Polydata
Dependable-County

@Dependable-County

#2,951,42935

0x74bc42104ca3b91a741e02a487b95755c29ae4da

610d· 182 markets · 843 tradesVol: $203,150 @Joblessguy_on_X2026-07-08T12:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%15/20
Profit Factor 0.65x0/15
HHI 40310/10
Profit Days 68%10/10
DD/Peak 291%0/10

Summary

Dependable-County is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 843 trades executed over 787 days. Despite a high total volume of $203,150 and participation in 181 markets, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $3,722.26, placing them at rank #2,951,429 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently very low at $28.04, and their Smart Score of 35/100 indicates below-average overall performance.

In terms of strategy, Dependable-County displays a preference for diverse markets, with a minimal focus on weather markets (2%). Their trading style appears contrarian with a relatively modest sell percentage of 33%, suggesting they hold positions rather than frequently cashing out. The trader maintains a win rate of 58.5% but has a profit factor of 0.67 and a negative Sharpe ratio, highlighting a higher risk profile with losses outweighing gains. They conduct manual trades, as indicated by a low Bot Score of 15/100, and their equity trend, however, is upward, showing gradual portfolio growth over time.

Dependable-County’s key strengths include a consistent win rate and an upward equity trend, which hints at resilience despite recent setbacks. Their contrarian and sniper badges suggest a capability for precise entries, while their lottery player and whale badges indicate occasional high-risk positions. Potential risks include the negative net PnL, low profit factor, and negative Sharpe ratio, which raise concerns about overall risk management and long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Lottery Player
36% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
68% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$52,513
Consistent
64/94 days

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,780,922$-1,450Vol: $118,121
CRYPTO#1,620,199$-3,993Vol: $53,429
🎭 CULTURE#777,947$-138Vol: $16,815
🏛️ POLITICS#11,519$2,003Vol: $8,270
🌤️ WEATHER#272,693$-67Vol: $3,397
📈 ECONOMICS#643,302$-82Vol: $2,458
💰 FINANCE#540,564$-6Vol: $557
💻 TECH#138,087$-0Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,722
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$203,150
Total Redeem
$17,862
Portfolio
$28
Predictions
182
total markets
Trades
565B / 278S
Daily Volume
$67
Account Age
610d
since Nov 5, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $4
Week
$3
Vol: $74
Month
$28
Vol: $174
All Time
$-3,722
Vol: $203,150

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
65%
85W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-3,747
Win Rate
59%
96W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-152

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,858
International T20 Series: Australia vs Netherlands (Game 1)$623
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$414
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)$407
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)$358
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$319
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$234
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians$187
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$156
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Tit$144

Top Losers

Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?$-4,227
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri La$-1,635
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)$-716
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$-711
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)$-521
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans$-320
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand$-250
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ride$-239
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs India$-200
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)$-168

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
403
Diversified
EV per $1
$-399.927
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
37.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 388s — typical for humanSize CV 3.53 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
88 entries
<=2
119 entries
<=5
153 entries
<=10
174 entries
<=20
180 entries
<=50
181 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.8%
Mid (20-55c)36.3%
High (>55c)28%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76.3%

Austin$-2
Grindeanu$-2
New York City$-9
Shanghai$-19
Lucknow$-231
Other$-3,195

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
130

Single bracket

<=1
120 brackets
<=2
122 brackets
<=3
124 brackets
<=4
126 brackets
<=5
127 brackets
<=8
128 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/5/2024, 5:49:10 PM1 trades$2,9500 min
11/7/2024, 3:57:33 PM1 trades$360 min
11/7/2024, 4:14:12 PM2 trades$4,7591 min
11/16/2024, 3:43:02 AM1 trades$7680 min
11/21/2024, 4:35:05 AM7 trades$2,6006 min
11/21/2024, 4:47:01 AM1 trades$10 min
11/21/2024, 4:56:45 AM2 trades$2153 min
11/21/2024, 5:05:21 AM3 trades$6011 min
11/21/2024, 5:12:27 AM1 trades$330 min
11/21/2024, 11:12:13 AM1 trades$4240 min
11/21/2024, 11:21:00 AM2 trades$52 min
11/21/2024, 11:33:40 AM2 trades$1291 min
11/21/2024, 11:56:42 AM11 trades$5,8178 min
11/21/2024, 12:13:13 PM3 trades$1,6671 min
11/23/2024, 2:16:38 AM1 trades$4,2270 min
11/28/2024, 6:56:27 AM1 trades$330 min
10/28/2025, 4:17:27 PM1 trades$370 min
10/28/2025, 4:58:19 PM1 trades$00 min
10/28/2025, 5:15:01 PM1 trades$00 min
10/28/2025, 6:22:15 PM16 trades$193 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-21
03-24
04-18
05-10
06-05
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event