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Bonnie_Blue

@Bonnie_Blue

#1,275100

0x5f8fe08245151828dc063df19ccbb3c9100d40cf

306d· 1048 markets · 12343 tradesVol: $3,093,2992026-05-16T06:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 7.16x15/15
Sharpe 0.97215/15
Sortino 40.09410/10
EV $+1.74410/10
HHI 27710/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Bonnie_Blue is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 12,000 trades executed across 333 markets over 457 days. Despite their rank at #1275 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have accumulated a net profit of $117,364.11 and maintain a portfolio value of $183,964.09. Bonnie_Blue boasts an elite Smart Score of 100/100, reflecting strong analytical skills and consistent performance, supported by a near 1.0 Sharpe ratio indicating balanced risk-adjusted returns.

Their trading strategy appears focused on high-volume and high-frequency activity, with a low win rate of 17.6% but a corresponding low sell percentage of 4%, signaling a contrarian, long-hold approach rather than quick flips. The trader is identified as using automated methods (Bot Score 75/100), which aligns with the steady equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration. Bonnie_Blue tends to avoid weather markets entirely and demonstrates patience and conviction, as suggested by the Diamond Hands badge.

Key strengths for Bonnie_Blue include a disciplined, bot-driven trading style that minimizes drawdowns and preserves capital in volatile markets. However, the low profit factor of 0.17 raises questions about efficiency and profitability per trade. Their reliance on automation may also present risks if market conditions shift rapidly or algorithms underperform. Overall, Bonnie_Blue’s data suggest a stable but cautious presence on Polymarket, balancing volume with strategic restraint.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+117,364
Contrarian
72% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Whale
$342,455
Consistent
39/44 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
CRYPTO#248$112,525Vol: $2,262,462
🏛️ POLITICS#1,483,837$-278Vol: $293,532
📈 ECONOMICS#638,433$-3,169Vol: $258,753
🎭 CULTURE#2,420$2,497Vol: $139,125
💰 FINANCE#599,049$-963Vol: $72,606
💻 TECH#265$6,097Vol: $38,246
SPORTS#43,255$656Vol: $28,552
📢 MENTIONS#84,976$-2Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$117,364
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,093,299
Total Redeem
$85,299
Portfolio
$183,964
Predictions
1048
total markets
Trades
11804B / 539S
Daily Volume
$749
Account Age
306d
since Jul 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$-430
Vol: $0
Month
$-559
Vol: $10,789
All Time
$117,364
Vol: $3,093,299

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
247W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$330,617
Win Rate
18%
45W / 210L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$840
Avg Loss
$-1,058

Top Winners

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$4,290
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$3,870
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2,874
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2,439
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1,796
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1,600
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1,367
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1,218
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?$1,213
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1,183

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$-36,549
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$-9,250
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$-7,799
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-4,616
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$-3,495
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-3,437
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-3,383
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-3,369
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-2,346
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-2,329

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.972
Sortino
40.094
HHI
277
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.744
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
30.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
131.9
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
12.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.9

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
47% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 12.17 — diverse, typical for human38% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.44 — human randomness132 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
22 entries
<=2
33 entries
<=5
46 entries
<=10
73 entries
<=20
124 entries
<=50
256 entries
>50
77 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)56.3%
High (>55c)22.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.2%

Munich$129
Paris$0
Other$-184,587

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
328

Single bracket

<=1
325 brackets
<=2
327 brackets
<=3
327 brackets
<=4
328 brackets
<=5
328 brackets
<=8
328 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/2/2026, 1:13:40 PM50 trades$1,0531 min
2/2/2026, 1:42:26 PM69 trades$1,0890 min
2/2/2026, 4:26:52 PM126 trades$2,0723 min
2/2/2026, 5:24:44 PM46 trades$5805 min
2/3/2026, 12:22:22 PM104 trades$1,8366 min
2/3/2026, 1:09:42 PM313 trades$5,27020 min
2/3/2026, 2:10:16 PM48 trades$2,3295 min
2/3/2026, 4:43:06 PM17 trades$2,1901 min
2/4/2026, 10:49:56 AM35 trades$9374 min
2/4/2026, 10:59:22 AM72 trades$1,5160 min
2/4/2026, 11:54:38 AM134 trades$2,2815 min
2/4/2026, 1:30:44 PM46 trades$4401 min
2/5/2026, 10:49:23 PM3 trades$6253 min
2/6/2026, 7:53:37 AM1 trades$2280 min
2/6/2026, 11:02:39 AM2 trades$1880 min
2/6/2026, 4:04:39 PM1 trades$1,1400 min
2/6/2026, 8:49:57 PM2 trades$160 min
2/6/2026, 9:04:11 PM2 trades$514 min
2/6/2026, 10:02:25 PM1 trades$6480 min
2/6/2026, 10:52:41 PM1 trades$1,3040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-03
02-18
03-08
04-04
04-18
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event