Polydata
BuckMySalls

@BuckMySalls

#13831

0x509587cbb541251c74f261df3421f1fcc9fdc97c

1631d· 1037 markets · 15237 tradesVol: $36,647,4772026-05-24T05:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.14x0/15
HHI 21810/10
Profit Days 36%1/10
DD/Peak 68235%0/10

Summary

BuckMySalls is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #138 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $930,000. Over 1,371 days, they have executed 15,237 trades across 298 markets, generating a total volume near $36.6 million. Despite the high volume and profit, BuckMySalls’s Smart Score is below average at 31/100, and their portfolio value currently stands at $27,228, suggesting significant fluctuations over time.

This trader shows a preference for a wide range of markets but notably avoids weather-related ones, focusing instead on other event types. BuckMySalls has a relatively low win rate of 44.8% and a profit factor of 0.14, indicating a risky trading style with frequent losses offset by occasional large wins. Their Sharpe ratio is negative (-0.28), reflecting volatility and potential downside risk. The sell percentage is 31%, suggesting they hold positions for some duration rather than rapid flipping. The upward equity trend hints at a longer-term growth despite short-term setbacks.

BuckMySalls’s strengths include an impressive net PnL and a consistent upward equity trend, highlighting resilience and the ability to capitalize on select opportunities. However, their low profit factor, below-average Smart and Bot scores, and negative Sharpe ratio expose potential vulnerabilities, such as poor risk management and inconsistent performance. For traders analyzing Polymarket, BuckMySalls exemplifies a high-volume, high-risk approach that may yield large profits but involves significant drawdowns and variability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+930,005
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$10,763,476
High Roller
$7,851/day

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#71$558,868Vol: $17,331,263
📈 ECONOMICS#47$111,845Vol: $6,216,062
CRYPTO#595$56,189Vol: $5,533,272
SPORTS#865$70,170Vol: $2,976,358
📢 MENTIONS#11$104,029Vol: $1,974,133
🎭 CULTURE#580$13,329Vol: $1,862,575
💰 FINANCE#611,688$-6,806Vol: $433,585
💻 TECH#215$7,597Vol: $124,531

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$930,005
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,647,477
Total Redeem
$277,330
Portfolio
$27,228
Predictions
1037
total markets
Trades
10534B / 4703S
Daily Volume
$7,851
Account Age
1631d
since Dec 5, 2021

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $0
Week
$2,023
Vol: $0
Month
$2,104
Vol: $126,884
All Time
$930,005
Vol: $36,647,477

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
216W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$1,996,463
Win Rate
45%
120W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$6,390
Avg Loss
$-37,035

Top Winners

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$149,362
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$79,191
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$52,641
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$20,436
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by Dece$20,241
US national XRP reserve in 2025?$19,162
Solana above $130 on April 4?$18,298
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?$17,731
US national Solana reserve in 2025?$17,218
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?$16,440

Top Losers

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$-440,023
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$-368,425
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$-365,792
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$-357,910
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-318,485
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$-212,688
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$-179,011
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-177,007
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$-163,605
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?$-152,098

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.276
Sortino
-0.234
HHI
218
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.443
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — typical for humanSize CV 4.86 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
42 entries
<=2
62 entries
<=5
98 entries
<=10
143 entries
<=20
189 entries
<=50
254 entries
>50
44 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)56.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.1%

New York City$4,976
Munich$-1,077
Up or Down$-1,999
Warsaw$-3,466
Madrid$-14,427
Other$-4,698,388

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
247

Single bracket

<=1
219 brackets
<=2
239 brackets
<=3
245 brackets
<=4
245 brackets
<=5
245 brackets
<=8
245 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/16/2023, 2:07:14 AM3 trades$2,9992 min
3/16/2023, 10:44:28 AM4 trades$1,0016 min
3/16/2023, 3:38:00 PM4 trades$7,2322 min
7/9/2023, 11:11:22 AM1 trades$4400 min
7/19/2023, 9:54:23 AM1 trades$790 min
7/19/2023, 1:29:52 PM1 trades$50 min
7/19/2023, 2:25:30 PM1 trades$50 min
7/20/2023, 8:05:03 AM1 trades$10 min
7/22/2023, 3:32:07 PM2 trades$1501 min
7/24/2023, 5:50:28 AM1 trades$1380 min
7/27/2023, 2:06:11 PM1 trades$710 min
8/3/2023, 6:50:35 AM1 trades$750 min
8/4/2023, 7:28:00 PM1 trades$80 min
8/6/2023, 5:12:42 PM3 trades$3331 min
8/8/2023, 8:04:55 AM1 trades$870 min
8/8/2023, 8:33:51 AM2 trades$92 min
8/8/2023, 9:10:20 AM1 trades$40 min
8/8/2023, 9:25:56 AM1 trades$40 min
8/8/2023, 9:37:22 AM1 trades$40 min
8/8/2023, 10:23:23 AM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-03
01-19
04-20
07-09
09-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event