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Clever-Dancing

@Clever-Dancing

#2,760,53538

0xff2066038b5047e9b78e36d11434a44b3b21cf47

1613d· 2757 markets · 2923 tradesVol: $140,458 @BearGrizzzy2026-06-28T14:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.11x0/15
HHI 3110/10
Profit Days 61%8/10

Summary

Clever-Dancing is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,923 trades across 1,257 markets over 474 days. Despite a high trading volume of $140,458, the trader currently holds a global PnL rank of #2,760,535 with a net loss of $699.76. Their Smart Score is below average at 38/100, and their portfolio value stands at $5.48, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability.

The trader appears to favor a high-frequency, manual trading approach, as indicated by the low Bot Score of 5/100 and a high number of trades relative to days active. Clever-Dancing has a win rate of 57.2%, but a low profit factor of 0.11 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.26 suggest riskier positions and inconsistent returns. With a minimal sell percentage of 3%, the trader seems to hold positions for longer durations, which aligns with badges like Diamond Hands and Win Streak but contrasts with the Sniper badge, implying mixed timing strategies.

Clever-Dancing's strengths lie in consistent activity and an upward equity trend despite losses, reflecting persistence and some winning streaks. However, the negative financial metrics and low profit factor highlight significant risks, including poor risk-reward balance and potential overtrading. The trader’s low rank and portfolio value suggest the need for strategy refinement to improve outcomes on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
Consistent
74/121 days

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,539,696$-623Vol: $75,555
SPORTS#1,016,939$-2Vol: $27,483
🏛️ POLITICS#1,127,393$-5Vol: $9,330
🎭 CULTURE#695,421$-14Vol: $9,179
📢 MENTIONS#120,050$-9Vol: $8,799
💰 FINANCE#554,606$-10Vol: $4,146
🌤️ WEATHER#221,981$-5Vol: $4,097
📈 ECONOMICS#540,114$-4Vol: $1,205
💻 TECH#168,778$-1Vol: $141

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-700
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$140,458
Total Redeem
$2,785
Portfolio
$5
Predictions
2757
total markets
Trades
2836B / 87S
Daily Volume
$20
Account Age
1613d
since Jan 31, 2022

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $524
Week
$-18
Vol: $524
Month
$-39
Vol: $16,039
All Time
$-700
Vol: $140,458

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
249W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$3,203
Win Rate
57%
431W / 322L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-15

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$8

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$-91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$-74
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.262
Sortino
-0.173
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.526
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 1.15 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.90 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
716 entries
<=2
927 entries
<=5
1151 entries
<=10
1243 entries
<=20
1257 entries
<=50
1257 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.8%
High (>55c)52.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 70.9%

Madrid$2
Paris$2
Hong Kong$0
Up or Down$0
Miami$0
Tokyo$0
Denver$0
Dallas$0
Other$-4,198

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1231

Single bracket

<=1
1217 brackets
<=2
1227 brackets
<=3
1229 brackets
<=4
1229 brackets
<=5
1230 brackets
<=8
1230 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/24/2025, 7:36:44 AM1 trades$10 min
7/25/2025, 6:07:14 AM1 trades$10 min
7/26/2025, 7:25:41 AM1 trades$10 min
7/28/2025, 9:25:43 AM1 trades$10 min
7/31/2025, 6:05:51 AM1 trades$10 min
8/2/2025, 6:50:20 AM1 trades$10 min
8/20/2025, 9:26:05 AM1 trades$10 min
8/23/2025, 7:48:31 AM1 trades$10 min
8/24/2025, 6:04:13 AM1 trades$10 min
8/25/2025, 10:00:21 AM1 trades$10 min
8/26/2025, 11:29:25 AM1 trades$10 min
8/27/2025, 7:28:29 AM1 trades$10 min
8/28/2025, 7:06:15 AM1 trades$10 min
8/30/2025, 5:02:53 AM1 trades$10 min
8/31/2025, 3:17:08 PM1 trades$10 min
8/31/2025, 3:26:52 PM1 trades$10 min
9/2/2025, 9:46:52 AM1 trades$10 min
9/6/2025, 5:42:26 AM1 trades$10 min
9/10/2025, 7:57:25 AM1 trades$10 min
9/12/2025, 5:12:03 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
03-09
04-06
04-26
05-17
06-07
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event