Polydata
Dazzling-Hierarchy

@Dazzling-Hierarchy

#2,653,44351

0xcb1531abc72d062c6a3ea9ad94e2b66d7214f4f8

171d· 512 markets · 1030 tradesVol: $53,439 @ParsYBKN2026-06-18T07:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 41%6/20
Profit Factor 1.24x5/15
Sharpe 0.1633/15
Sortino 0.2533/10
EV $+0.24810/10
HHI 13310/10
Profit Days 49%5/10
DD/Peak 23%9/10

Summary

Dazzling-Hierarchy is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,030 trades executed across 480 markets over the span of 366 days. Despite a high win rate of 77%, the trader currently holds a net loss of $416.27 and ranks #2,653,443 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall portfolio value remains low at $136, and their activity level is consistent, reflected in a stable equity trend and a Smart Score of 51/100, indicating average performance.

The trader’s style shows a preference for a broad range of markets, avoiding weather markets entirely. With a low sell percentage of 24%, Dazzling-Hierarchy tends to hold positions rather than frequently exiting trades, suggesting a patient, low-turnover approach. The semi-automated trading style, supported by a Bot Score of 40/100, and a high profit factor of 10.71 indicate a disciplined strategy that capitalizes on favorable odds, while the Sharpe Ratio of 0.16 points to modest risk-adjusted returns.

Dazzling-Hierarchy’s strengths lie in their consistent winning streaks and a contrarian approach, which may help identify undervalued positions on Polymarket. However, the negative net PnL combined with a minimal portfolio size and low Sharpe Ratio highlight potential risks around capital preservation and long-term profitability. The flat equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration suggest effective risk management but limited growth so far.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 23%

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,611,403$-256Vol: $32,463
🏛️ POLITICS#1,495,136$-115Vol: $15,099
CRYPTO#1,257,567$-30Vol: $5,050
🎭 CULTURE#695,304$-15Vol: $691
🌤️ WEATHER#168,734$-0Vol: $105
📈 ECONOMICS#359,198$-0Vol: $15
💰 FINANCE#363,782$-0Vol: $13
💻 TECH#87,241$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,439
Total Redeem
$2,923
Portfolio
$136
Predictions
512
total markets
Trades
786B / 244S
Daily Volume
$30
Account Age
171d
since Dec 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $465
Week
$138
Vol: $4,237
Month
$-1
Vol: $15,561
All Time
$-416
Vol: $53,439

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
49%
169W / 173L events
Realized PnL
$2,573
Win Rate
77%
167W / 49L
Profit Factor
10.71x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $282 (11.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?$122
Hawks vs. Hornets$82
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?$79
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?$79
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$74
Will Eyüpspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?$57
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-14?$56
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$51
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?$48
Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5$44

Top Losers

Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)$-113
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-54
Celtics vs. Bulls$-18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-12
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$-7
Pelicans vs. Spurs$-6
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$-6
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-3
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.163
Sortino
0.253
HHI
133
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.247
Kelly %
74.2%
Half-Kelly
37.1%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 574s — typical for humanSize CV 1.58 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.78 — human randomness462 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
309 entries
<=2
413 entries
<=5
472 entries
<=10
479 entries
<=20
480 entries
<=50
480 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)56.4%
High (>55c)23.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 73.7%

Other$2,261
Milan$77
Madrid$57
Paris$21
Up or Down$0
Tel Aviv$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
351

Single bracket

<=1
254 brackets
<=2
322 brackets
<=3
349 brackets
<=4
350 brackets
<=5
351 brackets
<=8
351 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 8:12:47 PM1 trades$10 min
12/31/2025, 8:19:53 PM2 trades$22 min
1/1/2026, 2:15:13 AM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 2:20:51 PM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 2:37:59 PM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 4:01:31 PM1 trades$100 min
1/1/2026, 5:46:35 PM1 trades$100 min
1/1/2026, 6:44:55 PM1 trades$60 min
1/1/2026, 8:07:33 PM1 trades$10 min
1/2/2026, 12:31:11 AM1 trades$10 min
1/2/2026, 11:45:45 PM1 trades$100 min
1/3/2026, 1:08:21 PM1 trades$240 min
1/3/2026, 4:40:01 PM1 trades$10 min
1/3/2026, 4:59:05 PM1 trades$30 min
1/3/2026, 9:16:37 PM1 trades$130 min
1/4/2026, 1:33:55 AM1 trades$140 min
1/4/2026, 3:08:05 PM1 trades$30 min
1/4/2026, 3:45:23 PM1 trades$20 min
1/4/2026, 4:04:11 PM3 trades$63 min
1/4/2026, 9:10:11 PM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-16
02-03
02-21
03-11
05-17
06-20
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event