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@Curly-Sunbeam

#313,54359

0xe5a29530097387b16f1f730541e38b0639593c41

146d· 89 markets · 222 tradesVol: $5,7642026-07-08T18:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 57%13/20
Profit Factor 1.42x8/15
Sharpe 0.1353/15
Sortino 0.1882/10
EV $+15.73010/10
HHI 20010/10
Profit Days 60%8/10
DD/Peak 42%6/10

Summary

Curly-Sunbeam is a moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #313,543 globally by net PnL, with a positive net profit of $48.66. Over 109 days, they executed 222 trades across 89 different markets, generating a total volume of $5,764. Their smart score of 59/100 and a profit factor of 1.51 indicate generally sound trading decisions, while the Sharpe ratio of 0.13 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Curly-Sunbeam appears diversified, engaging in a broad range of markets rather than focusing on any particular sector like weather. Their win rate of 57.5% and a sell percentage of 41% reflect a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. The low bot score confirms manual trading, and the upward equity trend alongside badges such as "Profitable" and "Consistent" imply a steady, patient strategy with occasional contrarian moves.

Curly-Sunbeam’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and a positive equity trajectory, supported by a solid profit factor and steady trading volume. However, the low Sharpe ratio and modest net PnL indicate limited risk-adjusted gains, while their rank suggests there is significant room for improvement. The absence of drawdown duration points to effective risk management, but continuing to refine timing and market selection could enhance performance on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+49
Lottery Player
37% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
81% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Consistent
35/58 days

Categories

3
CRYPTO#118,489$56Vol: $5,059
💰 FINANCE#522,367$-4Vol: $359
🎭 CULTURE#617,415$-4Vol: $346

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$49
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,764
Total Redeem
$48
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
89
total markets
Trades
131B / 91S
Daily Volume
$4
Account Age
146d
since Feb 16, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$3
Vol: $46
All Time
$49
Vol: $5,764

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
58%
47W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$52
Win Rate
57%
50W / 37L
Profit Factor
1.51x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (82.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?$21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$14
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$6

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?$-16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?$-15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$-8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$-7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?$-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?$-5
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$-4
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?$-4
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m an$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.188
HHI
200
Diversified
EV per $1
$15.730
Kelly %
2.3%
Half-Kelly
1.2%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
19.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4190s — typical for humanSize CV 1.07 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.17 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
67 entries
<=2
78 entries
<=5
88 entries
<=10
89 entries
<=20
89 entries
<=50
89 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.4%
Mid (20-55c)49.6%
High (>55c)13%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.3%

Other$55

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
82

Single bracket

<=1
76 brackets
<=2
81 brackets
<=3
82 brackets
<=4
82 brackets
<=5
82 brackets
<=8
82 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/15/2026, 8:25:01 PM1 trades$70 min
3/16/2026, 5:13:21 AM1 trades$100 min
3/16/2026, 9:13:15 AM1 trades$70 min
3/16/2026, 12:45:29 PM1 trades$20 min
3/16/2026, 3:08:37 PM1 trades$10 min
3/17/2026, 7:32:55 AM1 trades$20 min
3/17/2026, 9:13:23 AM1 trades$10 min
3/17/2026, 10:04:57 AM2 trades$44 min
3/19/2026, 8:22:23 AM1 trades$20 min
3/19/2026, 9:02:59 AM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 7:40:01 AM2 trades$50 min
3/20/2026, 8:08:21 AM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 8:27:49 AM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 10:33:41 AM1 trades$10 min
3/20/2026, 11:45:45 AM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 2:30:17 PM2 trades$30 min
3/22/2026, 3:03:21 PM1 trades$10 min
3/23/2026, 7:38:59 PM1 trades$40 min
3/23/2026, 7:44:33 PM1 trades$60 min
3/24/2026, 6:20:45 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-30
04-16
04-30
05-14
06-05
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event