Polydata

@Dazzling-Brocolli

#2,723,46029

0x5dcf706f6e9cc032b8e3348149ef2d006ea7392e

124d· 215 markets · 493 tradesVol: $35,2892026-06-20T22:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 68%19/20
Profit Factor 0.83x0/15
HHI 13710/10
Profit Days 20%0/10

Summary

Dazzling-Brocolli is a moderately active manual trader on Polymarket, having completed 493 trades across 217 markets over 124 days. Despite a high win rate of 76.4%, their overall net PnL stands at negative $699.31, placing them at rank #2,723,460 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value has declined to $390.60, reflecting an equity trend downward. The trader’s profit factor of 1.12 indicates modest profitability relative to losses, while a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.35 suggests returns have not compensated for volatility.

This trader tends to maintain a conservative risk profile, supported by a low sell percentage of 24%. Dazzling-Brocolli appears to favor a diversified strategy given engagement in many markets, but the absence of weather market exposure indicates a preference for other event types. Their top badges, including Sniper and Win Streak, imply attempts to capitalize on precise entry points and short bursts of success. However, no automated tools are used, as indicated by a bot score of zero, meaning all decisions are manual.

Dazzling-Brocolli’s strengths lie in a strong win rate and consistent volume, suggesting disciplined trade selection. However, persistent losses and a negative Sharpe ratio highlight challenges in managing downside risk effectively. The downward equity trend and below-average smart score further caution that the trader’s strategy may need refinement to improve long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Sniper
Win Rate 68%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,527,492$-699Vol: $35,289

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,289
Total Redeem
$4,634
Portfolio
$391
Predictions
215
total markets
Trades
372B / 121S
Daily Volume
$131
Account Age
124d
since Feb 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$242
Vol: $19,478
Week
$-206
Vol: $24,036
Month
$-206
Vol: $24,036
All Time
$-699
Vol: $35,289

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
138W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$795
Win Rate
76%
149W / 46L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $286 (121.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$138
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$71
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$51
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$48

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$-344
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-118
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$-109
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$-93
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$-82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$-75
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.347
Sortino
-0.455
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.335
Kelly %
34.7%
Half-Kelly
17.4%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — typical for humanSize CV 1.53 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.74 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
122 entries
<=2
175 entries
<=5
214 entries
<=10
217 entries
<=20
217 entries
<=50
217 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)81.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.2%

Other$235

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
217

Single bracket

<=1
217 brackets
<=2
217 brackets
<=3
217 brackets
<=4
217 brackets
<=5
217 brackets
<=8
217 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/17/2026, 8:43:49 AM3 trades$187 min
2/17/2026, 8:56:03 AM6 trades$6415 min
2/17/2026, 9:20:57 AM6 trades$7114 min
2/17/2026, 9:55:49 AM44 trades$83874 min
3/3/2026, 7:03:11 AM16 trades$1,07638 min
3/3/2026, 7:46:45 AM3 trades$1354 min
3/3/2026, 7:56:33 AM5 trades$17914 min
3/3/2026, 8:19:43 AM3 trades$2266 min
3/3/2026, 8:40:03 AM4 trades$4365 min
3/3/2026, 8:51:17 AM3 trades$664 min
3/3/2026, 9:00:51 AM3 trades$694 min
3/3/2026, 9:11:23 AM13 trades$96315 min
3/3/2026, 9:32:27 AM1 trades$990 min
3/3/2026, 9:41:45 AM3 trades$3113 min
3/3/2026, 9:50:57 AM34 trades$1,90957 min
3/3/2026, 10:59:19 AM11 trades$23424 min
3/3/2026, 11:34:21 AM3 trades$7141 min
3/3/2026, 11:44:11 AM2 trades$5262 min
4/20/2026, 6:27:56 AM1 trades$10 min
6/17/2026, 5:05:44 AM2 trades$1254 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
03-03
04-20
06-17
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event