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Curvy-Rush

@Curvy-Rush

#2,21895

0x7fb88c725907620aa8cd8732a7ac95fd9365d906

537d· 2063 markets · 22876 tradesVol: $7,085,8462026-06-27T11:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 827.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.53810/15
Sortino 919836.04610/10
EV $+81.15910/10
HHI 27110/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Curvy-Rush is an elite-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2218 globally with a smart score of 95/100. Over 592 days, they have executed 22,876 trades across 265 markets, generating a net profit of $76,029.55 on a substantial volume of over $7 million. Despite a modest portfolio value of $1,091.56, Curvy-Rush maintains a stable equity trend and a Sharpe ratio of 0.54, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Curvy-Rush is characterized by frequent, high-volume engagement with a strong preference for long positions, evidenced by a 70% sell rate. Their win rate of 86.6% and profit factor of 48.00 suggest a highly consistent strategy, likely combining both manual insight and semi-automated techniques (bot score 45/100). Curvy-Rush shows a sniper-like precision and a disciplined approach to dollar-cost averaging (DCA), focusing on markets beyond weather, which represent only 1% of their activity. This trader’s timing appears well-calibrated, avoiding drawdown durations, which supports their strong performance metrics.

Curvy-Rush’s key strength lies in their disciplined execution and consistent profitability, supported by a high win rate and a robust profit factor. The elite smart score and specialized badges confirm their skill in maintaining long win streaks and managing risk. However, the relatively low portfolio value and semi-bot trading approach may expose them to volatility and execution risks. Monitoring how Curvy-Rush adapts to changing market conditions will be important for assessing their long-term sustainability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+76,030
DCA Master
avg 26.3 entries/market
Win Streak
71 wins in a row
Whale
$651,212
Consistent
105/106 days
High Roller
$1,100/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,090$45,210Vol: $3,513,783
🎭 CULTURE#407$18,334Vol: $2,457,846
SPORTS#6,953$5,959Vol: $391,036
📈 ECONOMICS#1,638$2,209Vol: $291,785
CRYPTO#9,436$4,940Vol: $171,455
💰 FINANCE#634,258$-1,545Vol: $155,979
🌤️ WEATHER#1,606$885Vol: $20,569
💻 TECH#8,884$41Vol: $4,750
📢 MENTIONS#67,620$-0Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$76,030
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,085,846
Total Redeem
$6,783
Portfolio
$1,092
Predictions
2063
total markets
Trades
6960B / 15916S
Daily Volume
$1,100
Account Age
537d
since Jan 26, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-22
Vol: $0
All Time
$76,030
Vol: $7,085,846

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
163W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$97,612
Win Rate
87%
214W / 33L
Profit Factor
48x
Avg Win
$2,541
Avg Loss
$-343

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $126,007 (23.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$54,244
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$36,237
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$35,525
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$21,224
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$18,327
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential elect$17,773
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15,404
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea elec$12,623
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the Sou$8,523
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$8,090

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?$-1,082
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$-1,081
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?$-1,064
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?$-788
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week$-634
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?$-552
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-526
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September$-513
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET?$-495
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 26 to October 3$-480

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.538
Sortino
inf
HHI
271
Diversified
EV per $1
$81.159
Kelly %
76.8%
Half-Kelly
38.4%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
26.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.3m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — typical for humanSize CV 5.53 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness60 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
33 entries
<=2
50 entries
<=5
83 entries
<=10
129 entries
<=20
161 entries
<=50
232 entries
>50
33 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)58.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 12.8%

Other$457,204
New York City$62,293
Taipei$7,844
Drula$4,559
London$486

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
170

Single bracket

<=1
107 brackets
<=2
151 brackets
<=3
164 brackets
<=4
166 brackets
<=5
168 brackets
<=8
170 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/13/2025, 7:13:10 PM1 trades$960 min
5/13/2025, 7:19:10 PM1 trades$970 min
5/13/2025, 7:50:38 PM2 trades$101 min
5/15/2025, 6:14:42 PM4 trades$2424 min
5/15/2025, 6:30:02 PM11 trades$6404 min
5/15/2025, 6:40:10 PM6 trades$2291 min
5/15/2025, 6:48:06 PM2 trades$1420 min
5/15/2025, 6:53:34 PM8 trades$3617 min
5/15/2025, 7:11:46 PM3 trades$845 min
5/15/2025, 7:23:46 PM5 trades$1965 min
5/15/2025, 7:35:30 PM4 trades$752 min
5/15/2025, 7:50:26 PM2 trades$1210 min
5/15/2025, 8:02:24 PM2 trades$1412 min
5/15/2025, 8:21:54 PM2 trades$740 min
5/15/2025, 8:40:22 PM2 trades$952 min
5/15/2025, 8:52:04 PM1 trades$410 min
5/15/2025, 10:05:03 PM1 trades$340 min
5/16/2025, 2:19:28 AM2 trades$1190 min
5/16/2025, 5:32:41 PM3 trades$1240 min
5/16/2025, 5:46:57 PM8 trades$2707 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-30
09-05
10-26
12-12
02-08
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event