Polydata
Eminent-Diesel

@Eminent-Diesel

#1,70171

0x54525ee78bd513b0bf75f94e560158f6fc35d448

525d· 1699 markets · 7065 tradesVol: $10,265,6132026-06-06T00:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 25%0/20
Profit Factor 6.59x15/15
Sharpe 0.3126/15
Sortino 5.85010/10
EV $+4.28710/10
HHI 10210/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Eminent-Diesel is an experienced Polymarket trader ranked #1701 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $93,417.33 generated over 852 active days. They have executed 7,065 trades across 849 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $10 million. Their Smart Score of 71/100 indicates very good trading performance, supported by a win rate of 68.6%, though their profit factor of 0.56 and Sharpe ratio of 0.31 suggest moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Eminent-Diesel shows a preference for diverse markets, avoiding weather markets entirely, and maintaining a relatively low sell percentage of 22%. Their profile is semi-automated, combining bot and manual trades, which might contribute to a stable equity trend. Their badges such as Contrarian and DCA Master imply a strategy that involves dollar-cost averaging and counter-trend positioning, while the Lottery Player badge signals occasional high-risk bets. The zero-day max drawdown duration points to strong risk management and quick recovery from downturns.

Eminent-Diesel’s key strength lies in consistent profitability and a very good win rate backed by disciplined trade execution, making them a reliable trader on Polymarket. However, their relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio indicate limited upside compared to volatility, and the semi-bot approach may expose them to risks from automation errors or market shifts. Overall, their stable equity and volume indicate solid trading acumen with some potential risk in scaling returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+93,417
Lottery Player
47% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 7.9 entries/market
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$1,008,195
Consistent
79/111 days
High Roller
$1,183/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

3
SPORTS#719$93,497Vol: $10,157,319
🏛️ POLITICS#48,077$171Vol: $80,275
📈 ECONOMICS#641,321$-250Vol: $28,019

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$93,417
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,265,613
Total Redeem
$123,557
Portfolio
$34,993
Predictions
1699
total markets
Trades
5541B / 1524S
Daily Volume
$1,183
Account Age
525d
since Dec 27, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-337
Vol: $174,311
Week
$17,692
Vol: $1,603,324
Month
$17,692
Vol: $1,513,607
All Time
$93,417
Vol: $10,265,613

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
139W / 111L events
Realized PnL
$687,032
Win Rate
69%
72W / 33L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$886
Avg Loss
$-3,460

Top Winners

Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian $8,100
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA Wo$6,408
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World $5,839
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$5,594
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,973
Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup$3,569
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3,301
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup$3,025
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World$2,458
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1,883

Top Losers

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-21,518
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C$-11,736
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$-10,302
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C$-8,603
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$-6,927
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6,360
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C$-5,981
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-5,014
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-4,779
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$-3,859

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.311
Sortino
5.850
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.287
Kelly %
7.9%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.0
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — typical for humanSize CV 3.97 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.89 — human randomness42 trades/day — suspiciously high2140 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.9
Active DCA
<=1
340 entries
<=2
441 entries
<=5
542 entries
<=10
593 entries
<=20
635 entries
<=50
682 entries
>50
21 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)7.9%
High (>55c)45.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.5%

Paris$328
Madrid$0
Los Angeles$0
Toronto$0
Austin$0
Munich$0
Atlanta$0
Houston$0
Denver$0
Milan$-228
Miami$-806
Other$-49,683

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
4.5
Events covered
189

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
104 brackets
<=2
132 brackets
<=3
143 brackets
<=4
150 brackets
<=5
154 brackets
<=8
165 brackets
>8
24 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/19/2025, 5:56:11 PM1 trades$1020 min
12/20/2025, 9:34:58 AM1 trades$520 min
12/21/2025, 1:05:17 PM1 trades$1,2940 min
12/22/2025, 10:48:09 PM1 trades$340 min
12/23/2025, 3:06:19 AM1 trades$730 min
12/24/2025, 12:02:59 AM2 trades$32 min
12/29/2025, 4:00:59 PM2 trades$2381 min
12/29/2025, 4:09:01 PM2 trades$2102 min
12/30/2025, 2:37:35 AM1 trades$350 min
12/30/2025, 3:14:27 AM1 trades$2300 min
12/30/2025, 9:22:09 AM1 trades$1100 min
12/30/2025, 4:51:39 PM1 trades$800 min
12/30/2025, 5:07:11 PM1 trades$400 min
12/31/2025, 6:49:59 PM2 trades$1522 min
1/4/2026, 8:32:23 PM1 trades$350 min
1/10/2026, 9:09:46 AM1 trades$400 min
1/10/2026, 10:02:10 AM1 trades$250 min
1/10/2026, 11:49:34 AM2 trades$1154 min
1/14/2026, 1:14:10 PM1 trades$280 min
1/14/2026, 1:33:18 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-28
02-22
03-30
04-29
05-25
06-06
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 4.5 br/event