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@Cloudy-Person

#385,11039

0x326a3a9090c8fde389039da026d0edc11c8c6a98

632d· 36 markets · 80 tradesVol: $12,295 @t1o0k511k5268062026-07-13T00:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 14%0/20
Profit Factor 4.51x15/15
Sharpe 0.2124/15
Sortino 1.08810/10
EV $+0.0030/10
HHI 53990/10
Profit Days 18%0/10
DD/Peak 19%10/10

Summary

Cloudy-Person is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 80 trades across 35 markets over 450 days. With a net profit and loss (PnL) of $25.73 and a rank of #385110 on the global PnL leaderboard, their overall performance is modest. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 39/100, Cloudy-Person maintains a profit factor of 1.94, indicating that their gains outweigh losses, albeit on a small scale.

This trader appears to adopt a cautious approach, evidenced by a nearly even sell percentage (49%) and a low Sharpe ratio of 0.21, suggesting limited risk-taking and moderate returns relative to volatility. Cloudy-Person does not engage in weather markets and operates manually, as indicated by a low bot score of 5/100. Their win rate is relatively low at 14.3%, implying that profits come from a few successful trades rather than consistent wins. The equity trend is upward, showing gradual portfolio growth over time.

Cloudy-Person’s key strength lies in their patient and steady trading style, supported by a short max drawdown duration and an upward equity trajectory. However, the low win rate and below-average Smart Score may point to inefficiencies in market timing or strategy execution. Given the modest net PnL and global rank, Cloudy-Person’s trading approach on Polymarket remains conservative with room for improvement in consistency and market selection.

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+26
Cool Head
DD 19%

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,227,452$-6Vol: $10,910
🏛️ POLITICS#113,406$30Vol: $1,339
🎭 CULTURE#356,378$-0Vol: $19
CRYPTO#693,124$-0Vol: $15
📈 ECONOMICS#89,787$2Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,295
Total Redeem
$118
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
41B / 39S
Daily Volume
$13
Account Age
632d
since Nov 1, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$26
Vol: $12,295

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
10%
2W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$26
Win Rate
14%
5W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.94x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (205.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$29
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2
Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?$0

Top Losers

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat$-10
Will Valencia CF win La Liga?$-4
Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?$-1
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-1
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-0
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$-0
Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$-0
Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-0
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Los Angeles Rams?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.212
Sortino
1.088
HHI
5399
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
13.0%
Half-Kelly
6.5%
Top-1 market
71.2%
Top-5 markets
92.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — typical for humanSize CV 2.38 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.17 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
32 entries
<=2
33 entries
<=5
35 entries
<=10
35 entries
<=20
35 entries
<=50
35 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)90.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 2.6%

Other$16
Los Angeles$-0
New York City$-0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
21

Single bracket

<=1
11 brackets
<=2
19 brackets
<=3
19 brackets
<=4
21 brackets
<=5
21 brackets
<=8
21 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/1/2024, 10:34:18 AM2 trades$1101 min
11/1/2024, 10:42:14 AM4 trades$2115 min
11/1/2024, 11:03:09 AM1 trades$560 min
11/6/2024, 4:39:55 AM1 trades$840 min
11/6/2024, 5:15:45 AM1 trades$840 min
11/8/2024, 8:56:11 AM15 trades$10,53310 min
11/11/2024, 3:15:51 AM2 trades$710 min
11/13/2024, 8:39:29 AM2 trades$183 min
12/25/2024, 3:53:26 AM1 trades$00 min
5/13/2025, 7:19:59 AM2 trades$152 min
5/13/2025, 12:32:39 PM2 trades$282 min
5/14/2025, 2:36:17 PM2 trades$171 min
5/15/2025, 1:20:41 PM2 trades$191 min
5/16/2025, 12:27:13 PM2 trades$151 min
5/17/2025, 2:48:33 AM2 trades$171 min
5/18/2025, 7:44:24 AM2 trades$152 min
5/20/2025, 9:07:42 AM2 trades$171 min
5/21/2025, 3:36:27 AM2 trades$181 min
5/22/2025, 11:48:37 AM2 trades$192 min
5/23/2025, 4:07:28 PM2 trades$182 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-05
05-17
05-31
06-24
09-30
11-04
12-07
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event