Polydata

@Curvy-Acoustics

#2,142,40440

0x468ba2639a1f48fff5604b2316a0b581a700c3c4

290d· 112 markets · 112 tradesVol: $7,168 @ecfey976128222026-07-17T12:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 0.43x0/15
HHI 19210/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 296%0/10

Summary

Curvy-Acoustics is a moderately active Polymarket trader with 112 trades over 259 days, placing them at rank #2,142,404 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a perfect win rate of 100%, their net PnL stands at a negative $26.10, reflecting a below-average Smart Score of 40/100. The trader has engaged in a total volume of $7,168 but currently holds no portfolio value. The Sharpe ratio of -0.09 and a profit factor of 0.00 indicate limited profitability and risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Curvy-Acoustics appears cautious, with a focus on consistent small bets across a broad range of 112 markets, including a minor emphasis on weather markets (4%). Their zero sell percentage suggests a buy-and-hold approach rather than active position management. The equity trend is downward, showing a decline in portfolio value over time. The trader’s activity pattern is steady, but the low Bot Score of 25/100 implies manual, human-driven trades rather than automated strategies.

Strengths for Curvy-Acoustics include a perfect win rate and badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, indicating discipline and persistence. However, their negative net PnL, declining equity, and low profit factor highlight risks around returns and capital preservation. The lack of realized gains despite consistent wins suggests potential issues with trade sizing or market selection on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
107 wins in a row
Consistent
71/76 days

Categories

7
CRYPTO#868,061$-1Vol: $4,521
🎭 CULTURE#121,101$2Vol: $1,974
💰 FINANCE#159,086$1Vol: $236
🏛️ POLITICS#328,374$1Vol: $199
SPORTS#1,496,717$-27Vol: $145
🌤️ WEATHER#128,834$0Vol: $7
📈 ECONOMICS#274,833$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,168
Total Redeem
$5,385
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
112B / 0S
Daily Volume
$21
Account Age
290d
since Sep 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-26
Vol: $7,168

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
104W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
100%
107W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (70.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rockets vs. Cavaliers$13
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 22?$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 17?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on Janua$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 9?$0

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.087
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
192
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.572
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.1m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 1.08 — diverse, typical for human48% at night — bot never sleeps9/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.48 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
112 entries
<=2
112 entries
<=5
112 entries
<=10
112 entries
<=20
112 entries
<=50
112 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.7%
High (>55c)94.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.2%

Other$20
London$0
New York City$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
109

Single bracket

<=1
106 brackets
<=2
109 brackets
<=3
109 brackets
<=4
109 brackets
<=5
109 brackets
<=8
109 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/30/2025, 6:15:19 AM5 trades$984 min
9/30/2025, 6:35:35 AM1 trades$10 min
10/12/2025, 3:22:29 AM4 trades$1192 min
10/15/2025, 3:54:51 AM1 trades$1150 min
10/17/2025, 8:33:50 AM2 trades$1150 min
10/28/2025, 7:05:19 AM1 trades$1150 min
11/3/2025, 3:27:15 AM4 trades$1191 min
11/13/2025, 7:53:34 AM1 trades$1170 min
11/19/2025, 2:07:45 AM1 trades$120 min
11/19/2025, 2:14:09 AM4 trades$1041 min
11/23/2025, 3:06:55 AM5 trades$1292 min
11/28/2025, 2:48:09 AM4 trades$1261 min
12/4/2025, 3:57:07 AM4 trades$1283 min
12/10/2025, 8:36:02 AM4 trades$1273 min
12/17/2025, 11:01:32 AM4 trades$1271 min
12/22/2025, 9:54:25 AM3 trades$1240 min
12/27/2025, 11:28:05 AM1 trades$1200 min
12/28/2025, 3:20:51 AM3 trades$1220 min
1/3/2026, 6:14:31 AM4 trades$1331 min
1/8/2026, 6:53:49 AM1 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-13
12-22
01-26
03-02
04-23
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.5% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event