Polydata

@Elated-Reunion

#595,81037

0x7fa1c14b37d84fad51aea0c1d71acd7b1bcc9029

324d· 255 markets · 514 tradesVol: $6,3252026-07-03T05:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 0.02x0/15
HHI 7210/10
Profit Days 56%7/10
DD/Peak 14412%0/10

Summary

Elated-Reunion is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 514 trades executed over 309 days across 254 markets. Holding a global PnL rank of #595,810, their net profit stands at $3.46 on a total traded volume of $6,325. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 37/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.32, the trader’s equity trend shows growth, indicating some consistency in performance.

The trader predominantly focuses on weather-related markets, which make up 61% of their activity. Elated-Reunion’s win rate is 43.4%, and they tend to maintain a balanced selling strategy with a 46% sell percentage. Their low profit factor of 0.02 and a short max drawdown duration suggest a cautious approach, possibly favoring low-risk, incremental gains rather than aggressive high-reward bets. The presence of badges like Sniper and Profitable hints at occasional precise entries and some profitable streaks.

Strengths for Elated-Reunion include steady engagement with a diverse portfolio and an upward equity trend, demonstrating resilience over time on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and below-average risk-adjusted returns highlight potential weaknesses in capturing significant upside. The trader’s human-like fast interface interaction suggests adaptability but also the risk of impulsive decisions without systematic strategy backing.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+3
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#50,261$1Vol: $3,549
🎭 CULTURE#124,089$2Vol: $1,039
CRYPTO#553,563$0Vol: $912
🏛️ POLITICS#463,820$0Vol: $490
💰 FINANCE#282,433$0Vol: $188
📈 ECONOMICS#254,206$0Vol: $86
💻 TECH#116,827$0Vol: $35
SPORTS#538,976$0Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,325
Total Redeem
$1,595
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
255
total markets
Trades
275B / 239S
Daily Volume
$13
Account Age
324d
since Aug 15, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $24
Month
$0
Vol: $24
All Time
$3
Vol: $6,325

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
141W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$4
Win Rate
43%
108W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 1$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 2$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on April 18?$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 23 to September$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$0
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, $0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on Apri$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 22?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on Apri$-19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on Apr$-16
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 22?$-16
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 13 2026?$-15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 21?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on$-13
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on April 19?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on Apri$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.316
Sortino
-0.222
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5573s — typical for humanSize CV 0.92 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.80 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
234 entries
<=2
253 entries
<=5
254 entries
<=10
254 entries
<=20
254 entries
<=50
254 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 5.6%

Toronto$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Tel Aviv$0
Buenos Aires$0
Munich$0
Busan$0
Houston$0
Chongqing$0
Austin$0
Helsinki$0
Manila$0
Wuhan$0
Singapore$0
Moscow$0
Jeddah$0
Wellington$0
Chicago$0
Panama City$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
239

Single bracket

<=1
229 brackets
<=2
239 brackets
<=3
239 brackets
<=4
239 brackets
<=5
239 brackets
<=8
239 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/26/2025, 10:17:31 PM1 trades$1150 min
9/27/2025, 7:49:21 AM1 trades$1200 min
10/11/2025, 9:21:47 PM1 trades$1140 min
10/28/2025, 12:21:47 AM1 trades$630 min
11/8/2025, 2:35:35 AM1 trades$220 min
11/13/2025, 8:48:08 AM1 trades$410 min
11/22/2025, 7:10:09 AM1 trades$610 min
12/4/2025, 10:01:29 AM1 trades$810 min
12/5/2025, 11:44:43 AM1 trades$240 min
12/8/2025, 12:37:25 PM1 trades$600 min
4/16/2026, 7:40:44 AM1 trades$140 min
4/16/2026, 9:08:30 AM2 trades$210 min
4/16/2026, 10:50:06 AM2 trades$380 min
4/16/2026, 1:42:16 PM2 trades$300 min
4/16/2026, 2:45:26 PM1 trades$140 min
4/17/2026, 4:35:14 AM1 trades$110 min
4/17/2026, 7:53:18 AM1 trades$110 min
4/17/2026, 8:59:50 AM1 trades$160 min
4/17/2026, 11:23:30 AM1 trades$60 min
4/17/2026, 11:29:46 AM2 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-31
04-17
04-27
05-08
05-19
05-30
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
61.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event