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@Drafty-Genre

#16,74999

0xc947e50afbfd642f685f7c1803c0da8304b93462

101d· 337 markets · 732 tradesVol: $967,5112026-06-26T21:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 288.71x15/15
Sharpe 0.73014/15
Sortino 68.99610/10
EV $+270.38910/10
HHI 6510/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Drafty-Genre is an active trader on Polymarket with a solid track record, ranking #16749 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 109 days, they have executed 732 trades across 326 markets, amassing a total volume of $967,511. Their net profit stands at $7,802.08, supported by an impressive win rate of 95.5% and a profit factor of 29.22. Despite this strong performance, their current portfolio value is $278.27, and their Sharpe ratio is 0.73, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader displays a consistent, low-risk trading style, characterized by a low maximum drawdown duration of zero days and a sell percentage of only 16%. Drafty-Genre appears to favor high-confidence, manual trades with a sniper-like precision, as reflected in their elite Smart Score of 99/100 and badges like 🎯 Sniper and 🔥 Win Streak. Their approach avoids weather markets entirely, suggesting a preference for more predictable or less volatile event categories on Polymarket.

Drafty-Genre’s key strengths include exceptional consistency and profitability, with a nearly flawless win rate and the ability to maintain stability in equity trends. However, potential concerns involve their relatively low portfolio value compared to trading volume, which could imply cautious position sizing or risk management that limits capital growth. Additionally, the moderate Sharpe ratio suggests there may be room to optimize risk-return balance further despite their strong historical results.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+7,802
Win Streak
181 wins in a row
Whale
$264,807
Consistent
47/51 days
High Roller
$2,429/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#4,884$9,551Vol: $798,951
CRYPTO#1,574,761$-1,651Vol: $168,271

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,802
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$967,511
Total Redeem
$204,743
Portfolio
$278
Predictions
337
total markets
Trades
615B / 117S
Daily Volume
$2,429
Account Age
101d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-45
Vol: $1,818
Week
$-45
Vol: $1,818
Month
$-459
Vol: $7,293
All Time
$7,802
Vol: $967,511

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
237W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$81,139
Win Rate
96%
236W / 11L
Profit Factor
29.22x
Avg Win
$342
Avg Loss
$-251

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,167 (24.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10,929
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?$4,915
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$3,323
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$2,854
76ers vs. Knicks$2,722
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$2,667
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$2,516
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$2,396
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)$2,336
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$2,333

Top Losers

Oilers vs. Ducks$-1,602
Sabres vs. Bruins$-938
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?$-60
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?$-50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?$-45
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?$-29
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented b$-25
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament prese$-10
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Truist Championship?$-4
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.730
Sortino
68.996
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$270.389
Kelly %
92.5%
Half-Kelly
46.2%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 848s — typical for humanSize CV 1.57 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.90 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
291 entries
<=2
301 entries
<=5
311 entries
<=10
317 entries
<=20
322 entries
<=50
326 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)54.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.1%

Other$67,570
Paris$5,330
Madrid$5,110
Milan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
303

Single bracket

<=1
289 brackets
<=2
300 brackets
<=3
301 brackets
<=4
301 brackets
<=5
301 brackets
<=8
303 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 7:55:03 PM1 trades$1500 min
3/11/2026, 10:35:57 PM1 trades$2380 min
3/12/2026, 5:46:03 PM2 trades$2041 min
3/12/2026, 7:57:33 PM1 trades$2500 min
3/12/2026, 8:24:47 PM2 trades$3330 min
3/12/2026, 10:44:37 PM1 trades$6750 min
3/13/2026, 7:58:05 PM1 trades$2400 min
3/14/2026, 5:24:03 PM8 trades$5006 min
3/14/2026, 7:38:11 PM1 trades$1340 min
3/14/2026, 9:23:23 PM2 trades$1,1001 min
3/15/2026, 1:45:15 PM6 trades$137 min
3/15/2026, 4:05:49 PM1 trades$1,9190 min
3/15/2026, 7:53:17 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/16/2026, 2:41:41 PM1 trades$980 min
3/16/2026, 6:59:29 PM1 trades$5990 min
3/16/2026, 7:32:09 PM1 trades$290 min
3/16/2026, 7:39:37 PM1 trades$1500 min
3/16/2026, 10:06:23 PM1 trades$1770 min
3/17/2026, 5:48:43 PM21 trades$1791 min
3/17/2026, 6:03:37 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-20
04-02
04-14
04-27
05-05
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event