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@Dramatic-Cemetery

#2,678,34498

0xc987780e16fbc8228ca408a5558a854013aa123a

95d· 1150 markets · 1922 tradesVol: $34,3062026-06-27T01:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 4.38x15/15
Sharpe 0.70213/15
Sortino 0.9389/10
EV $+0.34010/10
HHI 3410/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 11%10/10

Summary

Dramatic-Cemetery is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,922 trades executed over 272 days and participation in 874 different markets. Despite a high trading volume of $34,306, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $372.76, placing them at rank #2,678,344 on the global PnL leaderboard. The trader maintains a portfolio value of $137.38 and holds an elite Smart Score of 98/100, indicating strong analytical skills despite the current drawdown.

This trader favors a diverse range of markets but shows a notable interest in weather-related questions, which comprise 10% of their activity. Dramatic-Cemetery exhibits a conservative risk profile, reflected by a solid win rate of 81.9% and a profit factor of 4.38, suggesting that winning trades are significantly larger than losses. Their trading style is characterized by patience and precision, supported by badges such as Sniper and Cool Head, with only 19% of trades being sells, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping.

Key strengths of Dramatic-Cemetery include consistent performance and a stable equity trend with no prolonged drawdown periods, highlighting disciplined risk management. However, the negative net PnL despite a high win rate suggests challenges in capitalizing on profitable opportunities, possibly due to position sizing or market timing. The semi-automated trading approach, with a Bot Score of 45/100, may offer room for optimizing trade execution on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
Consistent
63/72 days
Cool Head
DD 11%

Categories

4
SPORTS#253,757$11Vol: $15,109
🌤️ WEATHER#10,197$44Vol: $4,349
CRYPTO#1,450,551$-146Vol: $3,564
📈 ECONOMICS#26,574$20Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-373
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,306
Total Redeem
$8,521
Portfolio
$137
Predictions
1150
total markets
Trades
1553B / 369S
Daily Volume
$38
Account Age
95d
since Mar 31, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-55
Vol: $611
Month
$-397
Vol: $10,280
All Time
$-373
Vol: $34,306

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
235W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$2,975
Win Rate
82%
411W / 90L
Profit Factor
4.38x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (7.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-24?$72
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Euro$62
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?$50
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April$44
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America$44
Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)$43
Games Total: O/U 2.5$40
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire$38
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$36

Top Losers

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5$-96
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-26
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak$-25
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-19
Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5$-18
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)$-17
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweig$-17
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-17
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)$-16
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.702
Sortino
0.938
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.340
Kelly %
68.7%
Half-Kelly
34.4%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
10.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 447s — typical for humanSize CV 1.10 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness23 trades/day — suspiciously high10 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
571 entries
<=2
726 entries
<=5
840 entries
<=10
870 entries
<=20
874 entries
<=50
874 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)49.6%
High (>55c)37.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 32.1%

Other$1,529
Beijing$154
Guangzhou$129
Los Angeles$88
Miami$66
Shanghai$60
Chicago$58
Atlanta$42
Chongqing$42
Houston$33
Dallas$29
Chengdu$28
London$25
Seattle$25
New York City$23
Paris$16
Toronto$11
Wuhan$9

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
768

Single bracket

<=1
689 brackets
<=2
746 brackets
<=3
764 brackets
<=4
767 brackets
<=5
768 brackets
<=8
768 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 1:42:37 PM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2026, 1:53:33 PM2 trades$90 min
4/4/2026, 2:16:51 PM1 trades$30 min
4/4/2026, 2:54:05 PM1 trades$20 min
4/4/2026, 3:06:17 PM2 trades$130 min
4/4/2026, 3:14:51 PM8 trades$376 min
4/4/2026, 4:56:19 PM2 trades$910 min
4/4/2026, 7:06:37 PM2 trades$90 min
4/4/2026, 7:49:05 PM3 trades$161 min
4/4/2026, 8:03:25 PM2 trades$83 min
4/4/2026, 8:14:21 PM3 trades$82 min
4/4/2026, 8:28:53 PM1 trades$30 min
4/4/2026, 9:43:49 PM1 trades$50 min
4/4/2026, 9:53:09 PM2 trades$121 min
4/4/2026, 10:27:49 PM3 trades$40 min
4/4/2026, 10:41:45 PM1 trades$60 min
4/4/2026, 11:02:43 PM1 trades$30 min
4/5/2026, 4:16:15 AM2 trades$114 min
4/5/2026, 4:37:11 AM1 trades$80 min
4/5/2026, 5:35:23 AM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-17
04-29
05-18
05-30
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event