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@Disgusting-Framework

#2,904,95922

0xb4fb92c11805c162e3707ca657130269629396ae

146d· 1646 markets · 2794 tradesVol: $202,2792026-06-27T04:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 36%3/20
Profit Factor 0.72x0/15
HHI 2610/10
Profit Days 65%9/10
DD/Peak 206%0/10

Summary

Disgusting-Framework is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 2,794 trades across 841 markets over 119 days. Despite a high win rate of 93.5%, the trader currently ranks near the bottom of the global PnL leaderboard at #2,904,959, with a negative net PnL of $-7,266.09 and an overall portfolio value of zero. Their total trading volume of $202,279 indicates significant engagement, but the downward equity trend highlights ongoing losses.

The trader’s style appears to involve frequent, high-volume trading with a semi-automated approach, as reflected in their bot score of 65/100. Disgusting-Framework tends to sell more often than buy, with 61% of trades being sells, and shows a preference for diverse markets rather than focusing on weather-related ones (0%). Despite a very high profit factor of 89.67 and a strong win rate, their negative Sharpe ratio of -0.16 suggests that returns have been accompanied by high volatility and poor risk-adjusted performance.

Strengths for Disgusting-Framework include consistent winning streaks and a large number of successful trades, which demonstrate skill in market timing and selection. However, the significant overall losses, zero portfolio balance, and below-average smart score indicate potential issues with risk management or position sizing. The combination of high volume and negative PnL raises concerns about execution costs or systematic strategy flaws that may be limiting profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Win Streak
167 wins in a row
Consistent
30/46 days

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,604,577$-6,965Vol: $192,224
🎭 CULTURE#785,968$-301Vol: $10,056

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$202,279
Total Redeem
$20,271
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1646
total markets
Trades
1102B / 1692S
Daily Volume
$407
Account Age
146d
since Feb 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-1,306
Vol: $61,745
All Time
$-7,266
Vol: $202,279

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
36%
258W / 457L events
Realized PnL
$17,482
Win Rate
94%
348W / 24L
Profit Factor
89.67x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $452 (3.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$163
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$150
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$138
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$135
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$117
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$116
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$106
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$102

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-18
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-6
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$-6
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.280
Kelly %
92.3%
Half-Kelly
46.2%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.6
Active
Markets / Day
11.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 0.55 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.48 — human randomness39 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage715 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
696 entries
<=2
765 entries
<=5
837 entries
<=10
841 entries
<=20
841 entries
<=50
841 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)60.6%
High (>55c)38%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.5%

Other$12,571

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
841

Single bracket

<=1
841 brackets
<=2
841 brackets
<=3
841 brackets
<=4
841 brackets
<=5
841 brackets
<=8
841 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:02:51 AM3 trades$1201 min
4/8/2026, 9:55:45 AM2 trades$621 min
4/8/2026, 10:33:25 AM4 trades$1491 min
4/8/2026, 12:14:41 PM1 trades$320 min
4/8/2026, 12:24:27 PM1 trades$290 min
4/8/2026, 12:57:25 PM3 trades$1091 min
4/8/2026, 2:36:39 PM2 trades$641 min
4/8/2026, 3:12:21 PM3 trades$1091 min
4/8/2026, 4:37:29 PM2 trades$800 min
4/8/2026, 4:57:35 PM5 trades$1854 min
4/8/2026, 6:43:21 PM5 trades$1576 min
4/8/2026, 9:58:37 PM1 trades$320 min
4/9/2026, 4:14:01 AM2 trades$800 min
4/9/2026, 6:12:09 AM3 trades$1094 min
4/9/2026, 7:48:23 AM1 trades$290 min
4/9/2026, 3:38:11 PM1 trades$290 min
4/9/2026, 8:09:47 PM1 trades$400 min
4/10/2026, 1:43:45 AM2 trades$641 min
4/10/2026, 1:57:03 AM3 trades$931 min
4/10/2026, 3:28:57 AM3 trades$1201 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-16
03-24
04-05
04-12
04-19
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event