Polydata

@Definite-Spouse

#3,015,15675

0xd179df5741623d36c931646d1778ccd7874774ad

237d· 1067 markets · 8322 tradesVol: $7,005,7702026-07-14T22:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 76%20/20
Profit Factor 0.07x0/15
Sharpe 1.09215/15
Sortino 4.15810/10
HHI 3810/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Definite-Spouse is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 8,322 trades across 392 markets over 202 days. Despite a significant trading volume of over $7 million, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $23,244.48, placing them at rank #3,015,156 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently $77.39, and their Sharpe ratio of 1.09 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the equity trend remains flat and stable.

This trader shows a preference for a diverse range of markets, as evidenced by their broad market count, but they do not engage in weather markets at all. Definite-Spouse’s trading style appears mixed, using a combination of manual and bot-driven strategies, reflected in their semi-bot score of 50/100. They maintain a relatively low sell percentage of 9%, often holding positions longer, consistent with their Diamond Hands badge. Their win rate of 47.3% and profit factor of 0.07 suggest a cautious risk profile with frequent averaging down, supported by the DCA Master badge.

Definite-Spouse’s strengths include disciplined position management and consistent engagement, as indicated by badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor highlight potential challenges in converting volume into profit. The flat equity trend and short max drawdown duration suggest stable but unprofitable trading performance, posing risks if market conditions shift or inefficiencies persist. Overall, Definite-Spouse demonstrates solid trading habits but has yet to translate activity into sustained profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 76%
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 19.3 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$1,311,866
Consistent
113/127 days
High Roller
$6,494/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,845,500$-14,430Vol: $4,324,148
CRYPTO#1,617,139$-1,914Vol: $209,843
🎭 CULTURE#797,316$-528Vol: $44,732
🏛️ POLITICS#1,489,135$-82Vol: $15,099
💻 TECH#205,128$-3Vol: $1,414

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,005,770
Total Redeem
$356,244
Portfolio
$77
Predictions
1067
total markets
Trades
7577B / 745S
Daily Volume
$6,494
Account Age
237d
since Nov 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,319
Vol: $7,505
Week
$-2,506
Vol: $29,180
Month
$-3,659
Vol: $282,346
All Time
$-23,244
Vol: $7,005,770

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
239W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$581,312
Win Rate
47%
157W / 175L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$219
Avg Loss
$-2,880

Top Winners

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?$1,982
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik$1,440
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1,249
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$984
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?$670
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?$650
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?$627
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$613
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$586
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff$564

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$-13,931
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoff$-12,175
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Pl$-9,852
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-9,776
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$-9,655
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$-9,490
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$-9,441
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$-9,238
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$-8,715
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Grou$-8,414

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.092
Sortino
4.158
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.382
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — typical for humanSize CV 2.90 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness75 trades/day — mass trading329 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
21 entries
<=2
65 entries
<=5
111 entries
<=10
193 entries
<=20
275 entries
<=50
356 entries
>50
36 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)49.9%
High (>55c)42.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.7%

Miami$-5,638
Atlanta$-7,306
Paris$-14,305
Madrid$-73,687
Other$-368,714

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
390

Single bracket

<=1
389 brackets
<=2
390 brackets
<=3
390 brackets
<=4
390 brackets
<=5
390 brackets
<=8
390 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 9:29:17 AM4 trades$2,0105 min
3/25/2026, 11:02:53 AM3 trades$9601 min
3/25/2026, 11:46:21 AM1 trades$2,0400 min
3/25/2026, 5:14:41 PM27 trades$4321 min
3/25/2026, 7:15:35 PM2 trades$1960 min
3/29/2026, 9:35:10 PM1 trades$6600 min
3/29/2026, 9:42:06 PM1 trades$1,0450 min
3/29/2026, 11:54:20 PM1 trades$10 min
3/30/2026, 12:02:02 AM1 trades$10 min
3/30/2026, 2:17:38 AM1 trades$320 min
3/30/2026, 2:37:52 AM1 trades$1,1040 min
3/30/2026, 4:04:44 AM2 trades$1,1081 min
3/30/2026, 5:18:40 AM1 trades$3900 min
3/30/2026, 5:24:30 AM6 trades$541 min
3/30/2026, 5:30:42 AM1 trades$5990 min
3/30/2026, 5:41:44 AM4 trades$271 min
3/30/2026, 6:44:06 AM5 trades$3050 min
3/30/2026, 6:56:24 AM5 trades$431 min
3/30/2026, 7:02:54 AM9 trades$5215 min
3/30/2026, 7:24:46 AM12 trades$14912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-18
04-09
05-03
05-27
06-25
07-14
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event