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@Boiling-Prestige

#2,757,10882

0x0be4d53c21a07e04ee42145b781e02f64d292ed6

248d· 269 markets · 1126 tradesVol: $71,246 @TaskBank2026-06-30T05:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%15/20
Profit Factor 1.65x11/15
Sharpe 0.3326/15
Sortino 1.44610/10
EV $+2.06810/10
HHI 7310/10
Profit Days 74%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Boiling-Prestige is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,126 trades executed over 152 days. Despite a net PnL loss of $614.80, the trader maintains a positive win rate of 66.1% and a profit factor of 2.46, suggesting profitable trades outweigh losses. Ranked #2,757,108 globally, Boiling-Prestige has accumulated $71,246 in total volume, reflecting significant engagement across 263 different markets.

The trader shows a preference for weather-related markets, which constitute 35% of their activity, indicating a niche focus. Boiling-Prestige exhibits a contrarian and sniper trading style, supported by badges like 📉 Contrarian and 🎯 Sniper, and maintains a relatively low sell percentage of 32%, suggesting a patient approach. The Sharpe ratio of 0.33 implies modest risk-adjusted returns, while the absence of prolonged drawdowns points to disciplined risk management. Trading patterns appear consistent and steady, aligned with the "📊 Consistent" and "🧊 Cool Head" badges.

Boiling-Prestige’s strength lies in a solid win rate and profit factor, combined with an upward equity trend and quick recovery from losses. However, the overall negative net PnL and low portfolio value of zero raise concerns about capital preservation and long-term profitability. While the Smart Score of 82/100 indicates strong analytical skills, the Bot Score suggests human decision-making, which can introduce emotional risks. Monitoring capital management and improving drawdown control could enhance this trader’s performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Consistent
49/66 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,521,437$-390Vol: $43,424
🌤️ WEATHER#279,427$-213Vol: $26,832
📈 ECONOMICS#510,306$-2Vol: $643
🎭 CULTURE#623,378$-4Vol: $310
SPORTS#1,179,533$-5Vol: $38

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-615
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,246
Total Redeem
$9,070
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
269
total markets
Trades
766B / 360S
Daily Volume
$148
Account Age
248d
since Nov 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$-59
Vol: $20,214
All Time
$-615
Vol: $71,246

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
133W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$2,407
Win Rate
66%
154W / 79L
Profit Factor
2.46x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $629 (24.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$228
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$210
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$191
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$184
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$145
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?$127
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$112
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$112
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$110

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-257
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$-82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-79
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$-79
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?$-74
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-69
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?$-67
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?$-66
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 19?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.332
Sortino
1.446
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.068
Kelly %
5.6%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — typical for humanSize CV 1.92 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
167 entries
<=2
198 entries
<=5
224 entries
<=10
248 entries
<=20
261 entries
<=50
263 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)45.7%
High (>55c)37.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.3%

Other$2,124
London$556
Dallas$-13
Ankara$-74

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
218

Single bracket

<=1
189 brackets
<=2
206 brackets
<=3
214 brackets
<=4
218 brackets
<=5
218 brackets
<=8
218 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/19/2026, 5:03:22 AM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 7:21:35 AM2 trades$20 min
1/28/2026, 5:56:28 PM2 trades$25 min
2/5/2026, 3:30:47 AM1 trades$10 min
2/7/2026, 3:12:13 AM2 trades$21 min
2/7/2026, 5:43:31 AM1 trades$220 min
2/7/2026, 7:21:45 AM1 trades$140 min
2/7/2026, 8:00:25 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2026, 8:27:21 AM2 trades$181 min
2/7/2026, 8:34:19 AM1 trades$70 min
2/7/2026, 8:43:39 AM1 trades$80 min
2/8/2026, 2:08:59 PM1 trades$810 min
2/9/2026, 1:29:55 AM1 trades$50 min
2/9/2026, 1:50:31 AM1 trades$30 min
2/9/2026, 2:14:01 AM3 trades$547 min
2/9/2026, 8:32:41 AM1 trades$300 min
2/10/2026, 1:54:31 AM1 trades$40 min
2/10/2026, 3:07:55 AM1 trades$640 min
2/10/2026, 10:01:51 AM1 trades$480 min
2/10/2026, 10:07:51 AM1 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-15
03-23
04-12
04-23
05-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
35% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event