d

Periods

#2
Week
$758
Vol: $212,874
All Time
$-38,730
Vol: $11,619,984

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
421W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-38,730
Win Rate
78%
421W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$170
Avg Loss
$-703

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,263 (0.5748316488970973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Xi Jinping out in 2025?$8,904
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$8,021
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5,338
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5,189
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$2,950
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,422
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$2,418
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1,944
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1,522
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1,465

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-21,287
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-10,588
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-8,794
Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?$-4,705
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$-3,482
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-2,994
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-2,435
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-2,325
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-2,122
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,925

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.027
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
124
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 4.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock53 trades/day — mass trading1.9 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.36
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)67.3%

Sessions

#12
12/22/2025, 11:04:13 AM1 trades$125,2020 min
5/5/2026, 2:44:46 PM37 trades$70,81821 min
11/12/2025, 6:01:46 AM10 trades$69,5025 min
3/20/2026, 3:46:33 PM89 trades$67,58824 min
3/18/2026, 2:43:43 PM58 trades$67,39058 min
3/13/2026, 3:47:27 PM40 trades$64,07612 min
5/6/2026, 3:18:21 PM124 trades$63,95640 min
2/26/2026, 11:52:28 AM16 trades$61,00118 min
2/13/2026, 11:58:59 PM16 trades$60,92626 min
4/2/2026, 1:14:37 PM54 trades$58,5949 min
3/4/2026, 4:37:35 PM4 trades$52,4726 min
11/8/2025, 2:02:53 AM1 trades$50,8560 min
2/13/2026, 1:59:27 PM3 trades$50,2492 min
3/19/2026, 12:13:33 AM2 trades$49,8181 min
4/7/2026, 3:38:27 PM106 trades$48,20015 min
4/3/2026, 2:50:17 PM21 trades$46,86311 min
3/3/2026, 4:03:43 PM80 trades$46,73531 min
5/21/2026, 1:00:21 PM10 trades$46,2807 min
2/28/2026, 3:20:31 PM86 trades$45,84261 min
3/7/2026, 10:05:25 AM35 trades$44,28523 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
02-17
03-13
04-06
05-13
06-15
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.3 / M6.4 / H67.3