Polydata
ElonJail

@ElonJail

#17,24679

0xb831a1d17dc7cc13815e665fb94f34473e33892b

~180d· 411 markets · 4767 tradesVol: $1,619,8002026-07-31 15:57:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (197/384)10.7/20
1.72x (win $26,148 / loss $15,185)11.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.51115/15
Sortino 17.09610/10
$+0.1201 per $1 invested6/10
HHI 336 (384 markets)10/10
66/121 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($925 / $11,887)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+8,168
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.6 entries/market
Whale
$91,275 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#889$9,177Vol: $1,470,205
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,711$-690Vol: $91,471
SPORTS#1,781,224$-395Vol: $51,329
🌤️ WEATHER#8,489$73Vol: $6,121
💻 TECH#32,455$2Vol: $446
📢 MENTIONS#20,514$9Vol: $173
💰 FINANCE#560,133$-8Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,168
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,619,800
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
411
total markets
Trades
3140B / 1627S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d

Periods

#2
Today
$-392
Vol: $0
Week
$-105
Vol: $104,246
Month
$-52
Vol: $389,322
All Time
$8,168
Vol: $1,619,800

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
51%
197W / 187L events
Realized PnL
$8,168
Win Rate
51%
197W / 187L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$133
Avg Loss
$-84

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,170 (1.2450385445499588% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$5,369
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$2,921
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1,880
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$1,669
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$1,389
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1,198
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1,096
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$894
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$823
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$782

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$-1,414
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-936
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$-934
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$-908
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-777
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-703
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-674
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-630
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-601
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$-562

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.183
Sortino
0.681
HHI
172
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
21.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 4.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.56
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)19.4%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 4:36:47 PM7 trades$11,1300 min
5/30/2026, 11:08:06 PM9 trades$8,9480 min
5/31/2026, 1:01:15 AM13 trades$8,8116 min
4/26/2026, 11:03:48 AM37 trades$8,8081 min
5/13/2026, 12:22:01 AM7 trades$8,0160 min
6/22/2026, 2:52:32 PM14 trades$5,8796 min
4/23/2026, 8:00:54 PM20 trades$5,0716 min
4/24/2026, 11:58:32 PM1 trades$5,0580 min
6/1/2026, 12:02:15 AM7 trades$4,4861 min
4/27/2026, 12:26:06 PM15 trades$4,2161 min
4/25/2026, 12:52:00 PM5 trades$2,7671 min
5/9/2026, 12:52:16 PM39 trades$2,72118 min
5/27/2026, 4:21:49 PM39 trades$2,5724 min
5/10/2026, 1:57:26 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
3/11/2026, 2:22:37 PM36 trades$2,39229 min
4/1/2026, 3:06:51 PM8 trades$2,1819 min
5/12/2026, 4:42:35 PM13 trades$2,1320 min
5/6/2026, 2:40:56 AM19 trades$2,1040 min
3/6/2026, 4:42:13 PM2 trades$1,8271 min
5/30/2026, 11:18:50 PM12 trades$1,8060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
01-09
02-07
03-21
04-25
05-20
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.2 / M7.5 / H19.4