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Embellished-Reaction

@Embellished-Reaction

#4,26030

0x7e5c00d2dc06e2a9b8f97e91efca380cfa929554

141d· 8123 markets · 2096 tradesVol: $3,661,532 @hhhhhh6six2026-06-24T14:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
HHI 1110/10
Profit Days 29%0/10

Summary

Embellished-Reaction is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, engaging in 2,096 trades across 1,473 markets over 129 days. With a net profit of $36,451.80, they hold the global PnL rank of #4260. Their Smart Score of 30/100 places them below average among peers, and despite a strong win rate of 81.1%, their profit factor is notably low at 0.05, indicating limited profitability relative to risk taken.

This trader demonstrates a high-volume, high-frequency trading style, favoring a broad range of markets but with no exposure to weather-related markets. Embellished-Reaction appears to adopt a low-risk approach with frequent, smaller wins, supported by an equity trend that is upward and a max drawdown duration of zero days. Their negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.60 suggests volatility in returns, and a 0% sell rate points to a hold strategy possibly aligned with their “Diamond Hands” badge.

Key strengths for Embellished-Reaction include consistent winning trades and steady portfolio growth, which indicate disciplined execution. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight potential risks in return efficiency and volatility management. As a semi-bot trader, their mixed manual and automated approach may offer flexibility but also introduce inconsistency in strategy execution on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+36,452
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
219 wins in a row
Whale
$425,573
High Roller
$3,288/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,070$36,452Vol: $3,661,532

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$36,452
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,661,532
Total Redeem
$301,758
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8123
total markets
Trades
2089B / 7S
Daily Volume
$3,288
Account Age
141d
since Feb 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$57
Vol: $11,132
Week
$965
Vol: $74,928
Month
$1,873
Vol: $426,915
All Time
$36,452
Vol: $3,661,532

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$68,855
Win Rate
81%
1193W / 277L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-466

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$30

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-1,666
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-1,499
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-1,206
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-997
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-848
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-787
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-752
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$-735
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$-725
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$-723

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.605
Sortino
-0.570
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.289
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.2
Active
Markets / Day
11.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.7m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 626s — typical for humanSize CV 1.00 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active11 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
1275 entries
<=2
1402 entries
<=5
1444 entries
<=10
1454 entries
<=20
1468 entries
<=50
1473 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)21%
High (>55c)70.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.7%

Other$-123,038

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1473

Single bracket

<=1
1473 brackets
<=2
1473 brackets
<=3
1473 brackets
<=4
1473 brackets
<=5
1473 brackets
<=8
1473 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 3:38:19 AM2 trades$1000 min
2/15/2026, 4:03:11 AM8 trades$2131 min
2/15/2026, 1:28:31 PM1 trades$1120 min
2/15/2026, 2:49:33 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/15/2026, 4:04:35 PM1 trades$1710 min
2/15/2026, 6:34:25 PM13 trades$3300 min
2/16/2026, 2:04:15 PM2 trades$3021 min
2/16/2026, 9:39:25 PM2 trades$5050 min
2/16/2026, 10:52:59 PM2 trades$5921 min
2/17/2026, 1:29:03 AM1 trades$4980 min
2/17/2026, 8:38:49 PM2 trades$5330 min
2/18/2026, 8:14:14 PM2 trades$5151 min
2/19/2026, 4:07:36 PM2 trades$5420 min
2/19/2026, 10:59:18 PM3 trades$6140 min
2/23/2026, 5:52:12 PM2 trades$5340 min
2/24/2026, 5:04:04 AM2 trades$4780 min
2/25/2026, 1:07:10 PM3 trades$3240 min
2/25/2026, 5:05:10 PM1 trades$2720 min
2/25/2026, 11:38:26 PM2 trades$3890 min
2/26/2026, 1:42:04 AM2 trades$3320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
03-04
03-17
03-30
04-23
06-07
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event