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@Curvy-Acoustics

#2,086,88440

0x468ba2639a1f48fff5604b2316a0b581a700c3c4

290d· 112 markets · 109 tradesVol: $7,168 @ecfey976128222026-06-29T13:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.41x0/15
HHI 19710/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 296%0/10

Summary

Curvy-Acoustics is a relatively low-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2,086,884 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 259 days of activity, they have executed 109 trades across an equal number of markets, accumulating a total trading volume of $7,168. Despite a perfect win rate of 100%, the trader’s net PnL stands at a negative $26.10, indicating small or null profits. Their Smart Score of 40/100 is below average, and the Sharpe Ratio of -0.09 suggests negative risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Curvy-Acoustics appears cautious, with no recorded sales and a low Bot Score of 25/100, implying human and possibly slow decision-making. They diversify across many markets but show a minimal focus on weather markets (5%). The trader seems to favor consistent, low-risk bets, as reflected by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. The equity trend is downward, hinting at challenges in capitalizing on market movements despite a long win streak.

Curvy-Acoustics’ key strength lies in consistency and risk control, maintaining a stable portfolio without major drawdowns. However, the negative net PnL and declining equity trend raise concerns about the overall profitability of their approach. The zero profit factor and a lack of sales activity suggest potential issues in converting wins into meaningful gains on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
105 wins in a row
Consistent
70/75 days

Categories

7
CRYPTO#855,805$-1Vol: $4,521
🎭 CULTURE#119,905$2Vol: $1,974
💰 FINANCE#159,141$1Vol: $236
🏛️ POLITICS#326,250$1Vol: $199
SPORTS#1,441,478$-27Vol: $145
🌤️ WEATHER#125,416$0Vol: $7
📈 ECONOMICS#272,167$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,168
Total Redeem
$5,385
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
109B / 0S
Daily Volume
$20
Account Age
290d
since Sep 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $1,362
All Time
$-26
Vol: $7,168

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
103W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$19
Win Rate
100%
105W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (70.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rockets vs. Cavaliers$13
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 22?$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 17?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on Janua$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 9?$0

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.586
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.7m
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 1.08 — diverse, typical for human50% at night — bot never sleeps9/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.48 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
109 entries
<=2
109 entries
<=5
109 entries
<=10
109 entries
<=20
109 entries
<=50
109 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)95.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.8%

Other$19
London$0
New York City$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
106

Single bracket

<=1
103 brackets
<=2
106 brackets
<=3
106 brackets
<=4
106 brackets
<=5
106 brackets
<=8
106 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/30/2025, 6:15:19 AM5 trades$984 min
9/30/2025, 6:35:35 AM1 trades$10 min
10/12/2025, 3:22:29 AM4 trades$1192 min
10/15/2025, 3:54:51 AM1 trades$1150 min
10/17/2025, 8:33:50 AM2 trades$1150 min
10/28/2025, 7:05:19 AM1 trades$1150 min
11/3/2025, 3:27:15 AM4 trades$1191 min
11/13/2025, 7:53:34 AM1 trades$1170 min
11/19/2025, 2:07:45 AM1 trades$120 min
11/19/2025, 2:14:09 AM4 trades$1041 min
11/23/2025, 3:06:55 AM5 trades$1292 min
11/28/2025, 2:48:09 AM4 trades$1261 min
12/4/2025, 3:57:07 AM4 trades$1283 min
12/10/2025, 8:36:02 AM4 trades$1273 min
12/17/2025, 11:01:32 AM4 trades$1271 min
12/22/2025, 9:54:25 AM3 trades$1240 min
12/27/2025, 11:28:05 AM1 trades$1200 min
12/28/2025, 3:20:51 AM3 trades$1220 min
1/3/2026, 6:14:31 AM4 trades$1331 min
1/8/2026, 6:53:49 AM1 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-13
12-22
01-26
03-02
04-23
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event