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@Chubby-Archeology

#2,625,62719

0xbee39bb37c9d2b51a56504a98b07a0dfea8fac5b

218d· 52 markets · 69 tradesVol: $5,441 @ramilashrff2026-06-12T10:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 0.34x0/15
HHI 11537/10
Profit Days 33%1/10

Summary

Chubby-Archeology is a relatively low-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2,625,627 globally with a net loss of $458.30 despite a moderate trading volume of $5,441 over 69 trades. Their activity spans 401 days with participation in 52 different markets, reflecting consistent engagement but limited overall profitability. The trader’s Smart Score of 19 indicates a beginner-level status, and the portfolio value currently stands at zero.

The trader appears to favor a diverse set of markets, though none specifically in weather, with a moderate win rate of 75% and a profit factor of 1.47, suggesting some ability to generate gains on winning trades. Chubby-Archeology’s style is manual and human-driven, with a low sell percentage of 16%, indicating a tendency to hold positions longer rather than quick flipping. The Sharpe ratio of -0.41 and a zero-day max drawdown duration suggest volatility in returns and some unsuccessful risk management.

Chubby-Archeology’s key strength lies in a steady upward equity trend and a notable win streak badge, which indicates the potential for improved future performance. However, the negative PnL and low Smart Score highlight risks related to trading skill and strategy effectiveness. The overall profile suggests a trader still developing expertise in Polymarket with room for refinement in risk control and trade timing.

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,446,689$-213Vol: $3,124
⚽ SPORTS#1,357,932$-23Vol: $65

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-458
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,441
Total Redeem
$431
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
58B / 11S
Daily Volume
$3
Account Age
218d
since Nov 26, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$7
Vol: $994
Month
$7
Vol: $994
All Time
$-458
Vol: $5,441

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
28W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$93
Win Rate
75%
27W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $82 (127.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$25
Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alp$24
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoff$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$7

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-64
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$-23
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.410
Sortino
-0.369
HHI
1153
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.832
Kelly %
37.5%
Half-Kelly
18.7%
Top-1 market
27.3%
Top-5 markets
59.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 373s — typical for humanSize CV 1.82 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern14/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
48 entries
<=2
50 entries
<=5
52 entries
<=10
52 entries
<=20
52 entries
<=50
52 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)41.4%
High (>55c)48.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.7%

Other$64
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
52

Single bracket

<=1
52 brackets
<=2
52 brackets
<=3
52 brackets
<=4
52 brackets
<=5
52 brackets
<=8
52 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/26/2025, 9:41:27 PM1 trades$30 min
11/27/2025, 9:13:03 PM1 trades$40 min
11/28/2025, 9:27:31 PM1 trades$70 min
12/4/2025, 1:10:15 PM1 trades$1790 min
12/5/2025, 10:34:07 PM1 trades$160 min
12/17/2025, 12:33:00 PM1 trades$1660 min
12/17/2025, 4:43:32 PM1 trades$1660 min
12/28/2025, 9:06:19 AM1 trades$190 min
1/24/2026, 7:59:54 PM1 trades$450 min
1/26/2026, 7:47:57 AM2 trades$831 min
1/26/2026, 11:36:29 AM1 trades$30 min
1/26/2026, 11:47:39 AM1 trades$100 min
4/29/2026, 3:03:38 PM1 trades$260 min
5/1/2026, 3:33:12 PM1 trades$290 min
5/1/2026, 5:10:34 PM1 trades$190 min
5/7/2026, 3:09:34 PM1 trades$230 min
5/9/2026, 5:42:51 PM1 trades$2180 min
5/17/2026, 5:15:31 PM1 trades$120 min
5/17/2026, 9:06:22 PM2 trades$361 min
5/18/2026, 8:15:48 AM2 trades$113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
11-28
01-01
05-01
05-09
05-18
05-21
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event