Polydata

@Definite-Spouse

#2,760,85475

0xd179df5741623d36c931646d1778ccd7874774ad

191d· 747 markets · 9403 tradesVol: $5,464,7222026-05-29T13:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.06x0/15
Sharpe 1.52415/15
Sortino 5752725.42710/10
HHI 4210/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Definite-Spouse is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 9,403 trades executed across 301 markets over 155 days. Despite a high volume of $5.46 million, their net PnL stands at -$12,165.02, placing them at rank #2,760,854 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 75/100 indicates very good trading skills, and a Sharpe ratio of 1.52 suggests a reasonable risk-adjusted performance, although their portfolio value is relatively modest at $7,987.24.

The trading style of Definite-Spouse appears to be a blend of semi-automated and manual strategies, as reflected by a Bot Score of 50/100. They favor a contrarian approach, consistent with badges like Contrarian and Sniper, and exhibit a low sell percentage of 12%, indicating a preference for holding positions. Their win rate is 37.7%, and the profit factor is low at 0.06, implying frequent losses but possibly aiming to capitalize on occasional high-impact wins. The trader does not engage in weather markets and maintains a stable equity trend without extended drawdown durations.

Definite-Spouse's strengths include a very good Smart Score and consistency, as well as a high volume of trades, which points to solid market experience on Polymarket. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor reveal potential issues with risk management or market selection. Their semi-bot style might limit adaptability in volatile conditions, and the low win rate raises concerns about sustainability. Overall, the trader shows skill but faces challenges in turning volume and strategy into profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Contrarian
50% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$1,396,039
Consistent
91/92 days
High Roller
$9,007/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,670,450$-9,638Vol: $5,197,626
CRYPTO#1,515,565$-1,914Vol: $209,851
🎭 CULTURE#778,490$-528Vol: $44,732
🏛️ POLITICS#1,437,700$-82Vol: $15,099
💻 TECH#191,971$-3Vol: $1,414

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,165
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,464,722
Total Redeem
$279,033
Portfolio
$7,987
Predictions
747
total markets
Trades
8321B / 1082S
Daily Volume
$9,007
Account Age
191d
since Nov 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$542
Vol: $15,000
Week
$-237
Vol: $195,725
Month
$-5,628
Vol: $1,488,321
All Time
$-12,165
Vol: $5,464,722

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
248W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$541,687
Win Rate
38%
106W / 175L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$356
Avg Loss
$-3,899

Top Winners

Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera$3,996
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?$1,981
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik$1,440
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rott$1,259
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$1,140
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Gr$1,072
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$970
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$935
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Lehecka$795
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs$725

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$-13,931
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoff$-12,175
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam$-11,581
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Pl$-9,852
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-9,776
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rot$-9,676
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$-9,655
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$-9,490
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$-9,441
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$-9,238

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.524
Sortino
inf
HHI
42
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.479
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
102.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.1m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 3.11 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness103 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
7 entries
<=2
35 entries
<=5
54 entries
<=10
88 entries
<=20
157 entries
<=50
254 entries
>50
47 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)51.7%
High (>55c)40.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.9%

Atlanta$-1,161
Miami$-5,638
Paris$-17,256
Madrid$-99,789
Other$-520,728

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
299

Single bracket

<=1
297 brackets
<=2
299 brackets
<=3
299 brackets
<=4
299 brackets
<=5
299 brackets
<=8
299 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/26/2026, 7:57:42 PM36 trades$1,56240 min
2/26/2026, 8:43:56 PM31 trades$77137 min
2/26/2026, 9:45:52 PM3 trades$1584 min
2/26/2026, 10:06:20 PM5 trades$13512 min
2/26/2026, 10:26:10 PM3 trades$3636 min
2/26/2026, 10:55:40 PM1 trades$4500 min
2/27/2026, 1:55:24 AM1 trades$8100 min
2/27/2026, 3:47:06 AM1 trades$3090 min
2/27/2026, 3:53:32 AM1 trades$20 min
2/27/2026, 4:17:16 AM1 trades$80 min
2/27/2026, 4:24:30 AM1 trades$250 min
2/27/2026, 4:32:14 AM1 trades$80 min
2/27/2026, 4:40:44 AM4 trades$3231 min
2/27/2026, 2:31:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/27/2026, 5:47:55 PM2 trades$6902 min
2/27/2026, 6:02:25 PM10 trades$3,10511 min
2/28/2026, 10:18:31 AM20 trades$6220 min
3/2/2026, 4:55:11 AM11 trades$1,0169 min
3/2/2026, 5:11:25 AM1 trades$810 min
3/2/2026, 5:26:37 AM1 trades$3580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-09
03-27
04-11
04-26
05-14
05-30
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event