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@Bitcoin

#2,850,4250

0x7ece00b0e8945e0ff2da0daab4da3efbd283ece2

893d· 4 markets · 15 tradesVol: $3,4602026-06-26T13:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

HHI 47680/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

Bitcoin is a relatively inactive trader on Polymarket, with only 15 trades over 310 days and a total volume of $3,460. Their net PnL stands at -$2,065.90, placing them at rank #2,850,425 on the global PnL leaderboard. The trader currently holds no portfolio value and has a Smart Score of 0/100, indicating beginner-level performance.

Bitcoin’s trading activity is limited to just four markets, showing no engagement with weather markets and a sell percentage of 0%, suggesting a buy-and-hold approach. Their win rate is 0%, and the profit factor is 0.00, which, combined with a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.60, points to consistently unprofitable trades and a high-risk profile. The trader’s timing pattern appears slow and cautious, but the lack of successful trades implies a need for better market timing or strategy adjustments.

The main strength of Bitcoin lies in their long-term commitment to Polymarket, as indicated by the Diamond Hands badge and extended days active. However, the significant losses, zero wins, and poor risk management pose major concerns. Without improvement in strategy or market selection, Bitcoin’s performance is unlikely to improve, highlighting the risks of beginner traders on Polymarket.

Badges

1
Diamond Hands
0% sell

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,731,290$-2,066Vol: $3,460

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,460
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4
total markets
Trades
15B / 0S
Daily Volume
$7
Account Age
893d
since Feb 4, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
0%
0W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$0
Win Rate
0%
0W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$0

Top Winners

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.603
Sortino
-0.603
HHI
4768
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
53.4%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
3/24
Normal
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5m
between trades
Night Trading
73%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
5
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 155s — typical for humanSize CV 1.43 — diverse, typical for human73% at night — bot never sleeps3/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.15 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
4 entries
<=20
4 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)80%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56.2%

Other$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
3

Single bracket

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
3 brackets
<=3
3 brackets
<=4
3 brackets
<=5
3 brackets
<=8
3 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/23/2024, 11:47:57 PM4 trades$3908 min
2/24/2024, 12:03:49 AM2 trades$161 min
2/24/2024, 12:51:35 AM5 trades$2216 min
2/24/2024, 1:10:45 AM1 trades$2310 min
2/24/2024, 1:17:43 AM3 trades$1,2071 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
02-29
12-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event