Polydata
Dependable-County

@Dependable-County

#2,717,80735

0x74bc42104ca3b91a741e02a487b95755c29ae4da

565d· 143 markets · 761 tradesVol: $199,117 @Joblessguy_on_X2026-05-25T10:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 60%15/20
Profit Factor 0.67x0/15
HHI 41410/10
Profit Days 72%10/10
DD/Peak 288%0/10

Summary

Dependable-County is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having made 761 trades across 143 markets over 786 days. Despite a substantial total volume of nearly $200,000, their net PnL currently stands at a loss of $3,386.37, placing them at rank #2,717,807 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is low at $131.60, and their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 35/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio, indicate challenges in achieving consistent profitability.

The trading style of Dependable-County appears diversified across numerous markets, though with no exposure to weather-related markets. Their win rate of 59.2% suggests some success in picking outcomes, but a profit factor of 0.67 indicates that losses outweigh gains in dollar terms. The trader tends to hold positions with a sell rate of 32%, implying moderate willingness to close trades early. Dependable-County’s trading behavior is manual rather than automated, as reflected by a low Bot Score of 15/100, and their badges suggest a mix of contrarian and high-risk, high-reward approaches.

Key strengths of Dependable-County include a steady equity growth trend and a max drawdown duration of zero days, which suggests limited prolonged downturns. However, the negative profit factor and overall net loss highlight risks associated with their current strategy. The relatively low portfolio value and below-average Smart Score may limit their ability to capitalize on favorable market conditions. For Polymarket traders monitoring Dependable-County, these factors suggest a cautious approach given the trader’s ongoing struggle to convert volume into positive returns.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 60%
Lottery Player
33% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$51,796
Consistent
54/75 days

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,632,726$-1,454Vol: $117,495
CRYPTO#1,523,036$-3,992Vol: $53,189
🎭 CULTURE#24,986$68Vol: $16,495
🏛️ POLITICS#10,932$2,027Vol: $7,623
🌤️ WEATHER#222,334$-9Vol: $2,100
📈 ECONOMICS#603,214$-30Vol: $2,058
💰 FINANCE#80,208$3Vol: $157

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,386
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$199,117
Total Redeem
$17,665
Portfolio
$132
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
520B / 241S
Daily Volume
$66
Account Age
565d
since Nov 5, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $1,200
Month
$-398
Vol: $27,896
All Time
$-3,386
Vol: $199,117

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
70%
74W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-3,438
Win Rate
59%
84W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-174

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,858
International T20 Series: Australia vs Netherlands (Game 1)$623
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$414
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)$407
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)$358
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$319
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$234
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians$187
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$156
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Tit$142

Top Losers

Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?$-4,194
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri La$-1,635
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)$-716
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$-711
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)$-521
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans$-323
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand$-250
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ride$-239
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs India$-200
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)$-168

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
414
Diversified
EV per $1
$-39.993
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
37.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 315s — typical for humanSize CV 3.42 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.6
Moderate DCA
<=1
55 entries
<=2
82 entries
<=5
116 entries
<=10
136 entries
<=20
142 entries
<=50
143 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.5%
Mid (20-55c)37.1%
High (>55c)29.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76.8%

Austin$-2
Lucknow$-237
Other$-3,035

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
106

Single bracket

<=1
100 brackets
<=2
102 brackets
<=3
103 brackets
<=4
104 brackets
<=5
104 brackets
<=8
104 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/5/2024, 5:49:10 PM1 trades$2,9500 min
11/7/2024, 3:57:33 PM1 trades$360 min
11/7/2024, 4:14:12 PM2 trades$4,7591 min
11/16/2024, 3:43:02 AM1 trades$7680 min
11/21/2024, 4:35:05 AM7 trades$2,6006 min
11/21/2024, 4:47:01 AM1 trades$10 min
11/21/2024, 4:56:45 AM2 trades$2153 min
11/21/2024, 5:05:21 AM3 trades$6011 min
11/21/2024, 5:12:27 AM1 trades$330 min
11/21/2024, 11:12:13 AM1 trades$4240 min
11/21/2024, 11:21:00 AM2 trades$52 min
11/21/2024, 11:33:40 AM2 trades$1291 min
11/21/2024, 11:56:42 AM11 trades$5,8178 min
11/21/2024, 12:13:13 PM3 trades$1,6671 min
11/23/2024, 2:16:38 AM1 trades$4,2270 min
11/28/2024, 5:57:04 AM1 trades$330 min
11/28/2024, 6:56:27 AM1 trades$330 min
10/28/2025, 4:17:27 PM1 trades$370 min
10/28/2025, 4:58:19 PM1 trades$00 min
10/28/2025, 5:15:01 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-15
03-03
04-07
04-23
05-10
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event