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@Embarrassed-Godparent

#2,623,42332

0x5ecbd8857ff0d2327e28533f5de6ead05a0304d9

55d· 250 markets · 2624 tradesVol: $49,6932026-06-30T04:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.74x0/15
HHI 9710/10
Profit Days 37%2/10

Summary

Embarrassed-Godparent is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 2,624 trades across 904 markets over 127 days. Despite a substantial total volume of nearly $50,000, the trader currently holds a net loss of $226.14 and ranks #2,623,423 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 32/100 indicates below-average trading effectiveness, and a Sharpe Ratio of -0.14 suggests returns have not compensated for risk taken.

This trader shows a preference for a broad array of markets but does not engage in weather-related trades. With a high win rate of 72.6% and a profit factor below 1 (0.74), Embarrassed-Godparent appears to favor frequent, lower-risk wagers with a sniper-like precision in timing, as suggested by the Sniper badge and low sell percentage of 3%. The upward equity trend and badges such as Diamond Hands and Win Streak imply a strategy of holding positions and capitalizing on winning streaks, although the negative Sharpe Ratio points to inconsistent risk management.

The key strength of Embarrassed-Godparent lies in their consistent ability to achieve winning trades and maintain an upward equity trend on Polymarket, indicating persistence and disciplined trade execution. However, the overall negative net PnL, below-average Smart Score, and profit factor under 1 raise concerns about the sustainability of their strategy and potential vulnerability to larger losses in volatile markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
307 wins in a row

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,495,292$-245Vol: $49,312
SPORTS#217,007$19Vol: $382

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-226
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$49,693
Total Redeem
$12,355
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
250
Trades
2537B / 87S
Daily Volume
$122
Account Age
55d
since May 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$1
Vol: $870
All Time
$-226
Vol: $49,693

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$6,090
Win Rate
73%
511W / 193L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-19

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$166
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$156
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$140
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$83
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$83

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-218
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-163
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-154
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-137
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-123
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-113
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$-103
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$-90
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-88

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
46.9%
Half-Kelly
23.4%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
7.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 1.84 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.34 — human randomness21 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
584 entries
<=2
708 entries
<=5
793 entries
<=10
850 entries
<=20
890 entries
<=50
904 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)48.3%
High (>55c)44.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.9%

Other$-968

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
904

Single bracket

<=1
904 brackets
<=2
904 brackets
<=3
904 brackets
<=4
904 brackets
<=5
904 brackets
<=8
904 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/20/2026, 10:37:38 AM18 trades$190 min
2/20/2026, 10:50:14 AM19 trades$202 min
2/20/2026, 11:00:44 AM4 trades$40 min
2/23/2026, 7:31:20 PM4 trades$40 min
2/27/2026, 5:00:15 PM2 trades$20 min
2/27/2026, 5:06:41 PM17 trades$176 min
2/27/2026, 5:24:45 PM97 trades$10256 min
2/27/2026, 6:40:17 PM10 trades$103 min
2/27/2026, 7:00:31 PM6 trades$60 min
3/13/2026, 7:41:21 PM3 trades$133 min
3/14/2026, 8:40:01 AM1 trades$100 min
3/14/2026, 7:34:55 PM2 trades$110 min
3/14/2026, 7:59:55 PM2 trades$90 min
3/14/2026, 8:09:53 PM2 trades$110 min
3/14/2026, 8:24:55 PM3 trades$190 min
3/14/2026, 9:54:59 PM2 trades$130 min
3/15/2026, 8:41:01 PM6 trades$60 min
3/15/2026, 9:38:33 PM1 trades$10 min
3/15/2026, 9:52:35 PM15 trades$118 min
3/15/2026, 10:13:47 PM18 trades$619 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-13
03-18
04-20
05-15
05-25
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event