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Creepy-Meteor

@Creepy-Meteor

#2,56532

0x471abf0558dcd381dcea2fdf54390760c9a30328

550d· 1059 markets · 12537 tradesVol: $12,608,666 @Peregrine_u2026-06-24T23:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.11x0/15
HHI 7310/10
Profit Days 39%2/10

Summary

Creepy-Meteor is an active Polymarket trader with over 12,500 trades executed across 529 days. Ranking #2565 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $64,354.36 from a total volume exceeding $12.6 million. Despite a substantial number of trades and a consistent upward equity trend, Creepy-Meteor’s Smart Score of 32/100 and a below-average Sharpe Ratio of -0.54 indicate moderate performance relative to risk taken.

This trader favors a broad range of markets, having participated in 360 different events, with no specific focus on weather markets. Their trading style appears to involve frequent entries and exits, evidenced by a sell percentage of 34%, and a relatively low win rate of 46.5%. The low profit factor of 0.11 suggests that losses may outweigh gains on average, while badges such as “Sniper” and “DCA Master” imply a tactical approach possibly involving dollar-cost averaging and selective timing to capitalize on market fluctuations.

Creepy-Meteor’s key strength lies in their consistent activity and ability to maintain an upward equity trend despite a challenging risk-return profile. However, the negative Sharpe Ratio and profit factor raise concerns about risk management and trade efficiency. Additionally, the zero portfolio value at the time of data capture may indicate a temporary exit from the market or risk exposure, which warrants caution for interpreting current performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+64,354
DCA Master
avg 22.9 entries/market
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$3,866,066
High Roller
$7,305/day

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#98$62,620Vol: $12,242,912
💻 TECH#10,738$27Vol: $94,127
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,175$-1,476Vol: $83,596
CRYPTO#23,323$1,525Vol: $72,174
📈 ECONOMICS#4,022$544Vol: $57,472
💰 FINANCE#17,094$103Vol: $42,568
🌤️ WEATHER#60,883$1Vol: $571

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$64,354
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,608,666
Total Redeem
$781,596
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1059
total markets
Trades
8262B / 4275S
Daily Volume
$7,305
Account Age
550d
since Jan 9, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-40
Vol: $11,258
Week
$138
Vol: $32,404
Month
$1,348
Vol: $157,095
All Time
$64,354
Vol: $12,608,666

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
126W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$176,326
Win Rate
46%
158W / 182L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$1,545
Avg Loss
$-11,883

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$24,098
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$14,323
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026$14,167
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$11,192
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$11,096
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$10,020
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 202$10,020
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026$8,527
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026$7,284
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$5,995

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13$-65,850
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 202$-57,979
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3,$-55,765
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27,$-55,352
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13$-49,935
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30,$-44,474
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10$-40,307
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2,$-39,601
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 2$-38,098
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23,$-36,986

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.539
Sortino
-0.509
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.501
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.6m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — typical for humanSize CV 4.98 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
15 entries
<=2
32 entries
<=5
78 entries
<=10
147 entries
<=20
216 entries
<=50
317 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)76.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 18.3%

Other$-1,918,609

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
166

Moderate coverage

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
117 brackets
<=3
144 brackets
<=4
161 brackets
<=5
165 brackets
<=8
166 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/11/2025, 11:51:39 AM2 trades$93 min
1/11/2025, 12:04:23 PM3 trades$114 min
1/11/2025, 12:17:21 PM1 trades$200 min
1/11/2025, 12:29:16 PM1 trades$40 min
1/11/2025, 12:38:49 PM5 trades$87 min
1/11/2025, 1:07:31 PM1 trades$90 min
1/14/2025, 1:42:37 AM4 trades$335 min
1/14/2025, 1:56:17 AM2 trades$101 min
1/14/2025, 2:51:24 AM1 trades$660 min
1/15/2025, 2:08:34 AM4 trades$120 min
1/15/2025, 2:19:12 AM1 trades$130 min
1/15/2025, 3:18:32 AM1 trades$140 min
1/15/2025, 3:25:56 AM2 trades$305 min
1/15/2025, 6:07:17 AM2 trades$212 min
1/15/2025, 2:22:53 PM1 trades$290 min
1/15/2025, 3:02:47 PM2 trades$540 min
1/15/2025, 3:28:59 PM1 trades$50 min
1/15/2025, 4:46:00 PM1 trades$670 min
1/15/2025, 5:01:02 PM1 trades$50 min
1/16/2025, 3:03:54 PM1 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
07-04
12-05
02-09
04-11
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event