Polydata

@Boiling-Prestige

#2,392,04132

0x0be4d53c21a07e04ee42145b781e02f64d292ed6

203d· 170 markets · 982 tradesVol: $40,9412026-05-24T05:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 0.95x2/15
HHI 9010/10
Profit Days 64%9/10
DD/Peak 260%0/10

Summary

Boiling-Prestige is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 982 trades across 170 markets over 125 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $40,941, the trader currently holds a net loss of $151.58 and ranks #2,392,041 globally by PnL. Their smart score of 32/100 and a bot score of 20/100 suggest below-average performance and a likely human trading style. The portfolio value stands at zero, and the equity trend has been declining.

Boiling-Prestige shows a clear preference for weather-related markets, which make up 56% of their trades. Their risk profile appears moderate, with a win rate of 57.5% and a profit factor of 1.46 indicating some profitable trades despite an overall negative net PnL. The trader tends to hold positions without significant drawdown duration, and their sell percentage is 32%, suggesting a mix of holding and active selling. Timing patterns imply a consistent, steady approach rather than aggressive speculation.

The strengths of Boiling-Prestige lie in consistency and a contrarian trading style, as reflected by their badges and relatively stable win rate. However, the downward equity trend and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.03) raise concerns about risk-adjusted returns and capital preservation. Their performance on Polymarket may be vulnerable to market volatility and timing inefficiencies, which could limit long-term profitability.

Badges

3
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Consistent
38/59 days

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#260,640$-213Vol: $26,832
CRYPTO#100,895$73Vol: $13,119
📈 ECONOMICS#496,113$-2Vol: $643
🎭 CULTURE#611,570$-4Vol: $310
SPORTS#1,124,392$-5Vol: $38

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-152
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,941
Total Redeem
$3,412
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
170
total markets
Trades
670B / 312S
Daily Volume
$98
Account Age
203d
since Nov 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-63
Vol: $1,568
Week
$95
Vol: $1,568
Month
$-37
Vol: $13,994
All Time
$-152
Vol: $40,941

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
62%
76W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$626
Win Rate
57%
92W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $603 (70% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$228
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$191
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$184
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$145
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?$127
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$75
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?$68

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on Febr$-157
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$-145
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$-96
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?$-90
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$-82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-79
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$-79
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?$-74

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.192
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — typical for humanSize CV 1.71 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
86 entries
<=2
105 entries
<=5
128 entries
<=10
155 entries
<=20
168 entries
<=50
170 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.2%
Mid (20-55c)48.2%
High (>55c)34.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.8%

Other$837
London$270
Ankara$-74
Dallas$-171

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
122

Single bracket

<=1
93 brackets
<=2
108 brackets
<=3
117 brackets
<=4
122 brackets
<=5
122 brackets
<=8
122 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/19/2026, 5:03:22 AM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 7:21:35 AM2 trades$20 min
1/28/2026, 5:56:28 PM2 trades$25 min
2/5/2026, 3:30:47 AM1 trades$10 min
2/7/2026, 3:12:13 AM2 trades$21 min
2/7/2026, 5:43:31 AM1 trades$220 min
2/7/2026, 7:21:45 AM1 trades$140 min
2/7/2026, 8:00:25 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2026, 8:27:21 AM2 trades$181 min
2/7/2026, 8:34:19 AM1 trades$70 min
2/7/2026, 8:43:39 AM1 trades$80 min
2/8/2026, 2:08:59 PM1 trades$810 min
2/9/2026, 1:29:55 AM1 trades$50 min
2/9/2026, 1:50:31 AM1 trades$30 min
2/9/2026, 2:14:01 AM3 trades$547 min
2/9/2026, 8:32:41 AM1 trades$300 min
2/10/2026, 1:54:31 AM1 trades$40 min
2/10/2026, 3:07:55 AM1 trades$640 min
2/10/2026, 10:01:51 AM1 trades$480 min
2/10/2026, 10:07:51 AM1 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-13
03-04
03-28
04-15
04-24
05-19
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
56.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event