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@Elated-Reunion

#580,30039

0x7fa1c14b37d84fad51aea0c1d71acd7b1bcc9029

321d· 252 markets · 471 tradesVol: $6,2612026-06-20T15:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 76%20/20
Profit Factor 0.32x0/15
HHI 8610/10
Profit Days 64%9/10
DD/Peak 387%0/10

Summary

Elated-Reunion is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 471 trades across 240 markets over 286 days. Despite a relatively low global rank of #580300 and a below-average Smart Score of 39/100, Elated-Reunion has achieved a modest net PnL of $3.35 on a total volume of $6,261. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and the Sharpe ratio is slightly negative at -0.14, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns.

This trader shows a preference for weather markets, which constitute 61% of their activity. Elated-Reunion maintains a nearly even split between buying and selling positions, with a sell percentage of 47%. Their win rate is 46.2%, below the breakeven mark, and the profit factor of 0.32 suggests that losses outweigh gains. Their trading style appears to be consistent but low-risk, likely taking smaller positions with an emphasis on timing rather than large directional bets. The presence of badges like Sniper and Win Streak indicates periodic successful trades amid an overall cautious approach.

Elated-Reunion’s strengths include consistent engagement and an upward equity trend, signaling gradual improvement or successful capital management. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight concerns about profitability and risk efficiency. Their activity in weather markets may reflect specialized knowledge but also exposes them to event-driven volatility. Overall, Elated-Reunion’s performance on Polymarket suggests a cautious, learning trader still refining their strategy.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+3
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Consistent
38/59 days

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#50,163$1Vol: $3,497
🎭 CULTURE#122,800$2Vol: $1,039
CRYPTO#544,041$0Vol: $912
🏛️ POLITICS#460,996$0Vol: $490
💰 FINANCE#279,071$0Vol: $188
📈 ECONOMICS#251,708$0Vol: $86
💻 TECH#114,029$0Vol: $35
SPORTS#566,096$-0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,261
Total Redeem
$1,532
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
252
total markets
Trades
249B / 222S
Daily Volume
$13
Account Age
321d
since Aug 15, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $458
All Time
$3
Vol: $6,261

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
76%
138W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$3
Win Rate
46%
111W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 1$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 2$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 23 to September$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on April 18?$0
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, $0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C or higher on May $-5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 17?$-5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May$-0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 1?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on May 28?$-0
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 0 or 1 seats in South Kore$-0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 29?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 19?$-0
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5665s — typical for humanSize CV 1.04 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.80 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
232 entries
<=2
239 entries
<=5
240 entries
<=10
240 entries
<=20
240 entries
<=50
240 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 5.2%

Other$2
Kuala Lumpur$0
Toronto$0
Atlanta$0
Amsterdam$0
Tel Aviv$0
Buenos Aires$0
Denver$0
Los Angeles$0
Helsinki$0
London$0
Chongqing$0
Austin$0
Munich$0
Manila$0
Cape Town$0
Wuhan$0
Houston$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
229

Single bracket

<=1
218 brackets
<=2
229 brackets
<=3
229 brackets
<=4
229 brackets
<=5
229 brackets
<=8
229 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/26/2025, 10:17:31 PM1 trades$1150 min
9/10/2025, 1:43:54 PM1 trades$1180 min
9/27/2025, 7:49:21 AM1 trades$1200 min
10/11/2025, 9:21:47 PM1 trades$1140 min
10/28/2025, 12:21:47 AM1 trades$630 min
11/8/2025, 2:35:35 AM1 trades$220 min
11/13/2025, 8:48:08 AM1 trades$410 min
11/22/2025, 7:10:09 AM1 trades$610 min
12/4/2025, 10:01:29 AM1 trades$810 min
12/5/2025, 11:44:43 AM1 trades$240 min
12/8/2025, 12:37:25 PM1 trades$600 min
4/16/2026, 7:40:44 AM1 trades$140 min
4/16/2026, 9:08:30 AM1 trades$100 min
4/16/2026, 10:50:06 AM1 trades$190 min
4/16/2026, 1:42:16 PM1 trades$150 min
4/16/2026, 2:45:26 PM1 trades$140 min
4/17/2026, 4:35:14 AM1 trades$110 min
4/17/2026, 7:53:18 AM1 trades$110 min
4/17/2026, 8:59:50 AM1 trades$160 min
4/17/2026, 11:23:30 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-31
12-09
04-24
05-03
05-13
05-25
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event