Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@Decent-Armrest

#30969

0xfc25f141ed27bb1787338d2c4e7f51e3a15e1f7f

585d· 17370 markets · 40038 tradesVol: $332,114,8932026-06-18T03:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.18x0/15
Sharpe 0.4719/15
Sortino 84867261.49610/10
HHI 17010/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Decent-Armrest is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 40,038 trades over 630 days, placing them at rank #309 globally by net profit. They have generated a net PnL of $542,519.02 from a total volume exceeding $332 million, reflecting consistent engagement in a wide range of 294 markets. Their portfolio is valued at $167,595.61, supported by a Smart Score of 69/100, indicating good overall trading performance.

The trading style of Decent-Armrest appears balanced and methodical, with a win rate of 53.7% and a profit factor of 0.18, suggesting cautious risk-taking and conservative profit targets. The trader tends to hold positions without significant drawdowns and maintains a low sell percentage of 29%, which may indicate a preference for longer-term or less reactive trades. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.47 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the bot score of 45/100 suggests a hybrid approach combining manual and automated elements.

Decent-Armrest’s strengths include their ability to sustain stable equity trends and avoid prolonged drawdowns, which is valuable in volatile Polymarket environments. Their Sniper and Win Streak badges highlight precision and consistency. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio signal potential challenges in maximizing returns or managing volatility effectively. The semi-bot trading style could also introduce risks if automated algorithms are not fully optimized.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+542,519
DCA Master
avg 120.8 entries/market
Win Streak
91 wins in a row
Whale
$14,657,712
Consistent
122/123 days
High Roller
$23,266/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
SPORTS#215$412,365Vol: $244,235,335
🏛️ POLITICS#5,216$6,453Vol: $9,975,166
📈 ECONOMICS#618$8,727Vol: $4,722,415
CRYPTO#1,571,977$-2,661Vol: $1,625,298
🎭 CULTURE#5,707$803Vol: $486,949
💻 TECH#3,382$234Vol: $227,266
💰 FINANCE#631,752$-19,282Vol: $178,512
📢 MENTIONS#38,416$1Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$542,519
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$332,114,893
Total Redeem
$2,840,817
Portfolio
$167,596
Predictions
17370
total markets
Trades
28388B / 11650S
Daily Volume
$23,266
Account Age
585d
since Nov 30, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$156
Vol: $32,206
Week
$-7,942
Vol: $6,048,910
Month
$29,392
Vol: $22,691,654
All Time
$542,519
Vol: $332,114,893

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
228W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$10,453,762
Win Rate
54%
153W / 132L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$9,256
Avg Loss
$-59,468

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$894,639
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$200,241
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$80,050
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$59,707
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$51,503
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$39,966
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$25,085
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?$22,514
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage $16,506
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)$4,788

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Thunder$-317,589
Jazz vs. Lakers$-224,471
Bucks vs. Cavaliers$-219,559
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$-199,888
Hawks vs. Rockets$-189,554
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-167,276
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage$-163,413
Spurs vs. Knicks$-159,270
Spurs vs. Thunder$-146,169
76ers vs. Knicks$-146,088

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.471
Sortino
inf
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.446
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
20.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
99.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — typical for humanSize CV 7.66 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness99 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
120.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
27 entries
<=2
46 entries
<=5
67 entries
<=10
85 entries
<=20
101 entries
<=50
133 entries
>50
102 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)55.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 70.7%

Miami$300
Toronto$226
Atlanta$105
Dallas$98
Los Angeles$-3,224
Chicago$-19,657
Seattle$-22,424
Paris$-177,374
Other$-6,211,600

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
224

Single bracket

<=1
188 brackets
<=2
205 brackets
<=3
217 brackets
<=4
219 brackets
<=5
222 brackets
<=8
224 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/11/2025, 6:36:09 AM3 trades$1,0287 min
5/11/2025, 6:55:55 AM3 trades$2042 min
5/11/2025, 7:15:39 AM3 trades$637 min
5/11/2025, 7:34:03 AM1 trades$110 min
5/11/2025, 7:40:41 AM6 trades$1,5079 min
5/11/2025, 8:00:33 AM1 trades$20 min
5/11/2025, 8:05:35 AM5 trades$46311 min
5/11/2025, 8:23:31 AM4 trades$1016 min
5/11/2025, 8:35:39 AM3 trades$1481 min
5/11/2025, 8:42:05 AM1 trades$260 min
5/11/2025, 8:47:40 AM4 trades$1098 min
5/11/2025, 9:04:16 AM3 trades$1228 min
5/11/2025, 9:28:52 AM2 trades$454 min
5/11/2025, 9:48:20 AM3 trades$2194 min
5/11/2025, 9:59:52 AM1 trades$1380 min
5/11/2025, 10:08:04 AM3 trades$9,6142 min
5/11/2025, 11:49:26 AM7 trades$22715 min
5/11/2025, 12:24:30 PM1 trades$290 min
5/11/2025, 12:30:12 PM6 trades$50611 min
5/11/2025, 12:46:30 PM3 trades$674 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
09-28
11-20
12-30
03-05
05-04
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 120.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event