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@Dramatic-Cemetery

#2,041,588100

0xc987780e16fbc8228ca408a5558a854013aa123a

51d· 641 markets · 990 tradesVol: $18,2972026-05-15T19:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 11.15x15/15
Sharpe 0.88615/15
Sortino 1.97610/10
EV $+0.45910/10
HHI 6510/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Dramatic-Cemetery is an active Polymarket trader with 990 trades across 574 markets over 272 days. Despite a negative net PnL of $-37.55 and a global rank of #2041588, they maintain an elite Smart Score of 100/100. Their total trading volume exceeds $18,000, and their portfolio value shows a steady upward trend, currently at $107.67.

Dramatic-Cemetery’s strategy favors high-frequency trading with a focus on consistency and precision, as reflected in a 91.9% win rate and a profit factor of 11.15. Their approach appears low risk with minimal drawdown duration and a Sharpe ratio of 0.89, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns. Trading is largely manual, though some semi-automated elements are present (Bot Score 55/100). They engage minimally in weather markets and rarely sell positions, suggesting a patient, long-term timing pattern.

The key strengths of Dramatic-Cemetery include strong consistency, a cool-headed approach, and the ability to maintain long win streaks. However, their overall negative net PnL and low portfolio value relative to volume highlight potential capital allocation or market timing challenges. While their elite Smart Score signals skill, the trader’s low rank and modest equity gains suggest room for improvement in translating accuracy into profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
Consistent
35/37 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

4
SPORTS#108,816$95Vol: $13,473
CRYPTO#1,360,108$-141Vol: $3,556
🌤️ WEATHER#220,548$-11Vol: $1,236
📈 ECONOMICS#25,856$19Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,297
Total Redeem
$4,577
Portfolio
$108
Predictions
641
total markets
Trades
891B / 99S
Daily Volume
$20
Account Age
51d
since Mar 31, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $428
Week
$147
Vol: $1,508
Month
$104
Vol: $1,847
All Time
$-38
Vol: $18,297

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
241W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$1,949
Win Rate
92%
284W / 25L
Profit Factor
11.15x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $169 (10.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-24?$72
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$47
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April$44
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$37
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$36
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$30
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?$25

Top Losers

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5$-96
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Pre$-8
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweig$-7
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$-7
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sara Bejlek vs Panna Udvardy$-6
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-5
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South Americ$-5
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$-5
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5$-5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.885
Sortino
1.976
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.459
Kelly %
89.2%
Half-Kelly
44.6%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.7
Active
Markets / Day
12.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.4m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 238s — typical for humanSize CV 0.81 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness22 trades/day — suspiciously high13 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
442 entries
<=2
516 entries
<=5
556 entries
<=10
572 entries
<=20
573 entries
<=50
574 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)54%
High (>55c)35.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40.5%

Other$1,252
Chicago$82
Miami$58
Los Angeles$55
Beijing$53
Shanghai$27
Toronto$26
Atlanta$25
New York City$23
Seattle$14
Houston$14
Dallas$11
Madrid$11
Guangzhou$6
Paris$5
Chongqing$1
San Francisco$0
Chengdu$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
516

Single bracket

<=1
469 brackets
<=2
505 brackets
<=3
516 brackets
<=4
516 brackets
<=5
516 brackets
<=8
516 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 5:17:21 AM1 trades$40 min
4/3/2026, 7:33:35 PM6 trades$121 min
4/3/2026, 7:41:55 PM1 trades$50 min
4/3/2026, 8:45:57 PM42 trades$18413 min
4/3/2026, 9:37:01 PM6 trades$93 min
4/3/2026, 10:13:51 PM6 trades$91 min
4/3/2026, 11:11:19 PM1 trades$40 min
4/3/2026, 11:28:33 PM3 trades$50 min
4/4/2026, 12:33:01 AM1 trades$20 min
4/4/2026, 12:38:13 AM1 trades$20 min
4/4/2026, 2:58:27 AM3 trades$120 min
4/4/2026, 3:52:53 AM1 trades$40 min
4/4/2026, 4:05:09 AM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2026, 6:08:19 AM1 trades$40 min
4/4/2026, 1:42:37 PM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2026, 1:53:33 PM2 trades$90 min
4/4/2026, 2:16:51 PM1 trades$30 min
4/4/2026, 2:50:23 PM2 trades$54 min
4/4/2026, 3:06:17 PM2 trades$130 min
4/4/2026, 3:14:51 PM12 trades$448 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-09
04-16
04-22
04-28
05-11
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event