Polydata

@Dirty-Idea

#6748

0xd1c537b2a7cba8d365e111bffb9de7b205e2cbd0

62d· 41 markets · 7945 tradesVol: $45,849,7162026-07-14T13:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1.23x5/15
Sharpe 0.1132/15
Sortino 0.1712/10
EV $+0.26710/10
HHI 43510/10
Profit Days 63%8/10
DD/Peak 181%0/10

Summary

Dirty-Idea is a moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #67 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $2.1 million. Over 113 days, they executed 7,945 trades across 41 different markets, generating a total trading volume of nearly $46 million. Their overall performance metrics indicate an average Smart Score of 48/100 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.11, reflecting modest risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Dirty-Idea appears to be contrarian and long-term oriented, as suggested by badges like "Contrarian" and "Diamond Hands." Despite a low win rate of 28.6% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.33, they maintain a consistent upward equity trend without any significant drawdown periods. Their trading strategy involves holding positions without selling (0% sell rate), and they seem to rely on a semi-automated approach indicated by a bot score of 60/100, blending algorithmic and manual decision-making.

Key strengths for Dirty-Idea include a substantial net PnL and the ability to grow equity steadily even with a low win rate, highlighting skill in managing risk and position sizing. However, the low profit factor and win rate may signal exposure to frequent small losses that require strong discipline to sustain profitability. Additionally, the absence of portfolio value suggests that they currently hold no open positions, which might affect their near-term activity on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+2,098,409
Contrarian
62% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$22,730,702
Consistent
12/19 days
High Roller
$201,157/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#42$2,098,431Vol: $45,849,598
🎭 CULTURE#722,268$-22Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,098,409
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,849,716
Total Redeem
$8,000,630
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
7945B / 0S
Daily Volume
$201,157
Account Age
62d
since May 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$1,822,553
Vol: $7,586,861
All Time
$2,098,409
Vol: $45,849,716

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
18W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$9,946,579
Win Rate
29%
6W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$611,072
Avg Loss
$-730,464

Top Winners

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$1,337,724
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$787,008
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$462,889
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$431,928
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$423,871
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$223,008

Top Losers

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$-1,702,381
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$-1,573,849
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-1,099,647
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5$-1,003,528
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$-846,419
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?$-765,746
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?$-763,960
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$-757,390
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$-745,350
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-651,061

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.113
Sortino
0.171
HHI
435
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.267
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
34.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
133.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
120.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
58% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 7.75 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.29 — human randomness133 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
193.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
5 entries
<=5
6 entries
<=10
10 entries
<=20
11 entries
<=50
17 entries
>50
24 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)67.5%
High (>55c)29.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.5%

Milan$0
Madrid$-765,746
Other$-6,524,787

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
36

Single bracket

<=1
31 brackets
<=2
36 brackets
<=3
36 brackets
<=4
36 brackets
<=5
36 brackets
<=8
36 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 11:27:05 AM1 trades$120 min
5/13/2026, 3:22:36 PM1 trades$100 min
5/13/2026, 6:38:29 PM91 trades$1,573,84921 min
5/17/2026, 10:21:16 AM3 trades$88,4001 min
5/17/2026, 10:34:53 AM6 trades$65,0002 min
5/17/2026, 10:58:44 AM2 trades$52,0000 min
5/17/2026, 11:33:32 AM1 trades$2,6000 min
5/17/2026, 12:13:35 PM1 trades$13,0000 min
5/17/2026, 12:31:01 PM2 trades$9555 min
5/17/2026, 12:41:47 PM152 trades$329,78828 min
5/17/2026, 1:45:06 PM97 trades$56,49115 min
5/17/2026, 3:07:30 PM4 trades$125,9895 min
5/17/2026, 3:59:15 PM4 trades$2,2850 min
5/17/2026, 6:15:39 PM271 trades$261,42215 min
5/17/2026, 6:38:16 PM3 trades$205,4702 min
5/17/2026, 6:47:39 PM4 trades$278,4585 min
5/19/2026, 6:42:17 PM74 trades$935,49514 min
5/19/2026, 7:05:11 PM1 trades$119,4370 min
5/23/2026, 3:41:10 PM29 trades$548,84319 min
5/23/2026, 5:25:56 PM1 trades$28,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
05-19
06-14
06-17
06-25
07-09
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 193.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event