@ColdConviction
#3,661910x70c14608f9c06ad9a5f48f1d6ddb6c0fc2d41be2
~109d· 165 markets · 6914 tradesVol: $2,476,5422026-08-01 16:08:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
81% (108/134)20/20
4.81x (win $75,279 / loss $15,639)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.28715/15
Sortino 14.68110/10
$+0.0375 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 773 (134 markets)8.6/10
48/54 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($10,452 / $59,640)10/10
Badges
10Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+48,041
DCA Master
Avg 36.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,589,404 invested
Consistent
48/54 profitable days
High Roller
$7,569/day
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,110$45,280Vol: $2,359,765
🎭 CULTURE#5,515$873Vol: $63,604
📈 ECONOMICS#3,986$655Vol: $42,347
💰 FINANCE#4,129$1,021Vol: $6,879
⚽ SPORTS#160,806$53Vol: $2,370
₿ CRYPTO#170,921$23Vol: $1,111
💻 TECH#5,046$136Vol: $465
Overview
#1Net PnL
$48,041
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,476,542
Total Redeem
$133,903
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
4753B / 2161S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $102
Week
$61
Vol: $4,304
Month
$1
Vol: $102
All Time
$48,041
Vol: $2,476,542
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
81%
108W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$48,041
Win Rate
81%
108W / 26L
Profit Factor
4.81x
Avg Win
$697
Avg Loss
$-601
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,122 (0.8143299083664195% of PnL)
Top Winners
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$24,507
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$11,742
Trump out as President by April 30?$2,872
Netanyahu out by March 31?$2,860
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2,670
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2,363
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$2,275
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?$2,091
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1,777
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1,578
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-10,452
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,485
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,473
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-482
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-378
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-336
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$-258
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-166
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.274
Sortino
0.266
HHI
506
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
34.7%
Half-Kelly
17.3%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
41.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.4m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 2.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
36.65
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)86.9%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 6:41:59 PM61 trades$52,23167 min
3/25/2026, 5:27:45 PM64 trades$50,81349 min
4/19/2026, 8:58:40 AM31 trades$41,6229 min
4/7/2026, 5:29:55 PM84 trades$39,35267 min
4/8/2026, 4:01:03 PM13 trades$33,5088 min
4/8/2026, 1:25:59 AM2 trades$29,9700 min
4/28/2026, 7:42:54 AM2 trades$28,2610 min
4/4/2026, 8:35:47 PM35 trades$24,81428 min
4/6/2026, 3:21:17 AM2 trades$23,2042 min
4/4/2026, 7:33:47 PM31 trades$22,78214 min
4/5/2026, 4:28:13 PM1 trades$21,7400 min
4/7/2026, 3:52:13 PM9 trades$21,41516 min
3/21/2026, 8:15:09 PM18 trades$21,28713 min
4/8/2026, 2:14:49 PM14 trades$20,4598 min
4/7/2026, 9:40:51 PM31 trades$20,34424 min
4/1/2026, 5:03:15 PM31 trades$19,6604 min
4/7/2026, 7:14:39 AM59 trades$18,29549 min
4/8/2026, 6:43:33 AM18 trades$17,8219 min
4/19/2026, 2:56:32 PM20 trades$17,38411 min
4/5/2026, 8:54:51 AM4 trades$17,2667 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
03-18
03-27
04-09
04-22
05-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 36.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M7.3 / H86.9