Polydata
BuckMySalls

@BuckMySalls

#17831

0x509587cbb541251c74f261df3421f1fcc9fdc97c

1676d· 1038 markets · 14903 tradesVol: $36,672,6862026-07-05T10:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.15x0/15
HHI 21510/10
Profit Days 36%1/10
DD/Peak 116848%0/10

Summary

BuckMySalls is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #178 on the global profit and loss leaderboard with a net PnL of approximately $931,000. Over 1,371 days, they have executed nearly 15,000 trades across 296 markets, accumulating a total trading volume of over $36 million. Despite a substantial net profit, their portfolio currently holds no open positions, and their overall smart score is below average at 31 out of 100.

This trader tends to display a high-frequency trading style with a focus on rapid execution rather than long-term positions, as indicated by their lack of drawdown duration and a relatively low sell percentage of 31%. BuckMySalls has a win rate under 45% and a profit factor of 0.15, suggesting that many trades are small wins or losses balanced by fewer, larger profitable trades. Their negative Sharpe ratio of -0.27 points to a risk profile with returns that have not adequately compensated for volatility. The absence of weather market activity shows a preference for other event types.

BuckMySalls’s strengths include a strong upward equity trend and recognition as a high roller with multiple badges signaling profitability and winning streaks. However, their below-average smart score and negative risk-adjusted returns may signal inconsistent performance over time. The low bot score suggests trades are human-driven but executed quickly, which could introduce timing risks. Overall, BuckMySalls remains a notable trader on Polymarket with a high volume approach but carries risks related to strategy consistency and risk management.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+930,998
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$10,525,078
High Roller
$7,677/day

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#79$559,860Vol: $17,356,472
📈 ECONOMICS#55$111,845Vol: $6,216,062
CRYPTO#666$56,189Vol: $5,533,272
SPORTS#954$70,170Vol: $2,976,358
📢 MENTIONS#11$104,029Vol: $1,974,133
🎭 CULTURE#606$13,329Vol: $1,862,575
💰 FINANCE#643,844$-6,806Vol: $433,585
💻 TECH#236$7,597Vol: $124,531

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$930,998
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,672,686
Total Redeem
$330,422
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1038
total markets
Trades
10314B / 4589S
Daily Volume
$7,677
Account Age
1676d
since Dec 5, 2021

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
215W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$1,996,743
Win Rate
45%
120W / 147L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$6,608
Avg Loss
$-36,084

Top Winners

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$150,062
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$76,750
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$52,641
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$29,614
US national Solana reserve in 2025?$27,226
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$20,436
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by Dece$20,241
US national XRP reserve in 2025?$19,162
Solana above $130 on April 4?$18,298
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?$17,731

Top Losers

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$-440,023
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$-368,425
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$-365,792
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-318,485
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$-233,275
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$-214,014
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$-179,011
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-177,007
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$-163,456
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?$-152,098

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.266
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
215
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.431
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.9m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 203s — typical for humanSize CV 4.86 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
42 entries
<=2
62 entries
<=5
98 entries
<=10
141 entries
<=20
189 entries
<=50
253 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)36.7%
High (>55c)56.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40.1%

Munich$-1,077
Up or Down$-1,999
Warsaw$-3,466
Madrid$-14,427
New York City$-20,642
Other$-4,469,756

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
246

Single bracket

<=1
219 brackets
<=2
238 brackets
<=3
244 brackets
<=4
244 brackets
<=5
244 brackets
<=8
244 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/9/2023, 11:11:22 AM1 trades$4400 min
7/19/2023, 9:54:23 AM1 trades$790 min
7/19/2023, 1:29:52 PM1 trades$50 min
7/19/2023, 2:25:30 PM1 trades$50 min
7/20/2023, 8:05:03 AM1 trades$10 min
7/22/2023, 3:32:07 PM2 trades$1501 min
7/24/2023, 5:50:28 AM1 trades$1380 min
7/27/2023, 2:06:11 PM1 trades$710 min
8/3/2023, 6:50:35 AM1 trades$750 min
8/4/2023, 7:28:00 PM1 trades$80 min
8/6/2023, 5:12:42 PM3 trades$3331 min
8/8/2023, 8:04:55 AM1 trades$870 min
8/8/2023, 8:33:51 AM2 trades$92 min
8/8/2023, 9:10:20 AM1 trades$40 min
8/8/2023, 9:25:56 AM1 trades$40 min
8/8/2023, 9:37:22 AM1 trades$40 min
8/8/2023, 10:23:23 AM1 trades$200 min
8/8/2023, 2:03:17 PM1 trades$150 min
8/8/2023, 3:47:22 PM1 trades$4320 min
8/8/2023, 6:52:15 PM2 trades$1411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-08
01-20
04-28
07-10
10-01
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event