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Broken-Teriyaki

@Broken-Teriyaki

#1,08937

0xbb9c165825e9f233d1f611b50b193fe94513072b

611d· 822 markets · 7157 tradesVol: $8,255,947 @Jesterthegoose2026-07-01T13:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.08x0/15
HHI 19310/10
Profit Days 57%7/10

Summary

Broken-Teriyaki is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 7,157 trades across 295 markets over 759 days. They currently rank #1089 on the global PnL leaderboard, having accumulated a net profit of $173,537.91 on a total traded volume exceeding $8.2 million. Despite the sizable net PnL, their portfolio value has declined to $423.71, reflecting an overall downward equity trend and a below-average Smart Score of 37/100.

The trader appears to prefer diverse markets but does not engage in weather markets. With a 62.2% win rate and a slightly higher sell percentage (52%), Broken-Teriyaki demonstrates a balanced approach to buying and selling. Their trading style suggests a human-driven strategy rather than automated, supported by a low bot score of 25/100. The presence of badges like Sniper, Profitable, and DCA Master indicates a focus on precision entries and dollar-cost averaging techniques, though their negative Sharpe ratio (-0.35) points to risk-adjusted performance challenges.

Broken-Teriyaki’s strengths lie in their ability to generate consistent wins and maintain a profitable track record on Polymarket, evidenced by their profit factor and win streak badges. However, concerns arise from their declining portfolio value and negative risk metrics, including the Sharpe ratio and equity trend. This suggests potential vulnerability to drawdowns and a need for improved risk management to sustain long-term growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+173,538
DCA Master
avg 11.6 entries/market
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
Whale
$4,079,884
High Roller
$5,375/day

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#47$115,395Vol: $4,024,979
🏛️ POLITICS#2,070$21,049Vol: $2,176,333
CRYPTO#4,005$11,589Vol: $844,431
💰 FINANCE#757$6,830Vol: $526,608
💻 TECH#103$14,751Vol: $289,518
📈 ECONOMICS#1,434$2,749Vol: $243,788
📢 MENTIONS#2,166$496Vol: $68,300
SPORTS#54,414$487Vol: $67,155
🌤️ WEATHER#42,222$2Vol: $1,947

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$173,538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,255,947
Total Redeem
$1,657,468
Portfolio
$424
Predictions
822
total markets
Trades
3436B / 3721S
Daily Volume
$5,375
Account Age
611d
since Oct 31, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-530
Vol: $7,233
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$173,538
Vol: $8,255,947

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
163W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$238,193
Win Rate
62%
178W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$657
Avg Loss
$-13,238

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$9,061
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$8,871
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$6,519
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2,$6,506
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026$4,948
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4,108
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3,785
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$2,932
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2,540
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, $2,220

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-92,676
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-92,193
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-85,955
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-74,483
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?$-71,086
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 202$-60,523
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 202$-50,526
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$-50,333
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2$-47,918
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 202$-43,359

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.349
Sortino
-0.254
HHI
193
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.322
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 4.85 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness12 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
57 entries
<=2
79 entries
<=5
127 entries
<=10
196 entries
<=20
241 entries
<=50
288 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)70.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 59%

New York City$-10,170
Other$-1,302,527

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
192

Single bracket

<=1
119 brackets
<=2
168 brackets
<=3
187 brackets
<=4
191 brackets
<=5
192 brackets
<=8
192 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/3/2024, 9:24:20 AM1 trades$100 min
12/3/2024, 11:36:16 AM3 trades$686 min
12/3/2024, 11:47:17 AM1 trades$60 min
12/3/2024, 11:58:17 AM1 trades$90 min
12/3/2024, 12:07:45 PM5 trades$176 min
12/3/2024, 12:58:39 PM1 trades$600 min
12/3/2024, 1:15:05 PM1 trades$990 min
12/3/2024, 1:47:20 PM2 trades$674 min
12/3/2024, 2:19:52 PM1 trades$500 min
12/5/2024, 7:23:14 AM1 trades$10 min
12/5/2024, 8:39:06 AM1 trades$10 min
12/5/2024, 9:57:14 AM2 trades$744 min
12/8/2024, 9:41:13 AM1 trades$240 min
12/8/2024, 9:46:44 AM1 trades$430 min
12/8/2024, 10:11:16 AM3 trades$733 min
12/8/2024, 11:42:48 AM4 trades$764 min
12/8/2024, 11:53:48 AM1 trades$30 min
12/8/2024, 12:15:47 PM1 trades$850 min
12/8/2024, 12:38:43 PM4 trades$411 min
12/8/2024, 1:56:48 PM1 trades$330 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-25
01-10
02-28
04-30
06-02
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event