Polydata

@Bustling-Hurt

#33,37183

0xdd27062bddfe3a28000c77489acd6a717f634721

223d· 585 markets · 571 tradesVol: $66,597 @Nato1102012026-06-27T11:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%17/20
Profit Factor 2.84x15/15
Sharpe 0.2104/15
Sortino 1.62010/10
EV $+2.08110/10
HHI 54210/10
Profit Days 61%8/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Bustling-Hurt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 571 trades across 449 markets over 349 days. Ranked #33,371 globally by net PnL, they have achieved a positive net profit of $3,282.09 on a total trading volume of $66,597, maintaining a perfect 100% win rate. Despite this, their profit factor is recorded as 0.00 and their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating possible withdrawal or closed positions. Their smart score of 83/100 reflects strong overall trading performance.

The trader’s strategy appears to involve a contrarian style with a focus on selective markets, including a small 2% exposure to weather markets. Bustling-Hurt’s low sell percentage of 10% and badges such as "Diamond Hands" suggest a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently exit. The Sharpe ratio of 0.21 indicates low risk-adjusted returns, pointing to a conservative risk profile. Their equity trend is stable, with no significant drawdowns, and the bot score of 40/100 suggests a hybrid manual and automated trading approach.

Key strengths of Bustling-Hurt include consistent profitability and excellent timing reflected in a perfect win rate and a very good smart score. However, the zero portfolio value and a flat equity trend could indicate limited capital deployment or a cautious trading scale. Additionally, the low Sharpe ratio and profit factor might suggest modest returns relative to the risk taken. Overall, Bustling-Hurt demonstrates disciplined trading but may face challenges scaling performance further on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+3,282
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
10% sell
Win Streak
184 wins in a row
Consistent
42/69 days
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

8
SPORTS#11,039$3,610Vol: $48,589
CRYPTO#210,558$12Vol: $5,235
🏛️ POLITICS#1,320,210$-16Vol: $1,931
🌤️ WEATHER#240,087$-12Vol: $841
📢 MENTIONS#147,298$-41Vol: $638
🎭 CULTURE#629,163$-5Vol: $411
💰 FINANCE#415,828$-0Vol: $246
📈 ECONOMICS#460,998$-1Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,282
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$66,597
Total Redeem
$10,308
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
585
total markets
Trades
514B / 57S
Daily Volume
$31
Account Age
223d
since Nov 16, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $464
Week
$-109
Vol: $4,096
Month
$-153
Vol: $7,717
All Time
$3,282
Vol: $66,597

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
64%
231W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$6,831
Win Rate
100%
184W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,056 (42.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Suns vs. Trail Blazers$1,222
Jazz vs. Lakers$747
Games Total: O/U 3.5$86
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$70
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$70
Spread: Spain (-4.5)$58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?$52
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - $48
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?$47
Games Total: O/U 3.5$47

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.210
Sortino
1.620
HHI
542
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
36%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2394s — typical for humanSize CV 5.18 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.89 — human randomness396 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
405 entries
<=2
435 entries
<=5
449 entries
<=10
449 entries
<=20
449 entries
<=50
449 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.2%
Mid (20-55c)55.4%
High (>55c)24.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 72.9%

Other$4,729
Madrid$81
London$6
Paris$0
Wellington$0
Seattle$0
Seoul$0
Warsh$0
New York City$0
Milan$0
Chicago$0
Toronto$0
Atlanta$0
Miami$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
389

Single bracket

<=1
345 brackets
<=2
376 brackets
<=3
387 brackets
<=4
388 brackets
<=5
389 brackets
<=8
389 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/18/2025, 6:02:39 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
11/19/2025, 3:56:07 AM1 trades$2,2420 min
2/7/2026, 5:49:55 PM1 trades$310 min
2/7/2026, 11:13:59 PM2 trades$302 min
2/7/2026, 11:29:39 PM1 trades$150 min
2/8/2026, 1:42:25 AM2 trades$364 min
2/8/2026, 8:37:55 AM3 trades$151 min
2/8/2026, 9:28:33 AM1 trades$50 min
2/8/2026, 12:45:07 PM1 trades$200 min
2/8/2026, 1:59:57 PM2 trades$203 min
2/8/2026, 4:23:29 PM1 trades$170 min
2/8/2026, 4:28:35 PM2 trades$233 min
2/8/2026, 5:12:35 PM3 trades$358 min
2/8/2026, 5:34:07 PM1 trades$50 min
2/8/2026, 5:40:23 PM1 trades$60 min
2/8/2026, 6:48:51 PM1 trades$220 min
2/8/2026, 7:37:13 PM1 trades$330 min
2/8/2026, 7:47:43 PM1 trades$110 min
2/8/2026, 7:53:17 PM2 trades$101 min
2/9/2026, 6:09:31 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
02-15
03-01
03-12
03-23
05-23
06-26
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event