Polydata

@Bromley

#198,45741

0xf47a40d80b234b6f26db403394146e867741f4cd

130d· 30 markets · 62 tradesVol: $33,9092026-07-18T14:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 1.16x5/15
Sharpe 0.0341/15
Sortino 0.0561/10
EV $+0.21710/10
HHI 6259/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 92%0/10

Summary

Bromley is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 62 trades executed over the course of a year. Ranked #198457 globally by net profit and holding a net PnL of $144.84, Bromley has maintained a steady presence with a total trading volume of $33,909. Their smart score of 41/100 indicates average overall performance, supported by a win rate of 62.5% and a profit factor of 4.79, suggesting effective trade selection despite a low Sharpe ratio of 0.03.

In terms of strategy, Bromley appears to favor diverse markets, having traded in 30 different ones without any exposure to weather markets. The trader's profile suggests a balanced risk approach, evidenced by a moderate sell percentage of 32% and an absence of prolonged drawdowns. Bromley’s trading style leans toward manual decision-making rather than automated strategies, as reflected in their low bot score. The equity trend is upward, indicating consistent growth in trading outcomes over time.

Bromley’s strengths lie in a solid win rate and high profit factor, which point to profitable trade choices and sound risk management. However, the low Sharpe ratio and modest smart score indicate potential volatility and inconsistency in returns. Additionally, the absence of a current portfolio value may imply a cautious or cyclical trading pattern. Overall, Bromley demonstrates a steady but moderate approach to Polymarket trading, with room for improvement in maximizing risk-adjusted returns.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+145
Lottery Player
60% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
62% entries <$0.50

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,538,863$-165Vol: $24,138
SPORTS#43,913$771Vol: $5,294
💰 FINANCE#552,046$-7Vol: $900
🎭 CULTURE#643,286$-5Vol: $880
📈 ECONOMICS#536,495$-3Vol: $722

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$145
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,909
Total Redeem
$3,372
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
42B / 20S
Daily Volume
$18
Account Age
130d
since Mar 10, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
15W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$811
Win Rate
63%
15W / 8L
Profit Factor
4.79x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $862 (104.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)$726
WTT - Men's Singles: Jae-Hyun An vs Felix Lebrun$96
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$40
Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group St$36
Antalya 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Carole Monnet$36
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$24
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)$24
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$15
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?$12
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$8

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$-187
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?$-9
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$-8
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$-5
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?$-3
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31,$-3
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30$-2
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.056
HHI
625
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.217
Kelly %
52.4%
Half-Kelly
26.2%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
38.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3738s — typical for humanSize CV 1.29 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps9/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
18 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
30 entries
<=20
30 entries
<=50
30 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)38.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 28.1%

Other$824

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
30

Single bracket

<=1
30 brackets
<=2
30 brackets
<=3
30 brackets
<=4
30 brackets
<=5
30 brackets
<=8
30 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 6:27:01 AM1 trades$2010 min
3/11/2026, 7:48:47 AM1 trades$2020 min
3/11/2026, 8:47:21 AM1 trades$2040 min
3/12/2026, 11:35:17 AM1 trades$2340 min
3/13/2026, 7:03:23 AM1 trades$2230 min
3/13/2026, 8:03:31 AM1 trades$2140 min
3/13/2026, 9:04:01 AM1 trades$2040 min
3/16/2026, 5:42:35 AM2 trades$170 min
3/16/2026, 6:45:09 AM1 trades$120 min
3/16/2026, 7:16:39 AM1 trades$2120 min
4/19/2026, 6:48:02 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/19/2026, 7:50:20 AM1 trades$8120 min
5/5/2026, 3:24:52 AM2 trades$141 min
5/5/2026, 5:18:48 AM1 trades$220 min
5/5/2026, 6:36:36 AM2 trades$290 min
5/6/2026, 6:03:52 AM2 trades$220 min
5/6/2026, 7:37:04 AM1 trades$230 min
5/6/2026, 8:23:06 AM2 trades$230 min
5/7/2026, 2:47:46 AM1 trades$3210 min
5/7/2026, 5:37:22 AM1 trades$3190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-19
05-05
05-10
06-02
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event