Polydata

@Crisp-Mailer

#2,597,72365

0x362c3c1c7bd4e4f08ff8b42b69d3885bbf4a67e6

19d· 1178 markets · 4195 tradesVol: $104,8372026-06-27T05:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 57%13/20
Profit Factor 1.53x9/15
Sharpe 0.2725/15
Sortino 0.5355/10
EV $+0.43010/10
HHI 8510/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 37%7/10

Summary

Crisp-Mailer is an active trader on Polymarket with 4,195 trades across 475 markets over 44 days. Despite a high volume of $104,837, their net PnL stands at -$215.42, placing them at rank #2,597,723 globally. Their portfolio value is $450.21, and a Sharpe ratio of 0.27 indicates modest risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s Smart Score is 65/100, reflecting generally good performance, and their Bot Score of 70/100 suggests a significant use of automated strategies.

Crisp-Mailer appears to favor a high-frequency trading style, evidenced by a large number of trades and a 59.9% win rate. The absence of weather market exposure and a 0% sell rate imply a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach, consistent with their badges such as DCA Master and Diamond Hands. Their profit factor of 0.65 and downward equity trend suggest that losses outweigh gains, possibly due to market timing or execution inefficiencies. The zero max drawdown duration could indicate steady but gradual declines rather than sharp losses.

The main strengths of Crisp-Mailer include disciplined automated trading and consistent engagement with a diverse set of markets. Their win streak and bot usage demonstrate resilience and systematic strategies. However, the persistent negative PnL, low profit factor, and declining portfolio value raise concerns about long-term profitability. The reliance on DCA without active selling might limit their ability to cut losses, increasing risks in volatile conditions. Overall, Crisp-Mailer shows potential through automation but faces challenges in converting activity into sustainable profits.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 8.8 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,639,992$-215Vol: $104,837

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-215
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$104,837
Total Redeem
$10,710
Portfolio
$450
Predictions
1178
total markets
Trades
4177B / 18S
Daily Volume
$501
Account Age
19d
since Jun 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-118
Vol: $862
Week
$-350
Vol: $57,460
Month
$-215
Vol: $104,837
All Time
$-215
Vol: $104,837

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
55%
227W / 184L events
Realized PnL
$2,737
Win Rate
60%
161W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-29

Top Winners

T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India$141
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$103
ITF Taipei: Chia Yi Tsao vs Gyeong Seo Lee$93
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$85
ITF Taipei: Sakura Hosogi vs Ya Yi Yang$78
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Kopriva$75
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Oceane Dodin vs Mananchaya Sawangka$68
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic$57
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$52
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kings$48

Top Losers

Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys$-213
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$-168
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro$-167
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-166
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko$-127
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$-118
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet$-100
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-94
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$-93
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.272
Sortino
0.535
HHI
85
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.430
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
237.0
Very active
Markets / Day
26.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 28s — typical for humanSize CV 0.92 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness237 trades/day — automation27 markets/day — mass coverage487 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.8
Active DCA
<=1
131 entries
<=2
196 entries
<=5
289 entries
<=10
363 entries
<=20
421 entries
<=50
462 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)44.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.1%

Taipei$66
San Francisco$48
Singapore$0
Seattle$-77
Other$-1,126

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
432

Single bracket

<=1
406 brackets
<=2
415 brackets
<=3
432 brackets
<=4
432 brackets
<=5
432 brackets
<=8
432 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 12:23:48 PM10 trades$545 min
6/9/2026, 12:33:37 PM18 trades$9114 min
6/9/2026, 3:20:46 PM1 trades$50 min
6/9/2026, 3:29:30 PM3 trades$119 min
6/9/2026, 5:31:27 PM1 trades$50 min
6/9/2026, 7:00:21 PM1 trades$10 min
6/9/2026, 7:12:42 PM1 trades$20 min
6/9/2026, 8:24:39 PM3 trades$61 min
6/9/2026, 10:44:09 PM1 trades$10 min
6/10/2026, 12:32:01 AM1 trades$30 min
6/10/2026, 12:49:39 AM3 trades$72 min
6/10/2026, 1:08:22 AM5 trades$143 min
6/10/2026, 1:17:13 AM2 trades$20 min
6/10/2026, 1:22:36 AM3 trades$66 min
6/10/2026, 2:19:04 AM1 trades$50 min
6/10/2026, 3:54:42 AM1 trades$10 min
6/10/2026, 6:07:27 AM1 trades$40 min
6/10/2026, 7:25:07 AM1 trades$30 min
6/10/2026, 7:51:10 AM1 trades$40 min
6/10/2026, 8:07:09 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-13
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-29
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event