Polydata
Data is 15 days old — refreshing in background...

@Colossal-Cinnamon

#1,97130

0x61fefe72aebe7afc69d190bacfad8b561dc70956

128d· 1389 markets · 10028 tradesVol: $8,794,0642026-06-27T10:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.13x0/15
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 23%0/10
DD/Peak 466853%0/10

Summary

Colossal-Cinnamon is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1971 on the global PnL leaderboard. With over 10,000 trades executed across 295 markets in 108 days, they have generated a net profit of approximately $87,000 on a total volume nearing $8.8 million. Despite this substantial activity and a positive equity trend, their Smart Score is below average at 30/100, reflecting some challenges in overall trading efficiency.

This trader prefers a high-frequency approach with a slight edge in win rate at 51%, but the low profit factor of 0.13 suggests many small gains offset by larger losses. Colossal-Cinnamon utilizes a semi-automated strategy, combining bot activity with manual trading, evident from their 50/100 Bot Score. They exhibit a relatively low sell percentage of 19%, possibly favoring longer holding periods or averaging down positions, consistent with their DCA Master badge. Their Sharpe Ratio of -0.74 indicates a negative risk-adjusted return, implying volatility in their portfolio performance.

Key strengths for Colossal-Cinnamon include consistent trading volume and an upward equity trend, supported by badges highlighting sniping and win streak capabilities. However, the significant drawdown risk and below-average Smart Score suggest potential vulnerabilities in risk management and strategy optimization. Their performance in Polymarket shows promise but also indicates areas for refinement to improve profitability and reduce volatility.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+87,075
DCA Master
avg 27.8 entries/market
Win Streak
80 wins in a row
Whale
$3,956,220
High Roller
$36,752/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#160,994$25Vol: $20,000
🏛️ POLITICS#452,541$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$87,075
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,794,064
Total Redeem
$883,624
Portfolio
$90,100
Predictions
1389
total markets
Trades
8160B / 1868S
Daily Volume
$36,752
Account Age
128d
since Mar 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $117,578
Month
$27,535
Vol: $3,566,731
All Time
$87,075
Vol: $8,794,064

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
175W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$118,498
Win Rate
51%
150W / 144L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$1,230
Avg Loss
$-10,234

Top Winners

Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla$29,070
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Le$20,049
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$18,437
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters Londo$18,383
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner$15,072
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr$14,283
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$8,935
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$7,777
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$4,483
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Ma$4,266

Top Losers

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Sta$-45,023
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$-41,315
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha$-37,673
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$-34,643
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner$-33,317
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Seri$-30,024
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$-26,681
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner$-25,243
Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 P$-24,954
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro$-24,707

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.738
Sortino
-0.866
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.8m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 4.32 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.27 — human randomness93 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
29 entries
<=2
45 entries
<=5
73 entries
<=10
125 entries
<=20
167 entries
<=50
251 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)86.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

London$41,904
Atlanta$-12,933
Other$-1,318,243

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
212

Single bracket

<=1
141 brackets
<=2
200 brackets
<=3
212 brackets
<=4
212 brackets
<=5
212 brackets
<=8
212 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/6/2026, 3:22:35 AM1 trades$800 min
3/6/2026, 4:53:09 AM1 trades$830 min
3/6/2026, 6:05:45 AM1 trades$1180 min
3/6/2026, 7:16:05 AM1 trades$960 min
3/6/2026, 7:33:27 AM3 trades$2565 min
3/6/2026, 7:49:19 AM1 trades$160 min
3/6/2026, 8:00:51 AM2 trades$721 min
3/6/2026, 4:42:47 PM1 trades$1670 min
3/6/2026, 4:47:49 PM1 trades$1200 min
3/6/2026, 5:25:39 PM14 trades$57413 min
3/6/2026, 5:48:07 PM2 trades$1101 min
3/6/2026, 8:14:51 PM1 trades$1,2740 min
3/6/2026, 9:14:07 PM15 trades$1,06421 min
3/6/2026, 9:40:13 PM3 trades$2855 min
3/6/2026, 9:53:31 PM7 trades$1782 min
3/6/2026, 10:15:51 PM1 trades$1,0990 min
3/6/2026, 11:12:21 PM2 trades$1932 min
3/6/2026, 11:19:11 PM8 trades$1389 min
3/6/2026, 11:33:57 PM1 trades$1830 min
3/6/2026, 11:47:15 PM5 trades$5064 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-22
04-11
04-29
05-13
06-06
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event