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@Complete-Arm

#1,417,06210

0xf3743285b4aeff36e052e79721176183834bcc84

105d· 31 markets · 87 tradesVol: $5,5742026-06-26T18:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 16%0/20
Profit Factor 0.03x0/15
HHI 44310/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

Complete-Arm is a relatively new and low-ranked trader on Polymarket, currently positioned at #1,417,062 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 72 days of activity, they have executed 87 trades across 31 markets, with a total volume of $5,574. Despite this moderate activity, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $2.81, reflecting a challenging start. Their Smart Score of 10 out of 100 indicates a beginner level of trading skill.

In terms of strategy, Complete-Arm shows no clear preference for specific market categories, as evidenced by zero participation in weather markets and a near-even split between buy and sell orders. Their low win rate of 3.3% and a profit factor of 0.02 suggest a highly risky approach with poor timing or market selection. The trader’s Sharpe Ratio of -0.79 confirms negative risk-adjusted returns, indicating losses that outweigh any gains relative to volatility.

Complete-Arm’s main strength lies in consistent engagement with Polymarket, giving them exposure to diverse opportunities. However, their negative PnL, low win rate, and poor profit factor highlight significant risks in their current trading approach. The absence of a maximum drawdown duration suggests sporadic losses rather than sustained downturns, but overall, Complete-Arm faces considerable challenges in achieving positive returns.

Badges

1
Hedger
avg 6.2 brackets/event

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#990,986$-2Vol: $5,177
SPORTS#836,673$-1Vol: $397

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,574
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$59
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
44B / 43S
Daily Volume
$39
Account Age
105d
since Mar 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3
Vol: $5,574

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
0%
0W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
3%
1W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Top Winners

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati$0

Top Losers

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-1
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$-0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$-0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination$-0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$-0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential $-0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nominati$-0
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$-0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$-0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.791
Sortino
-0.791
HHI
443
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
34.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.02
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — typical for humanSize CV 0.02 — uniform orders34% at night — bot never sleeps15/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
23 entries
<=2
28 entries
<=5
31 entries
<=10
31 entries
<=20
31 entries
<=50
31 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Houston$-0
Atlanta$-1
Other$-2

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
6.2
Events covered
5

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
2 brackets
<=3
2 brackets
<=4
2 brackets
<=5
2 brackets
<=8
3 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/19/2026, 1:33:17 PM1 trades$650 min
3/20/2026, 6:20:21 AM1 trades$650 min
3/20/2026, 6:26:09 AM1 trades$650 min
3/20/2026, 9:52:23 AM1 trades$650 min
3/20/2026, 2:48:59 PM1 trades$650 min
3/21/2026, 4:09:51 AM2 trades$1291 min
3/22/2026, 5:22:53 AM2 trades$1291 min
3/23/2026, 6:16:25 AM2 trades$1292 min
3/24/2026, 3:06:01 AM3 trades$1935 min
3/24/2026, 3:22:39 AM1 trades$640 min
3/24/2026, 8:12:43 PM1 trades$640 min
3/25/2026, 8:58:11 AM1 trades$640 min
3/26/2026, 5:30:33 AM2 trades$1282 min
3/27/2026, 2:57:21 PM2 trades$1281 min
3/28/2026, 11:56:39 AM2 trades$1281 min
3/29/2026, 3:54:06 AM1 trades$640 min
3/29/2026, 4:22:44 PM1 trades$640 min
3/29/2026, 4:28:38 PM2 trades$1281 min
3/30/2026, 5:22:40 AM4 trades$2552 min
3/30/2026, 7:50:23 PM1 trades$640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
07-01
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 6.2 br/event