Polydata
Clever-Dancing

@Clever-Dancing

#2,576,60137

0xff2066038b5047e9b78e36d11434a44b3b21cf47

1570d· 2580 markets · 2887 tradesVol: $107,107 @BearGrizzzy2026-05-21T08:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.18x0/15
HHI 3410/10
Profit Days 58%7/10

Summary

Clever-Dancing is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having placed 2,887 trades across 1,166 markets over 639 days. Despite the high volume of $107,107 traded, their net profit and loss stands at -$663.97, positioning them at rank #2,576,601 globally. Their overall smart score is below average at 37 out of 100, and the portfolio value is currently low at $48.15, reflecting limited profitability.

The trader prefers a high-frequency approach with a focus on manual trading, as indicated by a low bot score of 5. Clever-Dancing maintains a win rate of 58.5%, which suggests some consistency, but their profit factor of 0.18 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.32) imply that losses outweigh gains significantly. The sell percentage is minimal at 4%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than actively exiting trades. There is no evidence of weather market participation, showing a preference for other market types.

Clever-Dancing’s key strength lies in their persistence and growth in equity trend despite losses, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, which suggest patience and selective entry. However, the negative profitability metrics and below-average smart score highlight risks in their strategy’s effectiveness and risk management. The lack of drawdown duration might reflect quick cutoffs of losing trades, but overall, their performance suggests room for improvement in trade selection and capital preservation.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
30 wins in a row

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,453,395$-599Vol: $58,819
SPORTS#1,312,498$-19Vol: $11,407
🏛️ POLITICS#1,102,186$-5Vol: $9,329
🎭 CULTURE#679,014$-14Vol: $9,179
📢 MENTIONS#117,240$-9Vol: $8,799
💰 FINANCE#526,101$-8Vol: $4,131
🌤️ WEATHER#207,944$-5Vol: $4,097
📈 ECONOMICS#522,940$-4Vol: $1,205
💻 TECH#162,774$-1Vol: $141

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-664
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,107
Total Redeem
$3,910
Portfolio
$48
Predictions
2580
total markets
Trades
2768B / 119S
Daily Volume
$15
Account Age
1570d
since Jan 31, 2022

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $1
Week
$16
Vol: $229
Month
$-31
Vol: $51,434
All Time
$-664
Vol: $107,107

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
251W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$3,179
Win Rate
58%
401W / 284L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-13

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$11

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$-91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$-74
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-69
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.318
Sortino
-0.224
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.377
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
59.9m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 1.13 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.89 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.4
Moderate DCA
<=1
650 entries
<=2
843 entries
<=5
1052 entries
<=10
1149 entries
<=20
1165 entries
<=50
1166 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)52.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 71.5%

Madrid$2
Paris$1
Up or Down$0
Hong Kong$0
Miami$0
Tokyo$0
Denver$0
Dallas$0
Other$-2,935

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1151

Single bracket

<=1
1144 brackets
<=2
1149 brackets
<=3
1150 brackets
<=4
1150 brackets
<=5
1150 brackets
<=8
1150 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/24/2025, 7:36:44 AM1 trades$10 min
7/25/2025, 6:07:14 AM1 trades$10 min
7/26/2025, 7:25:41 AM1 trades$10 min
7/28/2025, 9:25:43 AM1 trades$10 min
7/31/2025, 6:05:51 AM1 trades$10 min
8/2/2025, 6:50:20 AM1 trades$10 min
8/20/2025, 9:26:05 AM1 trades$10 min
8/23/2025, 7:48:31 AM1 trades$10 min
8/24/2025, 6:04:13 AM1 trades$10 min
8/25/2025, 10:00:21 AM1 trades$10 min
8/26/2025, 11:29:25 AM1 trades$10 min
8/27/2025, 7:28:29 AM1 trades$10 min
8/28/2025, 7:06:15 AM1 trades$10 min
8/30/2025, 5:02:53 AM1 trades$10 min
8/31/2025, 3:17:08 PM1 trades$10 min
8/31/2025, 3:26:52 PM1 trades$10 min
9/2/2025, 9:46:52 AM1 trades$10 min
9/6/2025, 5:42:26 AM1 trades$10 min
9/10/2025, 7:57:25 AM1 trades$10 min
9/12/2025, 5:12:03 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
03-10
03-28
04-09
04-21
05-04
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event