Polydata

@Elementary-Cowbell

#15,40590

0x465ace6ef4d7e4c09bdb0fad52ef7016286ec619

89d· 242 markets · 923 tradesVol: $81,4202026-06-07T06:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 8.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.3366/15
Sortino 0.8298/10
EV $+17.25010/10
HHI 27610/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Elementary-Cowbell is a moderately active Polymarket trader with 923 trades over 95 days, ranking #15,405 globally by net PnL. Their overall profit stands at $8,233.29 from a total traded volume of $81,420, demonstrating solid profitability. With a Smart Score of 90/100, Elementary-Cowbell is considered an elite trader, maintaining a stable portfolio value around $4.78 and showing no significant drawdowns.

The trader’s style is characterized by a high win rate of 89.2% and a profit factor of 9.54, indicating efficient risk-reward management. Elementary-Cowbell trades broadly across 242 markets but does not focus on weather markets, suggesting selective market engagement. Nearly half of their trades involve selling, and their contrarian badge hints at a willingness to take positions against prevailing trends. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.34 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their trading pace suggests a human approach rather than automated bot activity.

Elementary-Cowbell’s strengths lie in consistent profitability, a sniper-like precision in entries, and a robust win streak, all contributing to their elite status on Polymarket. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend indicate limited growth potential and moderate volatility. The trader’s contrarian style may expose them to occasional sharp market reversals, which could affect consistency despite strong overall performance.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+8,233
Contrarian
70% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Consistent
68/79 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

1
SPORTS#5,673$8,233Vol: $81,420

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,420
Total Redeem
$7,057
Portfolio
$5
Predictions
242
total markets
Trades
471B / 452S
Daily Volume
$149
Account Age
89d
since Mar 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$686
Vol: $0
Month
$686
Vol: $2,858
All Time
$8,233
Vol: $81,420

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
196W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$8,648
Win Rate
89%
206W / 25L
Profit Factor
9.54x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,140 (21.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)$495
Set 1 Winner: Dellien vs Schoenhaus$357
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$289
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Ma$275
Camila Osorio vs. Panna Udvardy: Total Sets O/U 2.5$242
Perricard vs. Andreescu: Match O/U 21.5$221
Montgomery vs. Inglis: Match O/U 23.5$221
McCabe vs. Kolar: Match O/U 23.5$221
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner$220
Set 1 Winner: Damas vs Faria$133

Top Losers

Brazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Reda Bennani$-265
Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Toby Samuel$-115
Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline$-107
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan$-26
Spread: Cúcuta Deportivo FC (-2.5)$-18
Spread: Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5)$-13
Flavio Cobolli vs. Diego Dedura-Palomero: Total Sets O/U 2.5$-10
Casanova vs. Torres: Match O/U 21.5$-8
Karan Singh vs. Guillaume Dalmasso: Total Sets O/U 2.5$-8
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.336
Sortino
0.829
HHI
276
Diversified
EV per $1
$17.250
Kelly %
84.3%
Half-Kelly
42.1%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
27.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — typical for humanSize CV 2.92 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness10 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
172 entries
<=2
201 entries
<=5
229 entries
<=10
238 entries
<=20
242 entries
<=50
242 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)62.2%
High (>55c)21.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 73.3%

Other$4,958
Milan$144
Houston$69
Madrid$26
São Paulo$13
Seoul$0
Shanghai$-1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
223

Single bracket

<=1
208 brackets
<=2
220 brackets
<=3
222 brackets
<=4
223 brackets
<=5
223 brackets
<=8
223 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/9/2026, 9:36:37 PM1 trades$50 min
3/9/2026, 10:10:11 PM1 trades$50 min
3/10/2026, 10:48:05 AM1 trades$40 min
3/10/2026, 10:57:55 AM1 trades$50 min
3/10/2026, 9:49:51 PM2 trades$20 min
3/10/2026, 11:05:51 PM1 trades$100 min
3/10/2026, 11:19:15 PM3 trades$150 min
3/10/2026, 11:27:11 PM1 trades$160 min
3/11/2026, 12:50:27 PM1 trades$100 min
3/11/2026, 6:55:11 PM5 trades$344 min
3/11/2026, 8:26:37 PM1 trades$40 min
3/11/2026, 8:45:51 PM1 trades$30 min
3/11/2026, 9:51:21 PM2 trades$41 min
3/11/2026, 10:03:45 PM1 trades$50 min
3/12/2026, 12:37:07 AM1 trades$10 min
3/12/2026, 10:55:15 PM1 trades$30 min
3/12/2026, 11:05:17 PM2 trades$45 min
3/13/2026, 10:53:51 AM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 11:02:51 AM1 trades$10 min
3/13/2026, 2:12:39 PM3 trades$420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
03-28
04-11
04-25
05-10
05-25
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event