Polydata

@Caring-Tournament

#16,03789

0x34b0d22d39b71562a2c8d31823cc83185b533c56

135d· 114 markets · 351 tradesVol: $88,9542026-06-14T14:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 8.64x15/15
Sharpe 0.53610/15
Sortino 0.4304/10
EV $+12424.43510/10
HHI 20510/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 11%10/10

Summary

Caring-Tournament is an active Polymarket trader ranked #16,037 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 298 days, they have executed 351 trades across 114 markets, accumulating a net PnL of $7,982.68 on a total volume of nearly $89,000. Their Smart Score of 89/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance and disciplined trading. Despite a modest portfolio value of $0.25, their equity trend shows steady upward growth.

The trader demonstrates a preference for diverse markets, although they avoid weather-related contracts entirely. With an 85.8% win rate and a high profit factor of 19.95, Caring-Tournament employs a low-risk strategy characterized by frequent, confident entries and a slight bias toward selling, as indicated by their 56% sell rate. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.54 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective drawdown management. Their top badges, including Sniper and Contrarian, imply a precise and sometimes contrarian approach, likely leveraging timing for short-term gains.

Caring-Tournament’s strengths lie in their consistency, high win rate, and disciplined risk management, making them a reliable presence on Polymarket. Potential risks include the relatively low Sharpe ratio, which hints at moderate volatility, and a nearly depleted portfolio value that may limit future trading capacity. Nonetheless, their upward equity trend and elite Smart Score indicate strong skill and adaptability in a competitive trading environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+7,983
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Consistent
49/55 days
Cool Head
DD 11%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#10,811$4,192Vol: $51,124
💰 FINANCE#1,262$3,791Vol: $37,830

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,983
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,954
Total Redeem
$21
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
155B / 196S
Daily Volume
$23
Account Age
135d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1,029
Vol: $0
Month
$1,063
Vol: $5,382
All Time
$7,983
Vol: $88,954

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
91W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$7,983
Win Rate
86%
97W / 16L
Profit Factor
19.95x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,633 (29.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 14?$1,305
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$684
Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 23?$644
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?$570
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?$413
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?$362
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 13?$337
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$335
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?$316
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?$270

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?$-205
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April $-90
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 12?$-75
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of May 4 2026?$-50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?$-24
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 30?$-21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 9?$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?$-1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$-1
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 5?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.536
Sortino
0.430
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$12424.435
Kelly %
76.4%
Half-Kelly
38.2%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 488s — typical for humanSize CV 1.23 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.45 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
92 entries
<=2
108 entries
<=5
113 entries
<=10
113 entries
<=20
114 entries
<=50
114 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)71%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.8%

Other$8,915

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
106

Single bracket

<=1
98 brackets
<=2
106 brackets
<=3
106 brackets
<=4
106 brackets
<=5
106 brackets
<=8
106 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 12:53:53 AM1 trades$250 min
3/8/2026, 3:42:19 AM1 trades$430 min
3/9/2026, 1:10:45 PM2 trades$4151 min
3/9/2026, 2:10:09 PM1 trades$00 min
3/9/2026, 7:28:03 PM17 trades$185 min
3/9/2026, 7:50:57 PM1 trades$50 min
3/10/2026, 8:01:49 AM5 trades$72 min
3/10/2026, 1:35:55 PM1 trades$40 min
3/12/2026, 3:28:57 AM1 trades$750 min
3/13/2026, 12:54:37 AM1 trades$490 min
3/13/2026, 8:20:05 AM1 trades$00 min
3/13/2026, 1:53:43 PM2 trades$4802 min
3/13/2026, 2:27:39 PM2 trades$775 min
3/13/2026, 4:05:03 PM1 trades$1400 min
3/13/2026, 5:23:51 PM1 trades$800 min
3/14/2026, 2:20:33 AM2 trades$1,5454 min
3/18/2026, 2:02:21 PM1 trades$1050 min
3/19/2026, 11:05:37 AM1 trades$200 min
3/19/2026, 11:10:59 AM5 trades$3412 min
3/19/2026, 12:03:35 PM1 trades$710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
03-28
04-10
04-21
05-05
05-30
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event