Polydata
Eminent-Diesel

@Eminent-Diesel

#85069

0x54525ee78bd513b0bf75f94e560158f6fc35d448

570d· 3024 markets · 11532 tradesVol: $19,174,9042026-07-18T05:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 22%0/20
Profit Factor 3.31x15/15
Sharpe 0.3256/15
Sortino 1.65910/10
EV $+1.68710/10
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 62%8/10
DD/Peak 6%10/10

Summary

Eminent-Diesel is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 11,500 trades across more than 1,100 markets in a span of two years. Ranked #850 globally by net profit, Eminent-Diesel has accumulated a net PnL of $234,203.09 on a total volume exceeding $19 million. Their smart score of 69 suggests good trading proficiency, supported by a strong win rate of nearly 90% and a profit factor of 4.73, indicative of consistent profitability.

The trader’s style leans towards a semi-automated approach, combining bot-assisted and manual strategies, as reflected by a bot score of 50. Eminent-Diesel shows a preference for diversified markets rather than specializing in weather events, with a conservative sell percentage of 16%. Their trading behavior demonstrates disciplined risk management, with zero days of maximum drawdown duration and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.33, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns. The equity trend remains stable, suggesting consistent performance without significant volatility.

Eminent-Diesel’s key strengths include a high win rate and strong profit factor, which highlight effective trade selection and risk control on Polymarket. Their ability to maintain a flat equity trend over an extended period signals resilience against market fluctuations. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and semi-bot reliance suggest some exposure to market noise and potential automation risks. Overall, Eminent-Diesel exemplifies a balanced, steady trading approach with room for refinement in volatility management.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+234,203
Lottery Player
41% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 10.2 entries/market
Win Streak
48 wins in a row
Whale
$1,395,441
Consistent
77/125 days
High Roller
$1,906/day
Cool Head
DD 6%

Categories

3
SPORTS#406$234,115Vol: $19,063,619
🏛️ POLITICS#33,545$338Vol: $83,265
📈 ECONOMICS#660,623$-250Vol: $28,019

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$234,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,174,904
Total Redeem
$558,702
Portfolio
$87,827
Predictions
3024
total markets
Trades
9739B / 1793S
Daily Volume
$1,906
Account Age
570d
since Dec 27, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$113
Vol: $1,552
Week
$16,854
Vol: $444,197
Month
$101,279
Vol: $1,923,677
All Time
$234,203
Vol: $19,174,904

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
137W / 187L events
Realized PnL
$1,103,141
Win Rate
90%
125W / 14L
Profit Factor
4.73x
Avg Win
$3,012
Avg Loss
$-5,680

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $270,352 (91.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$169,549
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$80,078
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$20,725
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals$20,201
Breel Embolo: 2+ goals$12,452
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals$10,615
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals$8,907
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$6,679
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$6,250
Harry Kane: 1+ goals$5,416

Top Losers

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$-51,107
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World$-6,535
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6,465
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,411
Harry Kane: 3+ goals$-2,909
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presen$-2,571
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,246
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu$-1,976
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assists$-758
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-559

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.325
Sortino
1.659
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.687
Kelly %
82.3%
Half-Kelly
41.1%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.8
Very active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — typical for humanSize CV 4.21 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness55 trades/day — mass trading2396 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
421 entries
<=2
556 entries
<=5
696 entries
<=10
768 entries
<=20
840 entries
<=50
917 entries
>50
41 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)43.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 11.6%

Other$296,913
Madrid$0
Los Angeles$0
Toronto$0
Austin$0
Milan$0
Munich$0
Paris$0
Atlanta$0
Houston$0
Denver$0
Miami$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.9
Events covered
282

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
152 brackets
<=2
201 brackets
<=3
220 brackets
<=4
228 brackets
<=5
239 brackets
<=8
250 brackets
>8
32 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/19/2025, 5:56:11 PM1 trades$1020 min
12/20/2025, 9:34:58 AM1 trades$520 min
12/21/2025, 1:05:17 PM1 trades$1,2940 min
12/22/2025, 10:48:09 PM1 trades$340 min
12/23/2025, 3:06:19 AM1 trades$730 min
12/24/2025, 12:02:59 AM2 trades$32 min
12/29/2025, 4:09:01 PM2 trades$2102 min
12/30/2025, 2:37:35 AM1 trades$350 min
12/30/2025, 3:14:27 AM1 trades$2300 min
12/30/2025, 9:22:09 AM1 trades$1100 min
12/31/2025, 6:49:59 PM2 trades$1522 min
1/4/2026, 8:32:23 PM1 trades$350 min
1/10/2026, 9:09:46 AM1 trades$400 min
1/14/2026, 1:14:10 PM1 trades$280 min
1/14/2026, 1:33:18 PM1 trades$10 min
1/14/2026, 1:52:26 PM2 trades$25 min
1/14/2026, 2:24:26 PM3 trades$55 min
1/14/2026, 2:48:14 PM3 trades$65 min
1/14/2026, 3:04:04 PM1 trades$50 min
1/14/2026, 3:14:30 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-01
03-27
05-07
06-12
07-02
07-21
08-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.2/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.9 br/event