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@texaskid

#2,768,76895

0xc8075693f48668a264b9fa313b47f52712fcc12b

83d· 603 markets · 10638 tradesVol: $44,444,8552026-05-28T13:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 73%20/20
Profit Factor 2.59x15/15
Sharpe 0.53110/15
Sortino 1.17610/10
EV $+1.54510/10
HHI 10210/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 18%10/10

Summary

Texaskid is an active trader on Polymarket with a high Smart Score of 95, placing them in the elite category, though their global PnL rank is relatively low at #2,768,768. Over 89 days, they executed 10,638 trades across 254 markets, generating a substantial volume of $44.4 million. Despite the impressive activity, texaskid has a net PnL loss of approximately $339,000 and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.53, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

Texaskid’s trading style appears high-frequency with a preference for a broad range of markets rather than focusing on weather-related ones, which they have not traded. Their win rate is low at 20.2%, and the profit factor of 0.19 suggests losses outweigh gains significantly. The trader exhibits a consistent and stable portfolio value with no recorded drawdown duration, indicating disciplined risk management or quick recovery from losses. The 0% sell percentage may imply a buy-and-hold approach or market-specific constraints.

The main strength of texaskid lies in their elite Smart Score and consistent trading behavior, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the substantial net loss and low profit factor highlight a high-risk profile with poor profitability. The semi-bot score suggests some automation combined with manual decisions, which may contribute to both efficiency and risk. Overall, texaskid’s data signals a need for strategy reassessment despite their high activity and experience on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 73%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
Whale
$11,246,391
Consistent
55/75 days
High Roller
$126,364/day
Cool Head
DD 18%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,674,222$-338,944Vol: $44,444,855

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-338,944
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,444,855
Total Redeem
$2,284,382
Portfolio
$170,279
Predictions
603
total markets
Trades
10636B / 2S
Daily Volume
$126,364
Account Age
83d
since Mar 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-5,570
Vol: $0
Week
$-237,293
Vol: $1,316,803
Month
$-877,652
Vol: $12,211,179
All Time
$-338,944
Vol: $44,444,855

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
75%
230W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$10,465,670
Win Rate
20%
32W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$35,002
Avg Loss
$-46,640

Top Winners

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)$150,938
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays$123,936
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5$115,537
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)$98,097
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterw$70,849
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$68,400
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$60,000
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$49,785
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets$47,700
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$38,950

Top Losers

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-415,945
Celtics vs. 76ers$-333,404
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-205,800
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)$-194,677
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-162,440
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5$-158,886
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5$-144,031
76ers vs. Knicks$-144,000
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins$-131,750
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$-130,084

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.531
Sortino
1.176
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.545
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
203.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.8m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 7.60 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — normal sleep pattern13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.09 — human randomness203 trades/day — automation346 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
53 entries
<=2
82 entries
<=5
92 entries
<=10
116 entries
<=20
152 entries
<=50
197 entries
>50
57 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)68.4%
High (>55c)31.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.1%

Toronto$78,159
Los Angeles$-29,298
San Francisco$-89,979
Houston$-98,713
Seattle$-119,806
Atlanta$-244,164
Miami$-270,499
Chicago$-287,960
Other$-3,694,287

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
225

Single bracket

<=1
202 brackets
<=2
220 brackets
<=3
224 brackets
<=4
225 brackets
<=5
225 brackets
<=8
225 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 3:34:11 PM1 trades$1,8640 min
4/5/2026, 4:03:15 PM14 trades$1000 min
4/5/2026, 4:15:55 PM6 trades$1437 min
4/6/2026, 5:44:23 PM1 trades$4,4810 min
4/6/2026, 6:16:13 PM4 trades$4965 min
4/6/2026, 6:27:17 PM22 trades$28515 min
4/6/2026, 6:48:01 PM51 trades$1,11230 min
4/6/2026, 7:34:55 PM39 trades$74216 min
4/7/2026, 4:53:09 PM89 trades$55,58622 min
4/7/2026, 5:22:27 PM32 trades$24,4170 min
4/7/2026, 6:54:09 PM93 trades$23,99263 min
4/7/2026, 8:28:49 PM53 trades$1,64813 min
4/7/2026, 8:50:05 PM3 trades$347 min
4/7/2026, 9:03:53 PM20 trades$26224 min
4/7/2026, 9:34:27 PM35 trades$4,83927 min
4/7/2026, 10:07:47 PM2 trades$931 min
4/7/2026, 10:21:37 PM3 trades$1632 min
4/8/2026, 2:42:27 PM1 trades$720 min
4/8/2026, 2:47:39 PM169 trades$11,91720 min
4/8/2026, 3:16:53 PM1022 trades$51,75465 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
04-01
04-13
04-25
05-07
05-19
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event